Met1985 Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 Snow in the higher elevations of Haywood. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 Yeah precip shield just needs to blossom a bit more, but 500mb low dips under the Apps and goes slightly negative tilt. Any more and it would pull the whole precip shield into WNC. Lots of interesting dynamics with this one, I think it’s going to be a nowcast(cliché).Yeah if this were December I'd be horribly disappointed with that amount of moisture but going into April any run within 60 hours showing snow is good to me. Had a couple good snow showers earlier which was a nice way to close March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 I guess winter decided that any snow in December is all that we deserve until next winter in Asheville. It is amazing how much rain we have had, and how many storms that stay SE of us when there is any cold weather to speak. Don't get me wrong. I hope Simpsonville, Charlotte, Greenville get dumped on. They deserve it !!! I just can't believe how we have been shut out since December. Of course, I guess Franklin has had it even worse than us in Asheville this year? Maybe we will get a surprise NW trend. That never works out when we need it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 SREF avg up over 1” for KAVL. I think we will at least see a snow shower around WNC tomorrow am. System already looks stout on radar with ip being reported in ETX. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 12 minutes ago, Hvward said: SREF avg up over 1” for KAVL. I think we will at least see a snow shower around WNC tomorrow am. System already looks stout on radar with ip being reported in ETX. Got a feeling that I'm too far north and west to see much...which is fine by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 SREF avg up over 1” for KAVL. I think we will at least see a snow shower around WNC tomorrow am. System already looks stout on radar with ip being reported in ETX. Yeah there's lightning where the NAM/HRRR were advertising dry. Holding onto hope for now. Might as well ride the ship to the bottom.Came down off the mountain today and nice to see leaves on the trees. Just about ready for flower season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted April 2, 2019 Author Share Posted April 2, 2019 Monroe got more snow today than *most* of us in this forum have seen since what, mid January? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 3, 2019 Share Posted April 3, 2019 Not sure how big a threat it is but in about 10 days the Euro is showing a strong trough in the east with some type of system maybe. Looking at the indices I think this has some merrit with the AO and the NAO finally going negative somewhat. Something to look at and track possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 On 4/3/2019 at 8:14 AM, Met1985 said: Not sure how big a threat it is but in about 10 days the Euro is showing a strong trough in the east with some type of system maybe. Looking at the indices I think this has some merrit with the AO and the NAO finally going negative somewhat. Something to look at and track possible. Last year the AO and NAO went negative and IIRC a +PNA at the beginning of March and stayed that way through April. All I remember was wall to wall below normal temperatures in April of last year. I started to look at the data and the following were the temps the first 3 days of April 2018 at KAVL: 4/1 – 75 F 4/2 – 78 F 4/3 – 76 F Goes to show I shouldn’t trust my memory. Not a fan of cold in April but since snow is so rare lately I wouldn’t mind seeing some in April as long as there is no deep freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 An absolutely stellar day today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 The gfs and euro both show some higher elevation snow in the 9-10 day range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 23 hours ago, Sw NC weather said: The gfs and euro both show some higher elevation snow in the 9-10 day range. Yeah I was going to say the euro shows a potential for a large sized system affecting us in about a week... That being said it could be gone today the way the models have been handling things recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Sunday is shaping up to be an active day in the mountains. SPC AC 120730 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2019 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Strong/severe thunderstorms are anticipated Sunday -- centered over the mid and upper Ohio Valley, and central and southern Appalachians. ...Synopsis... A strong mid- and upper-level trough exiting the Plains early in the period is expected to advance steadily east across the Mississippi/Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and central Gulf Coast states, reaching a position from the lower Great Lakes to the southern Appalachians/Southeast late in the period. At the surface, a deepening low is forecast to shift east-northeast across the Ohio Valley through the day, and then across the central Appalachians to the Hudson Valley vicinity by the end of the period. Widespread thunderstorms -- and a broad severe risk -- will accompany this system. ...The Ohio Valley and central Appalachians south to the Southeast... Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing in a north-south band from Indiana to Alabama early in the period, ahead of the advancing cold front. As modest heating of a moistening pre-frontal warm sector commences, 500 to 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE is expected to evolve ahead of the ongoing band of convection, from the Ohio Valley to the Gulf Coast. This should result in a gradual intensification of storms through the afternoon, aided by a very strong deep-layer wind field accompanying this storm system -- including 80 to 100 kt south-southwest flow at mid levels. Primary storm mode is progged to be banded/loosely linear, with embedded/complex bows and rotating updrafts. Damaging winds will likely be the primary threat, though tornadoes will also be possible across much of the area -- particularly near and west of the mountains. Risk should diminish gradually through the evening, though local wind risk may persist through the end of the period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Looks like we will have a very active day the next 24 hours with high winds, severe storms, then a chance of snow tomorrow morning... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Looks like we will have a very active day the next 24 hours with high winds, severe storms, then a chance of snow tomorrow morning...I'm moving back to GA in a few weeks due to some issues so this is just mother nature giving me a goodbye show. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Heavy rains and winds here IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 This storm has been far less impressive than I thought it was going to be. Mountains chewed it up. Only .19 inches of rain and a little breezy and that's it. Maybe some redevelopment later? I want to hear some noise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 I’ve been in SC the last two days. Just got back home and Rivers and creeks are running bank fulls and just had two torrential downpours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 2.56 inches since last night. The wind has been rippin a lot of trees and limbs down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted April 15, 2019 Share Posted April 15, 2019 Tornado warning for Transylvania county 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2019 Share Posted April 15, 2019 21 hours ago, Tyler Penland said: 22 hours ago, Met1985 said: Looks like we will have a very active day the next 24 hours with high winds, severe storms, then a chance of snow tomorrow morning... I'm moving back to GA in a few weeks due to some issues so this is just mother nature giving me a goodbye show. Man I hate to hear that. Best of luck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted April 15, 2019 Share Posted April 15, 2019 31 and flurries currently. I'm glad we return to spring tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted April 15, 2019 Share Posted April 15, 2019 Got us some good flurry action here outside Boone. Can barely see grandfather from the porch through the flakes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 15, 2019 Share Posted April 15, 2019 6 hours ago, Buckethead said: 31 and flurries currently. I'm glad we return to spring tomorrow. That trough coming in this coming weekend looks potent. It wouldn't be Easter around here with out it being cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 16, 2019 Share Posted April 16, 2019 A beautiful frosty morning with a low of 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 16, 2019 Share Posted April 16, 2019 Euro still showing a sharp trough cutting off and possibly bringing some high elevation snow to the mountains for Easter weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted April 16, 2019 Share Posted April 16, 2019 This mornings GFS shows the deep trough and cut off low developing with rain changing to snow for the mountains. That scenario would bring several inches of snow to the higher elevations this weekend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted April 16, 2019 Share Posted April 16, 2019 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: This mornings GFS show the deep trough and cut off low developing with rain changing to snow for the mountains. That scenario would bring several inches of snow to the higher elevations this weekend. Yes indeed. GFS, FV3 and Euro all trended further south and show some lee low development with prolonged snow Friday night through most of Saturday. If this trend holds I'll be making a drive up from GA for one more snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted April 16, 2019 Share Posted April 16, 2019 I was heading to central SC this weekend. Maybe not though...this setup looks mighty impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted April 16, 2019 Author Share Posted April 16, 2019 Robert went 100% in on this weekend lol. I'm almost nervous 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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