Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Who's got the Euro? I cancel my subscriptions after met winter ends, and the free sites are too slow and temporally coarse to see what's going on this close to go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Who's got the Euro? I cancel my subscriptions after met winter ends, and the free sites are too slow and temporally coarse to see what's going on this close to go time. Would also appreciate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Euro cut back a bit NW but is colder for LI and CNJ. Shifted SE again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 If i were to make a snow map (and you all know how i feel about snow maps) for this storm it would be this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Who's got the Euro? I cancel my subscriptions after met winter ends, and the free sites are too slow and temporally coarse to see what's going on this close to go time. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2019030300/pennsylvania/snow-depth-in/20190304-0500z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Who's got the Euro? I cancel my subscriptions after met winter ends, and the free sites are too slow and temporally coarse to see what's going on this close to go time. I got you. What do you want me to show you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 This is a solid 4-8" storm for pretty much the entrie subforum except eastern LI and SE Monmouth Co and Ocean Co. I'm sure some areas will see 10" near or just nw of i95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, Rjay said: If i were to make a snow map (and you all know how i feel about snow maps) for this storm it would be this. Not to go back on my preaching about using soundings not snow maps, it looks still like it’s on the warm side of guidance. Definitely warmer than the RGEM if it’s spreading the heaviest snow north of the Tappan Zee. Doesn’t change my thinking at all, but I was thinking we’d see a correction back NW after the big SE shift last night. Models today generally went back more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, Rjay said: This is a solid 4-8" storm for pretty much the entrie subforum except eastern LI and SE Monmouth Co and Ocean Co. I'm sure some areas will see 10" near or just nw of i95. The south shore (Nassau/W Suffolk) will be sweating the rain/snow line tomorrow night. Hopefully it stays just offshore. Eastern Suffolk I think changes over for a decent part of it, enough to cut back. I think just north of where the rain snow line ends up really dumps too, just like last night. There’ll also be a good dump before the warm mid level air comes close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Euro looks good. Might stay up for the 6z NAM. Later I get up, earlier it starts snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4-8 inches seems like a good call for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shadowsintherain Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 There go the warnings! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Winter storm warning in effect for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Gfs caves to king euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Animal said: Gfs caves to king euro No it didn’t lol. The Euro shifted SE while the gfs shifted NW. sounds like a compromise to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I'm still antsy about the airmass currently in place, it's very marginal. Luckily this will be another evening to overnight event where the sun angle will not be a factor, and that's a huge win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 13 minutes ago, Animal said: Gfs caves to king euro What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Rgem still shows 6+ for the coast and surrounding areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: What? 6z gfs caved big time. Don’t deny it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Animal said: 6z gfs caved big time. Don’t deny it. No it didn't. Euro has 4-8 inches for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Encouraging to see as I wake up this morning the GFS clean up its act with being so dry. 6z qpf map more in line with the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 24 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Rgem still shows 6+ for the coast and surrounding areas. Nice to see some 10+ inch lollipops too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said: Nice to see some 10+ inch lollipops too! Rgem has been showing the same thing since yesterday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said: Encouraging to see as I wake up this morning the GFS clean up its act with being so dry. 6z qpf map more in line with the other models. Para also increased snow amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6z HRDPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Winter Storm Warning in effect here from 3 pm this afternoon until 7 am Monday morning for 5-8" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6Z 12 km NAM and GFS, showing less snow/more sleet and/or rain for coastal sections and even parts of 95 have to be a little unsettling after such nice model consensus at 0Z. The fact that the 6Z NAM doesn't show nearly as much of this, makes me want to discount the 12 km NAM to some extent and I assume the NWS saw the NAMs before issuing their packages. Also, the other 6Z guidance doesn't snow this level of mixing/changeover, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Good morning everyone, two things: the obs thread for March 2 was just updated with the final NOHRSC snowfall analysis. Should look pretty good. Also, I attached the NWS collaborated snowfall forecast for tonight here, in case no one else posted this earlier. This is as of 5AM/3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 5 hours ago, jm1220 said: The south shore (Nassau/W Suffolk) will be sweating the rain/snow line tomorrow night. Hopefully it stays just offshore. Eastern Suffolk I think changes over for a decent part of it, enough to cut back. I think just north of where the rain snow line ends up really dumps too, just like last night. There’ll also be a good dump before the warm mid level air comes close. ..i concur..all 'future casts' show ELI changing to rain..not expecting big numbers out here..not sure if winter storm warnings are worthy out my way..after a quick thump of snow we rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 46 minutes ago, tim said: ..i concur..all 'future casts' show ELI changing to rain..not expecting big numbers out here..not sure if winter storm warnings are worthy out my way..after a quick thump of snow we rain. OKX expected snowfall map has Montauk in the 5 inch zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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