MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Ukie has a few inches for the area with this storm and Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Euro is flatter and east of 18z. Still rainy for the coast but good improvements. Night everyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 0Z EURO took another significant jump southeast. NYC is now half snow (front end) and half rain. 6Z NAM improved markedly...also snow to rain for NYC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 12Z NAM looks even better for Sunday night. Nice trends. https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=neus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2019030112&fh=6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 The NAM is basically a January 87/February 95 type effect...it changes over but by the time it does 95% of the precip is done.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 12z hi res is colder than the regular nam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Gfs and icon are both all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 12z GFS is all snow and a bit stronger than last run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Oh how I wish the models were right and stayed the course. Additionally, the timing would be really good (Sunday night - Monday morning) for March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Oh how I wish the models were right and stayed the course. Additionally, the timing would be really good (Sunday night - Monday morning) for March. Euro is wrong here every model has a snowstorm for us except the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Could anyone post a more detailed snow map for last GFS run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, David-LI said: Could anyone post a more detailed snow map for last GFS run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, David-LI said: Could anyone post a more detailed snow map for last GFS run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 This is a case where a fast, progressive flow is a good thing otherwise this would cut well inland. It's still a close call though, a lot can go wrong in 2-3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 12Z FV3 is a big hit. Rain snow line is a bit too close for comfort though. https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2019030112&fh=60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This is a case where a fast, progressive flow is a good thing otherwise this would cut well inland. It's still a close call though, a lot can go wrong in 2-3 days. There is also ideal positioning of the PV as well as the first storm tonight flattening the flow slightly. I think without tonight's storm this goes over top of us 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Ukie? Classic nor’easter signature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Ukie? from NE forum (ORH_wxman) looks good to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 15 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: from NE forum (ORH_wxman) looks good to me... Alot of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Alot of precip We can get our 4-8 out of this if it’s stays all snow. This is fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Alot of precip What type?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, WEATHERMINATOR said: We can get our 4-8 out of this if it’s stays all snow. This is fun 4-8+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Alot of precip You have a map of said alot of precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: You have a map of said alot of precip? It’s all snow on ukmet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 The new mesoscale model runs are pushing tonight/tomorrow morning’s event further and further SE. Keep in mind there is a risk here of how this will affect Sunday night. Imagine Saturday blowing up into a major low offshore. Arctic drain from Quebec pours into it. Flattens the flow. Causes Canadian ULL suppression to push into the northeast, causing the Sunday night event to suppress/graze the area. This is now a risk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The new mesoscale model runs are pushing tonight/tomorrow morning’s event further and further SE. Keep in mind there is a risk here of how this will affect Sunday night. Imagine Saturday blowing up into a major low offshore. Arctic drain from Quebec pours into it. Flattens the flow. Causes Canadian ULL suppression to push into the northeast, causing the Sunday night event to suppress/graze the area. This is now a risk It’s turned Sunday from a cutter/hugger to the almost ideal track for now on most models. Hopefully the models have keyed in on tomorrow’s system properly at this point and we see no more SE shifts for Sunday’s system, but still a possibility of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The new mesoscale model runs are pushing tonight/tomorrow morning’s event further and further SE. Keep in mind there is a risk here of how this will affect Sunday night. Imagine Saturday blowing up into a major low offshore. Arctic drain from Quebec pours into it. Flattens the flow. Causes Canadian ULL suppression to push into the northeast, causing the Sunday night event to suppress/graze the area. This is now a risk So you went from saying that it was going to be all rain to now a concern about suppression. LMAO 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: So you went from saying that it was going to be all rain to now a concern about suppression. LMAO It’s called a changing pattern. Yes, that was a risk a few days ago. Shortwaves and stream flows moved around. You do know weather changes and evolves right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Canadian is a big dump heading nw of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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