CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Mentioned in other thread but Philly is about two hours ahead of schedule for sleet. Will need to watch that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I’m Going to sleep from 9pm to 1am and then stay up until 7am. I’m in a Good spot in northeast Rhode Island right guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Off topic but that’s an ominous storm heading into Columbus, SC right now. Hard to say what’s going on as the velocity couplet is almost directly over the radar right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 8 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: I’m Going to sleep from 9pm to 1am and then stay up until 7am. I’m in a Good spot in northeast Rhode Island right guys? Rip some tunes in the snow...do you still do sledding videos? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 This is what you want to see from SE convection (not the shunt OTS). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: This is what you want to see from SE convection (not the shunt OTS). So if this was Friday night the vectors would be pointing towards the fishies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: This is what you want to see from SE convection (not the shunt OTS). What time do I need to be awake for max? 2-5:00? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Off topic but that’s an ominous storm heading into Columbus, SC right now. Hard to say what’s going on as the velocity couplet is almost directly over the radar right now. Yup. Looks like they took it on the chin. Best to keep in the se thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What time do I need to be awake for max? 2-5:00? Put on your microspikes and get a nice 10 miler in 3"/hr rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What time do I need to be awake for max? 2-5:00? Yes. Set alarm there for like 2am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yes. Set alarm there for like 2am. Bed by 8:30. 3 IPA’s in. Missed these fun nights this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Mentioned in other thread but Philly is about two hours ahead of schedule for sleet. Will need to watch that. Wagons north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What time do I need to be awake for max? 2-5:00? 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yes. Set alarm there for like 2am. Yep, 06-09z looks pretty sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Wagons north? Seems like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Bed by 8:30. 3 IPA’s in. Missed these fun nights this winter After three months of blue balling we finally get a release. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: After three months of blue balling we finally get a release. Going out in a blaze of glory like Kraft on a whirlwind tour thru Thailand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 50 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: The 850mb frontogenesis is a magenta blob. I specifically remember mets on this page discussing the best bands setting up 30-50 miles NW of where modeled and in few systems last year it ended up being on point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: So if this was Friday night the vectors would be pointing towards the fishies? Lot of easterly here, and then vectors try and peel back to the NW. Not a great way to max the moisture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just got back from work. Afternoon/PM models look great. I'm pretty much the same as i was yesterday for amounts in CT but reintroduced a 3-5" slot for the SE corner for mixing and pushed the 5-10 NW slightly. Still think most, 95%, of the state ends up in the 5-10 range, as i did yesterday. FINAL CALL: First & 2nd call, 1 and 2 days ago, respectively. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Wagons north? Keep that condensation coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Lot of easterly here, and then vectors try and peel back to the NW. Not a great way to max the moisture. Wow that difference is substantial. Never even thought to check out this parameter on mesoanalysis for winter wx...though I can see it's significance. Thanks for posting this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Wow that difference is substantial. Never even thought to check out this parameter on mesoanalysis for winter wx...though I can see it's significance. Thanks for posting this! You want convective aligned roughly north/south, that promoted northward moisture transport. East/west convection (think warm front or stationary front) is bad for northward transport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Just got back from work. Afternoon/PM models look great. I'm pretty much the same as i was yesterday for amounts in CT but reintroduced a 3-5" slot for the SE corner for mixing and pushed the 5-10 NW slightly. Still think most, 95%, of the state ends up in the 5-10 range, as i did yesterday. FINAL CALL: First & 2nd call, 1 and 2 days ago, respectively. Your maps are usually damn good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: You want convective aligned roughly north/south, that promoted northward moisture transport. East/west convection (think warm front or stationary front) is bad for northward transport. OMG...I never would have thought something like that., but it makes complete and total sense. Is this something that can be used as a big clue for future reference? For example, at least the severe wx aspect in the SE had been highlighted for several days...knowing that we were dealing with convective segments aligned N/S...could that have been a clue that we could see moisture increase up this way..especially when combined with some of the clues at 850 with regards to the dynamics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: OMG...I never would have thought something like that., but it makes complete and total sense. Is this something that can be used as a big clue for future reference? For example, at least the severe wx aspect in the SE had been highlighted for several days...knowing that we were dealing with convective segments aligned N/S...could that have been a clue that we could see moisture increase up this way..especially when combined with some of the clues at 850 with regards to the dynamics? Maybe not increase, but give you no reason to discount higher QPF numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Well , I hadn’t seen it in 20 system this winter but this one we finally look to have a very good SLP track for SNE , excellent fronto, moisture transport all in the face of the fast flow . Im hoping I can get in on the sick bands 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Hrrr continues slaying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr continues slaying. Puking snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Maybe not increase, but give you no reason to discount higher QPF numbers. gotcha...makes sense. For some reason this is like ringing major bells in my head. I feel like there is a correlation between SE convection and trends towards bigger hits here...while if convection is off-shore and/or oriented like you said the likelihood if for a decreased trend. IDK what the truth is to that, but would be an interesting study (unless one exists) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 The always stingey HRRR continues pounding out 10-14” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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