ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 22 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: Not bad considering all the rain. Did better than 80% or so of this sub-forum I may be an inch high....I didn’t measure but in Brewster it only rained in the morning and then we flirted with the mix line all day but it never stopped snowing and it snowed hard from like 9:00 to 1:00 or so.....and it’s been mood snow the rest of the day....Harwich a little closer to the mix being on the south side that cut down total.....was fun to get opportunity to be on cape in a snow storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 He needs to take deep breaths into a paper bag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 SN, 26°F, Looks like 1" out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 One of my worst busts...probably only worse one was an event last March. I won't be neglecting to consider H85 inflow anymore. Only area I got right was the cape, but I had precip type issues as the limiting factor, so can't Judah myself a fraud victory, there. D- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/saturday-32-verification.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 First Call from early Thursday AM was actually decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: One of my worst busts...probably only worst one was an event last March. I won't be neglecting to consider H85 inflow anymore. Only area I got right was the cape, but I had precip type issues as the limiting factor, so can't Judah myself a fraud victory, there. D- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/saturday-32-verification.html However.....rain did occur early on this morning out here on the Cape......I'm in Brewster tonight.....thing was after about 9:00am it changed to snow and came heavy.....rates were awesome but it was very pasty so it compacted quickly.....dual pol indicated mix line was held at bay right along the southern Cape coast line.....really great experience being out here for a winter storm that delivered snow..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: One of my worst busts...probably only worst one was an event last March. I won't be neglecting to consider H85 inflow anymore. Only area I got right was the cape, but I had precip type issues as the limiting factor, so can't Judah myself a fraud victory, there. D- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/saturday-32-verification.html Ended up with 6" plus or minus out here in Brewser.......nice call....was closer than some others.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I think i'm sitting with more right now then some received in SNE from this storm, Still coming down but the end is near................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think i'm sitting with more right now then some received in SNE from this storm, Still coming down but the end is near................... The Cape got more than that bro.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: The Cape got more than that bro.....lol I was forcast to get 0............lol, So that's a Win, Win, Hows the pack on the cape?.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I was forcast to get 0............lol, So that's a Win, Win, Hows the pack on the cape?.................. I mean ok.....but you acted like your sub 3" was more than "most got in SNE".....which it wasn't......even the Cape owned you.....haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Don't worry.....my pack in West Hartford is 0...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, ice1972 said: I mean ok.....but you acted like your sub 3" was more than "most got in SNE".....which it wasn't......even the Cape owned you.....haha 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: I think i'm sitting with more right now then some received in SNE from this storm, Still coming down but the end is near................... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol you were owned by the Cape......enough said....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 18 minutes ago, ice1972 said: you were owned by the Cape......enough said....lol If you weren't there you wouldn't bring it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: If you weren't there you wouldn't bring it up Probably.....but I’ll take what I can get in this season of shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: One of my worst busts...probably only worst one was an event last March. I won't be neglecting to consider H85 inflow anymore. Only area I got right was the cape, but I had precip type issues as the limiting factor, so can't Judah myself a fraud victory, there. D- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/saturday-32-verification.html Thanks Ray. My map busted just as badly and I wrote some tail-between the legs emails to coworkers when the writing was on the wall Friday night. It was a tough forecast, and maybe in retrospect it should not have been. I think we (and essentially 100% of posters here Mets and hobbyists and water-vapor-watchers alike, and lots of TV forecasters, and NWS) were heavily influenced by guidance which across the board was a disaster. Literally everything from ensembles 2-3 days before to Euro (had warning eastern 1/3 of MA < 24 hours before onset) to mesos and short term hi-res models (Sat 9z HRRR was literally showing 0 snow north of Boston just 6 hours before there was 3" on the ground) had one of the worst performances I can remember. Complete blind dart board performance. I acknowledged the warning flags with my forecast (buckshot diffuse vorticity, convection sliding east and robbing moisture influx, not much kink in flow), but the guidance seemed plausible and we've had cases when vorticity consolidates just right and a system amps more than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Looks like another coating last night before I got back. But 4.5 should do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 hours ago, wxsniss said: Thanks Ray. My map busted just as badly and I wrote some tail-between the legs emails to coworkers when the writing was on the wall Friday night. It was a tough forecast, and maybe in retrospect it should not have been. I think we (and essentially 100% of posters here Mets and hobbyists and water-vapor-watchers alike, and lots of TV forecasters, and NWS) were heavily influenced by guidance which across the board was a disaster. Literally everything from ensembles 2-3 days before to Euro (had warning eastern 1/3 of MA < 24 hours before onset) to mesos and short term hi-res models (Sat 9z HRRR was literally showing 0 snow north of Boston just 6 hours before there was 3" on the ground) had one of the worst performances I can remember. Complete blind dart board performance. I acknowledged the warning flags with my forecast (buckshot diffuse vorticity, convection sliding east and robbing moisture influx, not much kink in flow), but the guidance seemed plausible and we've had cases when vorticity consolidates just right and a system amps more than progged. It was not an easy forecast at all. We can often talk about some of the flags in hindsight but there were plenty of reasons it could have gone bigger too. We've seen systems where mesos struggle and the globals are able to better handle the system without getting confused by smaller vort maxes. Heck, even the euro had a very strong sig over E MA as late as 18z on Friday...not even 12 hours before the storm started. Its not easy to ignore that type of guidance. It's a lot easier to toss guidance when we're dealing with stuff like CAD, but when the Euro says we have to go decently big 12 hours before the storm, it's not easy when the mesos are skeptical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8” final. Missed the real meat as extreme sw areas saw 20”. Winds were light so no drifting issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, Hazey said: 8” final. Missed the real meat as extreme sw areas saw 20”. Winds were light so no drifting issues. Nice. You should cash in nicely with this upcoming storm also. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 20 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: If you weren't there you wouldn't bring it up Thank god im not there now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 final CT totals vs. FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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