SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Craziest rates for me that I can recall are late night Jan 22 05 in Wareham (the band that Falmouth reported 8" in one hour) and probably the early morning of Feb 15 2015 in Acushnet. Was the Euro any warmer down here or did it not really matter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 In the winter of anomalous water, mostly in regards to cutters unfortunately, I’d like to hope this remains juiced till go time and surprises us with unfettered precipitous joy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Compared to 6z, 12z Euro brings the 1"+ qpf line north of PYM (vs. limited to outer Cape on 6z) PYM area - south shore could be one relative jack area (consistent with RGEM) just north of where they flirt with sleet... 8-12" of heavy wet possible there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Go to work Monday CT peeps. No snowday fo you. Thing is done by 5am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: In the winter of anomalous water, mostly in regards to cutters unfortunately, I’d like to hope this remains juiced till go time and surprises us with unfettered precipitous joy. I raise my ski poles in your direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Compared to 6z, 12z Euro brings the 1"+ qpf line north of PYM (vs. limited to outer Cape on 6z) PYM area - south shore could be one relative jack area (consistent with RGEM) just north of where they flirt with sleet... 8-12" of heavy wet possible there Ratios might counter their precip there. Heavy dense stuff for sure Someone further up and in might get more snow from less water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The euro brings the taint line to just south of Scooter briefly before receding back. By that time a lot of snow is down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Go to work Monday CT peeps. No snowday fo you. Thing is done by 5am. I booked a hotel in Branford for tonight. It's like 30 seconds from work haha. Stayed there that Tuesday event we had. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Go to work Monday CT peeps. No snowday fo you. Thing is done by 5am. Already pulled the trigger. Could be my only snow day of the season, had to happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Ratios might counter their precip there. Heavy dense stuff for sure Someone further up and in might get more snow from less water I think this storm is going to be rain for me. Usually when the models have the rain line in my general area, im on the rain side of it. I think Scooter could Jack on this one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 HRRR keeps going wilder each run. Good to see even if the verbatim amounts are overdone. This is gonna be pretty dynamic for a few hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 NE Conn looking good on the 17z HRRR at 11z. Too bad it's so far away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Go to work Monday CT peeps. No snowday fo you. Thing is done by 5am. To clean up 12-16” ? No way . Light stuff lingers till 7:00 ish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: To clean up 12-16” ? No way . Light stuff lingers till 7:00 ish When did you go from 6-10 to 12-16? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: HRRR keeps going wilder each run. Good to see even if the verbatim amounts are overdone. This is gonna be pretty dynamic for a few hours. Never say never in the winter of 2018/19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Go to work Monday CT peeps. No snowday fo you. Thing is done by 5am. Yup, I'm going to have to get outside and get the driveway cleared so my wife can get to work....84 to 684 to Sawmill will be ready by 7, booooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: To clean up 12-16” ? No way . Light stuff lingers till 7:00 ish lol...buying the RPM now? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Bob Kraft's fetish is sleazy massage parlors...Jerry's fetish is RPM runs right before a good snow event. Still ramping up... This thing's gonna spike a thunderstorm or two... you have a flat wave with a pig jet max sloped to the 300 mb level where the core axis passes orthogonal overhead, from right exit to left entrance. I mean I've seen stronger maxes at that level but that translation through the axis is spatially perfect if using the GFS ... I can't imagine the other models are hugely different at that level/time and space, either - who knows. But that is all taking place along/on the NW arc of the surface low between 3 and 9Z ... where there is likely to be a zygote CCB tendency as said low is lifting passed, ....inside of which ...all that is going to have a couple of violent focused updraft slots... Don't be shocked (pun intended!) if there's a blind CG in sub 1/4 mi fall rates somewhere, and the RPM may be cluing as to where... Fascinating system - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 For all the older weenies on here what's the largest snow bust you've ever had? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: When did you go from 6-10 to 12-16? How can you not think possible now with the usual stingey models so jacked ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: I think this storm is going to be rain for me. Usually when the models have the rain line in my general area, im on the rain side of it. I think Scooter could Jack on this one! You are going to get snow for the first several hours regardless of changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: HRRR keeps going wilder each run. Good to see even if the verbatim amounts are overdone. This is gonna be pretty dynamic for a few hours. If 18z suite comes in similar to what the trends are with the HRRR a widespread 8-12'' would seem quite reasonable. They're just going nuts with the lift and mesoanalysis seems to sort of support this idea. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: HRRR keeps going wilder each run. Good to see even if the verbatim amounts are overdone. This is gonna be pretty dynamic for a few hours. Nice to go the other way near game time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: If 18z suite comes in similar to what the trends are with the HRRR a widespread 8-12'' would seem quite reasonable. They're just going nuts with the lift and mesoanalysis seems to sort of support this idea. Take em up, now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How can you not think possible now with the usual stingey models so jacked ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Take em up, now. Not sure if 6-10'' is a more reasonable way to go or something as extreme as 8-12''. I guess in the end there really isn't that much of a different between the two ranges. I would think (and I think Scott mentioned this), but totals should be rather uniform. I guess it's just whether or not that's like 6-8'' or like 10-12'' lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The 17z HRRR sounding at BDL is insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Ratios might counter their precip there. Heavy dense stuff for sure Someone further up and in might get more snow from less water Totally agree... I think we see multiple relative jack areas (and by that I mean 8-10 vs. 6-8, and maybe spot 10-12 in the former): PYM to south shore area simply by QPF dumpage of heavy wet Another further northwest where best fronto and better SLRs overlap But by virtue of this moving pretty quickly, it's a relatively uniform thumpage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not sure if 6-10'' is a more reasonable way to go or something as extreme as 8-12''. I guess in the end there really isn't that much of a different between the two ranges. I would think (and I think Scott mentioned this), but totals should be rather uniform. I guess it's just whether or not that's like 6-8'' or like 10-12'' lol 6-10. Too fast of a mover to go overboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: For all the older weenies on here what's the largest snow bust you've ever had? Maybe Feb 2010? There were also two storms last March that were supposed to give me 15+", but I got 2" and a dusting respectively. Sucked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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