OSUmetstud Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 30 minutes ago, dendrite said: We need Chris to come in with his ensemble sensitivities. Im no expert at reading these....but it does seem like the strength of the ridge between the two lows matters a great deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: This. The official forecasts are not reflecting the amplitude of tonight. I'm certainly not expecting a blockbuster, but I still think I manage to eek out between those numbers... I def understand the concern regarding spacing and surpression, but I'm feeling this one. Stay tuned for more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 The Euro continues to not like the idea of tonight's event forcing the other south...its gon' be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro continues to not like the idea of tonight's event forcing the other south...its gon' be wrong So does the Euro continue to be the only decent guidance that is still amped for Sunday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 I'm riding the Euro on this 'cuz it gives me the most snow... We will go down together 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 25 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro continues to not like the idea of tonight's event forcing the other south...its gon' be wrong 6Z Looks south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Yeah snowgoose is wrong...euro ticked but obvynot massively 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Yeah snowgoose is wrong...euro ticked but obvynot massively He could wind up being right though... Euro has not been the Rock this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 48 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Im no expert at reading these....but it does seem like the strength of the ridge between the two lows matters a great deal. I should say that the depth of the march 4th low and the ridging ahead of it are more important than the depth and position of this weekend's low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 45 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: He could wind up being right though... Euro has not been the Rock this season. In fact it's downright been bad at times...it's been wrong more than I've ever seen it be wrong in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: In fact it's downright been bad at times...it's been wrong more than I've ever seen it be wrong in the past. It was all over during that January system if I remember right. Up the Hudson, then scraping the south coast, and so on. Not the stable model it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: It was all over during that January system if I remember right. Up the Hudson, then scraping the south coast, and so on. Not the stable model it once was. Maybe it has a problem with the fast flow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 NAM in clown range looks sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Maybe it has a problem with the fast flow? Possibly. The Euro tends to struggle in La Nina winters and without a doubt this winter the pattern has been La Nina like at times in regards to fast Pacific flow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Nice deform look up here on the nammy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 GFS looks pretty sweet. (Safe harbor caveats apply) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Gfs definitely more northwest on 12z. It was way east at 6z so i believe that’s a good thing. Now let’s just get the EURO a little less tucked and then most will be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 It looks stronger more than anything. A euro gfs compromise would make many happy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Well that's a sweet look for Monday in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 So verbatim those snows would bring me up to average for the season. That would put me in a quandary as far as the grade. Still thinking a D would be reasonable given the total shitshow the core of the season was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 the fv3 would be highly impactful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 12z GFS QPF for this storm only. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It looks stronger more than anything. A euro gfs compromise would make many happy. The op GFS really tries to thread the frustration needle for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 CMC-I’ll pay double and buy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 FV3 is a crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The op GFS really tries to thread the frustration needle for this area. Gfs is too far south imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, Sn0waddict said: FV3 is a crush job. 1.25" from haverhill to newark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: So verbatim those snows would bring me up to average for the season. That would put me in a quandary as far as the grade. Still thinking a D would be reasonable given the total shitshow the core of the season was. If both of these systems manage to completely screw some area of SNE, say Hamden/North Haven area, there's going to be some epic meltdowns...maybe even suicides.... If they pan out well and im in the 30s for snowfall, id give it a C/C-, they both suck, both misses, an F or D-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs is too far south imo. I think so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 With the shift in the morning models today for tomorrows storm, I'm not going to take any solution on these models seriously for Monday's storm until like Sunday afternoon. Even then I'll be on edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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