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March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat


WEATHERMINATOR
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Just now, Metasequoia said:

I'm not sure when 6Z and 18Z EURO runs started, but they are a thing. The operational run only goes to 90 hours or so.

Only about 4-6 months that 06 and 18 runs started.  I can’t recall when the Euro started running two times a day.  We were talking about this a few days ago.  My guess was it was sometime in 2010 or 2011

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Just now, Metasequoia said:

I would love to see a EURO clownmap if someone has one. I suspect it's 8 plus for NYC based on the use of the word, "caving".

Wouldn't go that far necessarily. Caving implies still in the process, which could mean a lot of things. 

But some hard stats would be nice if anyone could oblige?

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45 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Euro further south and east

Caving

It’s not done Anthony. I made the mistake of believing the Euro a couple of days ago, and the setup at the time did support its solutions, but everything changed once these shortwaves moved through and altered the flow. This thing is going SE and it isn’t done moving yet

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Just now, snowman19 said:

It’s not done Anthony. I made the mistake of believing the Euro a couple of days ago, and the setup at the time did support its solutions, but everything changed once these shortwaves moved through and altered the flow. This thing is going SE and it isn’t done moving yet

I said last night it’s possible the northern portion of the sub forum could come close to missing the next event if this was strong enough.  It might not be til 18-00Z models tomorrow that we get an idea where the Sunday event tracks because the height changes need to actually take place from tonights system 

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3 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

It’s not done Anthony. I made the mistake of believing the Euro a couple of days ago, and the setup at the time did support its solutions, but everything changed once these shortwaves moved through and altered the flow. This thing is going SE and it isn’t done moving yet

I don't see the Euro going as far south and east as the current GFS. This looks like a good hit for the city.

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12 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

It’s not done Anthony. I made the mistake of believing the Euro a couple of days ago, and the setup at the time did support its solutions, but everything changed once these shortwaves moved through and altered the flow. This thing is going SE and it isn’t done moving yet

Holy shit

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2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

It’s not done Anthony. I made the mistake of believing the Euro a couple of days ago, and the setup at the time did support its solutions, but everything changed once these shortwaves moved through and altered the flow. This thing is going SE and it isn’t done moving yet

Euro hasn't been great since its so-called "upgrade"

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