NorthArlington101 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Yeah I am totally buying the 5" it gives my yard in 3 hours, with the 850 mb 0c line right over me and heading NW. Those maps are terrible.for real, I love TTT but these maps are horrible. NAM maps had me getting 6” of snow/sleet last night. Wanna guess what I got? Should focus on the 850 temp improvements and just call that a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Get me some please Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Woah Yes, please!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Fozz said: I think his point was to show the changes between those two runs. My only takeaway from his post is that it’s a slightly colder run than 12z and there’s more frozen precip. We all know DC isn’t getting 6”. If he wanted to "show the changes", he would not lazily be posting the snow maps. If you look upstairs, there isn't much difference at all. Run-to run noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Get me some please Pass it to me when you’re done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: If he wanted to "show the changes", he would not lazily be posting the snow maps. If you look upstairs, there isn't much difference at all. Run-to run noise. Lol The 850 0c line clearly moved SE along with the snow line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah I am totally buying the 5" it gives my yard in 3 hours, with the 850 mb 0c line right over me and heading NW. Those maps are terrible. Still waiting for the 4-5" the NAM gave me this morning, didn't witness a single flake or pellet lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol The 850 0c line clearly moved SE along with the snow line Minor changes, Yoda. That's not why the clown maps went nuts with the "snow". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 10 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Woah What the NAM isshowing is that the gradient is going set up just south of PWC and heavy precip along this gradient is going to give us the snow. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol The 850 0c line clearly moved SE along with the snow line You done good yoder, ya done good. We fought the good fight. Let it go, son. Let it go. We can't win 'em all. This is a classic N and W event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 This is why I wouldn’t want a separate thread. I know this probably a blip and I’m not getting 6 inches. But the roller coaster is why we do this. It’s fun. A thread of people not getting snow would be like getting donkey punched with every post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: You done good yoder, ya done good. We fought the good fight. Let it go, son. Let it go. We can't win 'em all. This is a classic N and W event. Yoda is the best. And who knows maybe our bottle isn’t empty just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: What the NAM isshowing is that the gradient is going set up just south of PWC and heavy precip along this gradient is going to give us the snow. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it I’ll buy that book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said: I’ll buy that book It’s in the fiction section. There is also a version in adult fantasy. I can loan you mine. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: It’s in the fiction section. There is also a version in adult fantasy. I can loan you mine. I just plagiarized from the weenie handbook. But at least i can point to the NAM and say we have the smallest of chances. I’m just sick of the constant deluges. Give me snow or give me sunny and 70 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: I just plagiarized from the weenie handbook. But at least i can point to the NAM and say we have the smallest of chances. I’m just sick of the constant deluges. Give me snow or give me sunny and 70 Amen. The door is mostly closed but cracked a little for us. It’s not impossible, just unlikely. I’ve learned in just one winter of tracking and paying attention to the weather that we don’t do unlikely well. But who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Well at least the 3km NAM seems reasonably sane. It is somewhat warmer aloft, and per the 10:1 snow maps it has the heavier snowfall clearly NW of the fall line, as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 24 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol The 850 0c line clearly moved SE along with the snow line Not really going to dive into it right this second but glancing at it I would say the improvements we are seeing on the snow maps are in relation to the better precip/rates we see. It is helping to knock down the warm nose we are seeing poking in between 750-850 mb. That said, though I really hate the +snow depth maps because they are pretty much POS's, I would say it probably is far closer to reality for the cities and S/E then those 10:1's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Wow, how did you figure this out? Are you sure? He has the predisposition to negative melancholy that many do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Not really going to dive into it right this second but glancing at it I would say the improvements we are seeing on the snow maps are in relation to the better precip/rates we see. It is helping to knock down the warm nose we are seeing poking in between 750-850 mb. That said, though I really hate the +snow depth maps because they are pretty much POS's, I would say it probably is far closer to reality for the cities and S/E then those 10:1's. Agreed but if your goal is to see snow falling then it wasn’t bad. Might be little to show for it but show at my location. I can live with that. Just not dripping rain..anything but that. You’ll do great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Agreed but if your goal is to see snow falling then it wasn’t bad. Might be little to show for it but show at my location. I can live with that. Just not dripping rain..anything but that. You’ll do great! I'm with you. Any snow falling is a win in my book even if it doesn't lay. Nothing worse then 32-33 degrees and rain. eta: Actually I lied, 95+ degrees and 70+ humidity is worse. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 RGEM is smoking the same thing as the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 The 18z ICON looks pretty reasonable to me. Has the heaviest snow NW where expected, and the snow maps seem indicative of lower ratios given the marginal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 10 minutes ago, Solution Man said: RGEM is smoking the same thing as the NAM. This storm is going to kill us. Hate to say it but glad we are in the 9th inning of this winter. I’m beat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: The 18z ICON looks pretty reasonable to me. Has the heaviest snow NW where expected, and the snow maps seem indicative of lower ratios given the marginal temps. Nah that ICON snow map is always low compared to output, at least if you're talking about the TT one. Can be accurate at times, but underdone while all the others are overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 I just hope my yard sees the precip hole that has managed to occur every time it snows this year. I really don't need another inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, DDweatherman said: Nah that ICON snow map is always low compared to output, at least if you're talking about the TT one. Can be accurate at times, but underdone while all the others are overdone. Might be a little on the light side, but temps are a factor. Definitely a more realistic look than the 12Km NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Might be a little on the light side, but temps are a factor. Definitely a more realistic look than the 12Km NAM. Definitely agree with that, not seeing those numbers over the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Euro juiced up a tad at 12z and Rgem definitely juiced up ...has 1" qpf tickeling southern Carroll,Fredrick and Baltimore counties and actually 1" in the cities..rates...rates .. They look almost identical. Even the snow map looks almost the same. I think we have some agreement on what is going to happen at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 What I'd do to see this verify..... 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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