JC-CT Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 We all tickle 40 today, so...if it starts at like 4pm, then yeah probably rain. It will cool off quickly once it gets going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The flow is riding a German Autobahn. If we had even a semblance of Judah ever being even 25% right, we’d have a KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The flow is riding a German Autobahn. If we had even a semblance of Judah ever being even 25% right, we’d have a KU. Hey, if they can build a wall at Mexico, maybe we can build a quick, 30k foot tall one near ACK 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The flow is riding a German Autobahn. If we had even a semblance of Judah ever being even 25% right, we’d have a KU. He's had a tough stretch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If I had to pick a sweet spot, it's from about Ray to ORH to TOL and sw into interior CT and then to about near BOS..esp maybe just inland. That's my guess. I'll do well here, but I think it should be fairly wet here....though 950 is darn cold. Thoughts on amounts? Is 12” too high as an outside shot? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 59 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 6z GFS has a great branding signature over E MA. What does the elongated circle over Merrimack county New Hampshire is concord mean? TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: What does the elongated circle over Merrimack county New Hampshire is concord mean? TIA That is Ray's happy face Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 This is begining so far to look like potentionally the biggest of the season around our viewing area. Let's see if we can beat the November 12th storm around here without turning to rain this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: He's had a tough stretch lol I unfollowed him on twitter, he’s become fake news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Thoughts on amounts? Is 12” too high as an outside shot? I think your 6-10 is good. Maybe someone gets a 12 spot..but I don't think it will be a common upper end number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah... nice weekend for a bunch of peeps Got 1 from previous day too. I don't think this one is the last. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think your 6-10 is good. Maybe someone gets a 12 spot..but I don't think it will be a common upper end number. Moose Hill in Sharon jack...10.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: What does the elongated circle over Merrimack county New Hampshire is concord mean? TIA It means “meh”. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Another feature to monitor that I mentioned above... not the strongest signal but might be some potential for coastal front enhancement that could benefit areas like Ray to northeast MA...: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think your 6-10 is good. Maybe someone gets a 12 spot..but I don't think it will be a common upper end number. Agreed. Speed is limiting factor IMHO. It's gonna absolutely rip for a while but it's a fast storm. That's gonna limit the double digit amounts to probably a few lucky spots that maximize their residence time in the heaviest bands. I think lots of 8s and 9s will be common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Agreed. Speed is limiting factor IMHO. It's gonna absolutely rip for a while but it's a fast storm. That's gonna limit the double digit amounts to probably a few lucky spots that maximize their residence time in the heaviest bands. I think lots of 8s and 9s will be common. That's how I feel too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: It means “meh”. I was thinking sinking air nw of that heavier band near the coast .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I don’t think anyone except the coast starts as rain . It’s cold aloft . Mid -upper 30’s today. Drops quickly once snow starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I was thinking sinking air nw of that heavier band near the coast .... The meat and potatoes fronto is lining up from NE MA down to C CT. But yeah...boring run of the mill north of the best banding. We’ll squeeze out 3-6” and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think anyone except the coast starts as rain . It’s cold aloft . Mid -upper 30’s today. Drops quickly once snow starts Surface wetbulbs will be plenty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Hard to get excited for a few inchesSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: Hard to get excited for a few inches Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk But she keeps coming back, doesn’t she? 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: But she keeps coming back, doesn’t she? Might be for that nice house he got her. That's worth sacrificing. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 But she keeps coming back, doesn’t she?Yes. Even for a half inch last nightSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 We need Jerry’s Boston Muthafukkas report 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might be for that nice house he got her. That's worth sacrificing. He’s pushing her limits with that lawn though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 HRRR slays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We need Jerry’s Boston Muthafukkas report BOS MAV 4, MET 1 ORH MAV 4, MET 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 He’s pushing her limits with that lawn though.Lol. Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie is def more amped too...seems like all the guidance sans NAM at 00z is more amped. I'm several pages back but just noticing the 06z NAM and GFS both came back more robust ... Looks like Logan nears .9" melted in this NAM run, and the GFS had repositioning it's Va. Capes position some 100 mile N near off the lower Jersey shores...centered on 06z Monday morning. Which translates to almost a category increase in the QPF layout for areas on the NW arc. Which ...yeah I know how y'all feel about QPF art work and why..just sayn'... One thing that's stood out to me about the NAM's solution going back many cycles actually ... is that it almost looks like it is focusing all of the event on the east and N arcs of the cyclone ...and almost none wraps back on the West side. I can come up with an argument to satisfy that synoptic evolution related to the anomalous speed in the flow tilting the whole structure of the thing and/or shearing stress (some)... But, then I look at the GFS run and how it depicts the termination timing over interior Mass quite delayed comparatively. That looks more theoretically likeable... Not sure... Either seems plausible to me. It matters for whether I trek my way into the office or work from home tomorrow - haha. But that NAM consistency of scouring out all activity on the western (pretty much) half of it's cyclonic envelope is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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