WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS LOOKS GREAT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Canadian is a bit warmer and more closer to the coast changes nyc to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 UKMET looks nice. a 997 maybe just inside the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, mikem81 said: UKMET looks nice. a 997 maybe just inside the BM Very nice look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Hard to get excited if you are in the immediate NYC metro and points south and east - we have seen these borderline fiascos a couple times already this winter Jan 19-20 and a couple weeks ago.... shel·lac Dictionary result for shellac /SHəˈlak/ verb gerund or present participle: shellacking 1. varnish (something) with shellac. 2. informal•North American defeat or beat (someone) decisively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, WEATHERMINATOR said: Very nice look It depends how it gets there though. The coast could easily begin as rain on a track like that. I can’t really see details yet on the UKMET maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 12z Canadian is all rain for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Probably will be all rain here but still some wiggle room. Yet another N and W storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 UKMET has been most consistent so far with the Sunday Night event. Last 3 runs all look very similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, David-LI said: 12z Canadian is all rain for us It starts as snow but would change quickly with the low on the delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, mikem81 said: UKMET has been most consistent so far with the Sunday Night event. Last 3 runs all look very similiar I want to believe the UKIE is right, but it has shown one pretty benchmark storm after another this Winter. I don't know how it gets such a high verification score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 GEFS look like a classic benchmark track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, WEATHERMINATOR said: GEFS look like a classic benchmark track 6Z was better, But this is very similiar to 0Z. still slightly NW, but hopefully this is the farthest NW is shows. Keep in mind this is not tracing up the coast over the water. It goes SW to NE from the lower midwest so it would exit off the DE coast. Would prefer this to be just SE of the benchmark for NYC to be mostly snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Metasequoia said: I want to believe the UKIE is right, but it has shown one pretty benchmark storm after another this Winter. I don't know how it gets such a high verification score. Cuz it’s great maybe with predicting everything else but storm tracks lol? Like how many clouds will appear that day lol. I can’t figure it out either and I wonder the same thing, it’s been BM quite often this season only to cave as the event gets closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 What did 12Z Euro show? 24 hour panels on tidbits are useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, HeadInTheClouds said: What did 12Z Euro show? 24 hour panels on tidbits are useless. NE forum says it ticked SE and was flatter which is good but needs more trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Metasequoia said: I want to believe the UKIE is right, but it has shown one pretty benchmark storm after another this Winter. I don't know how it gets such a high verification score. Yes, but on some earlier storms it was lonely in those BM tracks; this time, it's aligned reasonably well with the other models - in fact the model spread right now is smaller than I would expect - sure the outcomes are different, but that's only because the gradient is going to be a knife's edge one from rain to snow, which is not unusual in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Icon 18z is a true snowstorm for everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Don't believe the ICON for a second. Crap model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 21 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Don't believe the ICON for a second. Crap model. Gfs is all snow for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, WEATHERMINATOR said: Gfs is all snow for the city GFS is still iffy and has it raining on long island. ICON has it snowing in southern Jersey on north, not buying it at all. Nam, Euro, Para and CMC say otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, HeadInTheClouds said: GFS is still iffy and has it raining on long island. ICON has it snowing in southern Jersey on north, not buying it at all. Nam, Euro, Para and CMC say otherwise. Agree with you, though the UKIE I think is snow for the city as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I hope the entire board gets a nice snowstorm but taking into account how things have unfolded this winter and what a lot of guidance is suggesting I would still say NW of 95 stands the best chance for significant snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Gfs is coming in alot flatter Cmc also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 CMC a lot better than 12Z, looks like about half snow, half rain for the city. Mainly Snow for the suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, NEG NAO said: Ukie is similiar to gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Ukie is similiar to gfs Basically all the 0Z models now have a track benchmark offshore or just offshore - will Euro also trend southeast ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, NEG NAO said: Basically all the 0Z models now have a track benchmark offshore or just offshore - will Euro also trend southeast ? Yes but very slowly. It only slowly caught on to this current morning’s snow wave (it had nothing here 36 hours ago) and it’s slowly moving north on the system tomorrow night. I don’t see NYC getting 6-8 inches as the Euro showed at 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Gefs is further east and all snow for the whole area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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