BxEngine Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 5:44 PM, snowman19 said: It’s called a changing pattern. Yes, that was a risk a few days ago. Shortwaves and stream flows moved around. You do know weather changes and evolves right? Expand Yes. Most understand that. Its why we try not to talk in absolutes around here. Now back to the changing pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 6:09 PM, David-LI said: euro? Expand Surface looks almost identical to yesterday's 12z run. 850s slightly colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Euro probably overdoing the amplification given the progressive flow. But it also has been the best performer overall so I can't discount it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 6:19 PM, SnoSki14 said: Euro probably overdoing the amplification given the progressive flow. But it also has been the best performer overall so I can't discount it. Expand It’s slowly caving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 meh euro continues the theme this winter, NW does the best while us coasties suffer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 GEFS anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 All snow heavy snow for our area no rain. Fwiw jma is southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 6:19 PM, SnoSki14 said: Euro probably overdoing the amplification given the progressive flow. But it also has been the best performer overall so I can't discount it. Euro still rain for the coast?Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 7:17 PM, tek1972 said: Euro still rain for the coast? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 7:17 PM, tek1972 said: Euro still rain for the coast? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Expand Take a look...snow to rain. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2019030112/new-jersey/significant-weather/20190304-0000z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Navgem went southeast and is a coastal snowstorm and a lot of precipitation. A setup like this could gives us 6-10 inches of snow Sunday evening to Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 6:15 PM, RDRY said: Surface looks almost identical to yesterday's 12z run. 850s slightly colder. Expand surface looks the same wrt/snow and temps, but 850s were warmer on 12Z vs. last night, not colder... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 7:53 PM, RU848789 said: surface looks the same wrt/snow and temps, but 850s were warmer on 12Z vs. last night, not colder... Expand I only compared it to yesterday's 12z on the TT 72-hour panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Nam is going to be a big hit nam’d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:37 PM, WEATHERMINATOR said: Nam is going to be a big hit nam’d Expand It seemed that way but changes to rain. Looks like 6-8" before changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:38 PM, David-LI said: It seemed that way but changes to rain. Looks like 6-8" before changeover. Expand Areas just to the north and west get crushed on the nam. Alot if snow and sleet for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:40 PM, Snow88 said: Areas just to the north and west get crushed on the nam. Alot if snow and sleet for NYC. Expand Its too amped, but not too surprising at 60 hours on the NAM. The EURO being so far NW is concerning though, despite the GFS, UKIE, ICON and to an extent the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 18z nam is decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:48 PM, Animal said: 18z nam is decent Expand 18z for both events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:52 PM, hudsonvalley21 said: 18z for both events. Expand This map is completely deceiving for NYC/LI. Must be a ton of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3k is cooler and is great for the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:55 PM, Sn0waddict said: 3k is cooler and is great for the metro area. Expand From past storms I noticed that 3k NAM is usually cooler than the other two. Why is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:55 PM, mikem81 said: This map is completely deceiving for NYC/LI. Must be a ton of sleet. Expand Could be, the QPF map is showing 2" for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:57 PM, David-LI said: From past storms I noticed that 3k NAM is usually cooler than the other two. Why is that? Expand Not too sure, but in this case it’s just because the NAM is a little more tucked in than the 3k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 9:02 PM, Sn0waddict said: Not too sure, but in this case it’s just because the NAM is a little more tucked in than the 3k. Expand I just don’t think we change to rain I think this just ends as some light sleet maybe a shower as it pulls out. 3k nam crushes us and keeps it cold and snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 9:04 PM, WEATHERMINATOR said: I just don’t think we change to rain I think this just ends as some light sleet maybe a shower as it pulls out. 3k nam crushes us and keeps it cold and snowy. Expand And why do you think that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 9:07 PM, David-LI said: And why do you think that? Expand Cause the low doesn’t go over us and as the low cruises to our southeast the PV is pressing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 8:55 PM, mikem81 said: This map is completely deceiving for NYC/LI. Must be a ton of sleet. Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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