WEATHER53 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 March trying hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just gotta hope the NAM is over amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Just gotta hope the NAM is over amped. 3k looks better. Less amped...still snowing at 21z sunday north of dc... Edit- can't have the low running across the southern delmarva if we want snow into the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, MD Snow said: 12k is about 1-2" before the flip sunday morning for the cities. man, that is close...get that low to track 100 miles south through nc to about 100 miles off the coast of oc and we'd be bombed. 100 miles is a tall order at this stage. I was thinking this was a low forming on the front the NAM has a stronger low that is too far NW. the amped scenario negates the pressing front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, MD Snow said: 3k looks better. Less amped...still snowing at 21z sunday north of dc... It’s excruciatingly close on both NAMs. It’s going to be painful if it unfolds like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Why are the snow depth maps further SE on the 12K at 18z compared to 12Z? More sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: It’s excruciatingly close on both NAMs. It’s going to be painful if it unfolds like that. I’d say we’ve got until happy hour tomorrow to bring this thing home. Maybe that rotating northern lobe that has hurt us several times this year will come up big this time in the short range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: 100 miles is a tall order at this stage. I was thinking this was a low forming on the front the NAM has a stronger low that is too far NW. the amped scenario negates the pressing front. Not really when you're dealing with the NAM's. They just shifted the lows about 100 miles from where they had them at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, SnowGolfBro said: I’d say we’ve got until happy hour tomorrow to bring this thing home. Maybe that rotating northern lobe that has hurt us several times this year will come up big this time in the short range. Need more confluence. That was a curse not too long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 18Z 12k NAM mixes here and even turns to rain for a while. Haven't seen that on any runs of a global model. 3K is a heavy snowfall for my yard along the lines of the ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Well dam....Paste bomb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 About 2-3 hours of rain the snow line begins to shift east on 3K through Frederick/Carroll County into extreme NVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Snow accumulation at 8ET Sunday (Mostly from Sunday storm as 3k does not give much tonight.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 16 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: I’d say we’ve got until happy hour tomorrow to bring this thing home. Maybe that rotating northern lobe that has hurt us several times this year will come up big this time in the short range. Several? It really only hurt us once (December) did it not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 ICON still mostly snow dc north and west. The outlier right now. Was a tick warmer than 12z though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 WSW, 2+ days out?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Chasing rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, H2O said: Chasing rain Just don’t go chasing waterfalls tho. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, MD Snow said: ICON still mostly snow dc north and west. The outlier right now. Was a tick warmer than 12z though... Low looked a tick further SE. wash I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Through 54hrs RGEM is a hit for many north and west of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 17 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Several? It really only hurt us once (December) did it not? Looking for a silver lining. Even if i have to invent one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Low looked a tick further SE. wash I guess The r/s line isn't exactly glued the storm track here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 26 minutes ago, Weather Will said: About 2-3 hours of rain the snow line begins to shift east on 3K through Frederick/Carroll County into extreme NVA. That shows that we need to worry more about the surface than the 850 line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Amped said: The r/s line isn't exactly glued the storm track here. Yeah I probably am following that too closely. It’s the NS low that matters. So close to the fail line for me I am focusing too hard on that. Futile exercise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 23 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Just don’t go chasing waterfalls tho. Chasing Waterfalls - Going to see if I can get that as a name for a new beer. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Timing suddenly isn't great with onset midday Sunday. Push that back some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 ha...GFS with a 1005mb sip in central SC at 54hrs? LOL All snow dc north and west. RGEM, ICON, and GFS support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 What the heck with GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, Solution Man said: What the heck with GFS What do you mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: What do you mean? I thought it would cave now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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