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NE snow event March 4th


tiger_deF
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The baroclinic zone is draped right along the Coast on all guidance, and the Arctic front trailing behind is oriented SW to NE.  This isn’t a suppression pattern. I think there is room for heights to be pumped off the coast, so that this open wave traverses the region  pretty tucked in. This is also a case where the heaviest snows are going to be closest to the taint line, so keep that in mind...

My first guess is 6-10” for SE NH. Heaviest snowfall from NE MA down to NE CT (8-14”).

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4 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The baroclinic zone is draped right along the Coast on all guidance, and the Arctic front trailing behind is oriented SW to NE.  This isn’t a suppression pattern. I think there is room for heights to be pumped off the coast, so that this open wave traverses the region  pretty tucked in. This is also a case where the heaviest snows are going to be closest to the taint line, so keep that in mind...

My first guess is 6-10” for SE NH. Heaviest snowfall from NE MA down to NE CT (8-14”).

we take!

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22 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The baroclinic zone is draped right along the Coast on all guidance, and the Arctic front trailing behind is oriented SW to NE.  This isn’t a suppression pattern. I think there is room for heights to be pumped off the coast, so that this open wave traverses the region  pretty tucked in. This is also a case where the heaviest snows are going to be closest to the taint line, so keep that in mind...

My first guess is 6-10” for SE NH. Heaviest snowfall from NE MA down to NE CT (8-14”).

Thanks. What are u thinking for CT coast before taint? Like u said heaviest close to change over line, so perhaps a solid thump before the change?

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4 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Few early thoughts:  I am a NAM 12Km fan...I think better than the 3K though I'll reevaluate demonstrated other superior model opinion inside 60 hours. 

I've added then probabilistic graphic I used early this morning...looks too far nw to me...  and I think, if the next several runs of the NAM concur, there will be a pretty darn good band of 1-2"/hr for 2 hours setting up somewhere near FWN-BOS line 03z-09z time frame. Two graphics attached: mid shift probability 4+, axis looks too far nw to me, but the future modeling may confirm this location or a shift. AND, an advance notice of FGEN banding potential, near 06z/4. If the transitory enewd moving band occurs, then I see a 9" stripe somewhere along or just north of it. 653919799_ScreenShot2019-03-02at8_41_21AM.thumb.png.e24f1b12d86e003237972155325f6de1.png

Screen Shot 2019-03-02 at 5.58.54 AM.png

Good news for interior SNE?

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