weathafella Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, tiger_deF said: Is there a "calendar" of sorts that has the initiation dates of weather models? Yes. 0z is midnight GMT or 7pm eastern in standard time and 8pm during dst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Ha really? That's awesome I thought I was being a rebel. The map I posted even says on the map that I shouldn't share it lol. In order to share you pay the next tier up. Guess I never noticed that. What site? I’d say any graphics behind a paywall probably shouldn’t be posted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The RGEM has been horrible, It had a great run a few years back and then the Canadians told us TGFO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: Is there a "calendar" of sorts that has the initiation dates of weather models? There used to be a pinned thread with the breakdown of the release times for them years ago. It was either in the NYC or NE sub-forum. Can't remember which one but it's gone now anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Guess I never noticed that. What site? I’d say any graphics behind a paywall probably shouldn’t be posted. They all say the same thing, I've got multiple subscriptions. Recently, ECMWF has sent out a clarification of their Standard License Agreement to its customers, that some may have not understood in this way beforehand. Weathermodels.com is about transparency and fairness, so we decided to make this Guideline page that informs our users exactly about the allowed usage of ECMWF maps and products, that they can buy through our subscriptions. Weathermodels.com is a maximum charge customer of ECMWF data and does process this data to create maps and graphics (so-called Value-Added-Services (VAS)) for its customers. ECMWF does regard any next tier of customers of their Licensees as so-called End users (that is you, if you have a subscription with us). This holds true not only for weathermodels.com, but for any other outlet as well that provides ECMWF maps, charts and other ECMWF based Value-Added-Services. Can I share ECMWF model maps on the internet? ECMWF generally prohibits End users (people that are not direct customers of ECMWF, meaning you) to broadcast their products or maps created based on their products - this includes Social Media. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It’s only the SV maps that I’m aware of that can’t be disseminated None of them are supposed to be. Maue has a strict warning on his site about it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: The RGEM has been horrible, It had a great run a few years back and then the Canadians told us TGFO. I don't know what they did to it. It used to be awesome, whatever it had 48 hrs out was a lock you could take to the bank. Did they "upgrade" it or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, BombsAway1288 said: I don't know what they did to it. It used to be awesome, whatever it had 48 hrs out was a lock you could take to the bank. Did they "upgrade" it or something? It was good for one season. A lot of ball players are like that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Sign me up with that herpes run. I’d clean it up with the leaf blower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, BombsAway1288 said: I don't know what they did to it. It used to be awesome, whatever it had 48 hrs out was a lock you could take to the bank. Did they "upgrade" it or something? It was solid from 36hrs in, There was an upgrade i think a year or so ago, But i would consider that to be a downgrade....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 51 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Significantly? If this one slips away I will be bummed. You are getting 6" I am getting 4" and we watch SE MA catch up to our seasonal totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Sign me up with that herpes run. I’d clean it up with the leaf blower. Probably would have a harder time blowing off these though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: None of them are supposed to be. Maue has a strict warning on his site about it too. Well I appreciate you not banning me over the past several seasons as an offender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: It was good for one season. A lot of ball players are like that... It had video game type numbers for that one year but it was still pretty good before that too. Now it's just all of it mojo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Well I appreciate you not banning me over the past several seasons as an offender. I’ve tried to enforce it before, but it’s a losing battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Groundhog Day. Here comes the weak and east ticks. Again, im in a decent spot here.... but the general meh outcomes suck. We all know where this is headed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: It was solid from 36hrs in, There was an upgrade i think a year or so ago, But i would consider that to be a downgrade....lol Ugh These "upgrades" they give to the models don't do shit or just make the models worse it seems. Happened with the NAM, with the Euro and now with the GFS. The FV3 is so bad, implementation is being pushed back yet again Frustrating. Idk, maybe I'm just snake bitten with this year like Ray said. And I'm not even making forecasts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: It was good for one season. A lot of ball players are like that... It was very good in both 13-14 and also 15-16. In between it was miserable in 14-15. Since then it’s been hit or miss but has had an exceptionally poor run this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Groundhog Day. Here comes the weak and east ticks. Again, im in a decent spot here.... but the general meh outcomes suck. We all know where this is headed Taunton jack? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: It was very good in both 13-14 and also 15-16. In between it was miserable in 14-15. Since then it’s been hit or miss but has had an exceptionally poor run this winter That's right, it was bad in that season. One of the many models that busted badly inside 36hrs with the Jan 15' blizzard for the NYC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Groundhog Day. Here comes the weak and east ticks. Again, im in a decent spot here.... but the general meh outcomes suck. We all know where this is headed you. just. jackpotted the “meh, woe is me act” is getting quite tired 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Groundhog Day. Here comes the weak and east ticks. Again, im in a decent spot here.... but the general meh outcomes suck. We all know where this is headed Its can only get so far east, The trough is not getting pancaked here, A weaker outcome though isn't being ruled out, Lot of convection with this is going to be playing games with modeling as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: One thing I noticed last night, people ask what people think for a given area, posters respond with their best thoughts then when it doesn't pan out right away the posts come out degrading those who missed. If you, not you, ask for a forecast then show appreciation people were kind enough to respond, and especially don't turn around and call the names or insinuate they swing wildly for the fences without forethought. You know who you are. And a related perennial observation: it takes time to make a well analyzed and reasoned forecast map, or even to put down specific forecast numbers in writing. I'm talking earnest forecast numbers with solid reasoning, not a silly wishcast. Putting down numbers in writing should be a pre-requisite for those who are quick to mock or criticize or claim AIT's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, wxsniss said: And a related perennial observation: it takes time to make a well analyzed and reasoned forecast map, or even to put down specific forecast numbers in writing. I'm talking earnest forecast numbers with solid reasoning, not a silly wishcast. Putting down numbers in writing should be a pre-requisite for those who are quick to mock or criticize or claim AIT's. That's how AccuWeather was, wish casting could get you banned from the forum. What's AIT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its can only get so far east, The trough is not getting pancaked here, A weaker outcome though isn't being ruled out, Lot of convection with this is going to be playing games with modeling as well. Yeah... the convection could be causing issues, or it could be real. Now I’m not going to pretend to be well versed in any of these matters, but isn’t that basically what happened with today’s system? Who knows, hopefully a lot of people can at least cash something from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: That's how AccuWeather was, wish casting could get you banned from the forum. What's AIT? As I Thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah... the convection could be causing issues, or it could be real. Now I’m not going to pretend to be well versed in any of these matters, but isn’t that basically what happened with today’s system? Who knows, hopefully a lot of people can at least cash something from this. No clue, I was out snowmobiling the last two days...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: As I Thought Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah... the convection could be causing issues, or it could be real. Now I’m not going to pretend to be well versed in any of these matters, but isn’t that basically what happened with today’s system? Who knows, hopefully a lot of people can at least cash something from this. From what i have seen, It seems to have more negative effects then positives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 I made my very first snow map ever! Comments and critiques would be appreciated, I based this off a more aggressive side of guidance because as long as it doesn't continue to tic SE I think that there will be some good banding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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