Wetbulbs88 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, wdrag said: Meant FAVORABLE, instead of variable. Bottom line, column appears a bit too warm along I95 for reaching potential of the 18z NAM (unless you use 7 to 1 or 8 to 1 ratio. We even up here in Wantage lost the first 70 minutes of snow accum due to daylight and coming off a max T of 39. When the temp dropped below 34 with the 3/4s-, then accum began during the late day. Would have started sooner at night even at 34. However, thats past. I am concerned about power outages ne NJ eastward across S CT, or wherever acscums surpass 6". Always learning from these events. Not sure about where you are but we really haven't seen big rates up here in the city area yet, so there really hasn't been much 'waste' here. I'm not going to give up on 6+ until midnight, when heavy rates should be in full throttle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 SIAP, as it's hard to keep up - good news for the NYC folks...just the new part below. National Weather Service New York NY 757 PM EST Sun Mar 3 2019 NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/... -- Changed Discussion -- Made slight adjustments to the forecast this eve, mainly based on the latest HRRR, which has been handling the snow/rain transition area very well across southern NJ last few hours. Based on this, mixed p-type should remain confined to southern portions of Nassau county and NYC`s south boroughs, Suffolk County and extreme SE CT. This has impacted snow totals slightly with up to an inch more accumulation, mainly across SE CT. Otherwise, Winter Storm Warning remains in effect with a widespread 5 to 9 inch snowfall expected for the entire region, highest amounts over the western half of the forecast area between now and shortly after midnight, and the eastern half of the area during the second half of the night. Used raw 2 meter NAM temperatures with a slight decrease during times of heavier snow tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: Not sure about where you are but we really haven't seen big rates up here in the city area yet, so there really hasn't been much 'waste' here. I'm not going to give up on 6+ until midnight, when heavy rates should be in full throttle. Yea it'll be a close call, the real intense stuff probably comes in like 10 pm to 2 am for the city/LI but the south shore/eastern LI/and possibly southern parts of the city it may not be all snow during those hours. For areas that stay all snow should still be 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2.5 inches highland lakes temp 28f 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, wdrag said: Meant FAVORABLE, instead of variable. Bottom line, column appears a bit too warm along I95 for reaching potential of the 18z NAM (unless you use 7 to 1 or 8 to 1 ratio. We even up here in Wantage lost the first 70 minutes of snow accum due to daylight and coming off a max T of 39. When the temp dropped below 34 with the 3/4s-, then accum began during the late day. Would have started sooner at night even at 34. However, thats past. I am concerned about power outages ne NJ eastward across S CT, or wherever acscums surpass 6". Always learning from these events. Always learning... That's the key. I've been here in this house for nearly 23 years now and pretty much every weather event holds something new for me. 2018 was a string of new experiences. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 local schools closing now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Slush on pavements now in Brooklyn, NY Need better rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Already 0.25" of liquid here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 A little over an inch in Ridgewood. Pavement covered. Flakes are getting big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 8 minutes ago, Eduardo said: Pouring rain in SW Suffolk. Still awaiting a changeover (that hopefully materializes soon)! It's not white rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 .5” here in White Plains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Slush on pavements now in Brooklyn, NY Need better rates Measured 2.5" about 15 minutes ago. Snowing to beat the band right now. 29.8° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, Nickysixes said: Lurking from N Michigan w/30"+ on ground, u guys excited for 2"+:) Come out when we have a coastal blizzard....I've seen midwesterners with their mouths agape at the storms we can get. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Convective precip racing up from the Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Nickysixes said: Lurking from N Michigan w/30"+ on ground, u guys excited for 2"+:) Maybe I'm wrong but I THINK I recall someone with you're handle from way back when around these parts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Convective precip racing up from the Delmarva. It does seem to finally be making a push N...hoping I didn't just jinx it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Snowing but mostly wet in the UWS - not sticking on car tops from my vantage point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Convective precip racing up from the Delmarva. we're going to get 2" per hour rates easily 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: It does seem to finally be making a push N...hoping I didn't just jinx it. Yeah, I'm eyeing that convection lighting up in and around Delware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, ILoveWinter said: Snowing but mostly wet in the UWS - not sticking on car tops from my vantage point Any reports from CP? Prospect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: we're going to get 2" per hour rates easily I hope so, radar looks good going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: we're going to get 2" per hour rates easily Bless myself, genuflect.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, weatherpruf said: Bless myself, genuflect.... Posts like these why I love this forum lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: Any reports from CP? Prospect? Last report at around 8 was 33 and snow, could be sticking a bit better in the park vs out on the streets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I think the entire system slowed about 2 hours from forecasts 12-24 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Posts like these why I love this forum lol Only for Forky.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: I think the entire system slowed about 2 hours from forecasts 12-24 hours ago Also thinks a bit wetter and more west which means precip should last a bit longer but also a bit higher risk of mixing for the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, RU848789 said: As of 7 pm, measured 1" of new snow after getting home from dinner at Penang with my son (best roti canai in the area; rest of the food is decent, but worth going for the roti). 33F and snowing moderately. Maybe 1/2" of snow on paved surfaces and getting very slick out there. As of 8 pm, we have 1.75" of new snow on the ground (3/4" the last hour) and it's coming down moderately; temp has dropped to 32F. I think 6" is a lock here and 8" is possible, given the 7 pm (0Z) HRRR that just came out showing 6"+ more snow to come for much of CNJ (and having 1.75" OTG). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: I think the entire system slowed about 2 hours from forecasts 12-24 hours ago Interesting. Because this afternoon it seemed to be way ahead of schedule. Now we're a bit behind. Fickle beasts, these coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 All the banding is near Philly and in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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