MD Snow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Nam stronger with the LPC but south through 39hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, MD Snow said: Nam stronger with the LPC but south through 39hrs. Well now that we are getting this Rainer out of the way, the models will have less interference and it will definitely be colder and more snowier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 NAM says we will go from this cold rain to another slightly less cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 12k still sucks for nova for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: NAM says we will go from this cold rain to another cold rain. No it doesn't. It is giving me 4 inches tonight and another five on Sunday and the storm ain't even done at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, PDIII said: No it doesn't. It is giving me 4 inches tonight and another five on Sunday and the storm ain't even done at that point. Well congrats to you. Where are you at? Doesn’t look like anyone gets below freezing on sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, PDIII said: No it doesn't. It is giving me 4 inches tonight and another five on Sunday and the storm ain't even done at that point. Keep us posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Back to so much whining and complaining in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: 12k still sucks for nova for the most part So the whole south and colder idea is not real? Well that’s not fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Well congrats to you. Where are you at? Doesn’t look like anyone gets below freezing on sunday. Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Could a man expert chime in here? 12k looks sheared or has a double center going on after ;8 hours. Precip shield looks weird or am I just tired? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 I meant weather man expert.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, PDIII said: Baltimore. It gives Baltimore 9” thru sunday? Looks like rain tomorrow and then it starts as snow sunday but then its mostly rain. But maybe I’m seeing it wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Both NAMs have a slightly better cold press this run early on. That’s a good thing. Overall there does seem to be a slight south bleed across guidance right now. Will it be enough for the 95 corridor is the question. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3k NAM all snow through 46 hrs dc north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: Both NAMs have a slightly better cold press this run early on. That’s a good thing. Overall there does seem to be a slight south bleed across guidance right now. Will it be enough for the 95 corridor is the question. Seems the biggest difference between them and the good globals that get snow to us are low strength. Just apply the over amping of Nams at range bias and we are golden (so to speak) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: Both NAMs have a slightly better cold press this run early on. That’s a good thing. Overall there does seem to be a slight south bleed across guidance right now. Will it be enough for the 95 corridor is the question. No I think we will make a remarkable showing but fall just short. But I am about 20 miles west of 95 so I will follow until the clouds clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowCane Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 The NAMs aren’t bad. Trending a little colder at least. The Baltimore guy claiming it gives him 4” tonight and 5” Sunday must be smoking something good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 As psu mentioned, the 32F contour line on 3k is pressing further south. Need more tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: As psu mentioned, the 32F contour line on 3k is pressing further south. Need more tho Still some time and we aren’t going the opposite way. Keep the faith 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Both NAMs have a slightly better cold press this run early on. That’s a good thing. Overall there does seem to be a slight south bleed across guidance right now. Will it be enough for the 95 corridor is the question. Still a bit of time and this storm out of the way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: No I think we will make a remarkable showing but fall just short. But I am about 20 miles west of 95 so I will follow until the clouds clear There is no more “we” with this storm. Half of the forum looks ok. The other half not so much. Hopefully things change a bit more. No way the models have the exact r/s line nailed this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Nam3k is 100 or so miles south of 12k but it's still barely snow smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: Seems the biggest difference between them and the good globals that get snow to us are low strength. Just apply the over amping of Nams at range bias and we are golden (so to speak) Problem is the trend we need is less amped and that also means weaker storm and less precip. 3k is close but if it gets any weaker no one is getting more than 3-6” even in the jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Nam3k is 100 or so miles south of 12k but it's still barely snow smh Double edged sword. It’s south because it’s weaker. Because it’s weaker less precip and dynamic cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Double edged sword. It’s south because it’s weaker. Because it’s weaker less precip and dynamic cooling. So it's time to look at December 2019 then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Looks like snow from 10am until about 1 am Mon. in 3k. Mostly snow Frederick, extreme northern Mont., western Howard, north and northeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Starts snowing in DCA at around 16z SUN on 00z RGEM Mod snow (perhaps heavy) starts in DCA at 20z SUN and continues until the end of the run at 00z MON 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Problem is the trend we need is less amped and that also means weaker storm and less precip. 3k is close but if it gets any weaker no one is getting more than 3-6” even in the jack. Yeah. What we down here are wishing for screws up the northern crew. I still think it’s going to be somewhere between the GFS and Euro in regards to track and strength (shocker I know) which should put your area and throughout most of md west of 95 in line for a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Starts snowing in DCA at around 16z SUN on 00z RGEM Mod snow (perhaps heavy) starts in DCA at 20z SUN and continues until the end of the run at 00z MONYa that ain't sticking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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