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Perhaps a Coastal Storm on March 2nd for SNE????


USCAPEWEATHERAF
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There's actually pretty good lower level inflow right now. 900-925 out of the east at like 30 knots. It's only like 10 knots at 850 so that will prevent much more intense banding but the lower level inflow should keep some pretty nice moderate snows for several hours. 

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It's interesting looking at this (time-sensitive?) image provided by WPC ...

image.png.fc07c33eb45df7ac2e447c30c48c92c4.png

Just how much of this thing is entirely produced by mid-level forcing, as anything associated to cyclogenesis appears quite suppressed... Weak low east of Del Marva, with a track trough situated ENE, doesn't scream in favor of the low positions offered by many guidance' I saw leading up - looks like the low position its self may bust S ... just estimating.  

We're actually closer to the high pressure centered near western Maine; while we brow rub over the northern extent of snows...  I'm almost surprised it is snowing as much as it is from PVD to PLY where that band even exists, probably owing to the mid levels smeared NW.  For me astride Rt 2, with that fog-snow (yes some aggies ..) But.. this whole structure at mid levels did have a negative elongation as was modeled in the blend so... yeah, they did okay there.

All and all, feel pretty satisfied.   The last entries last night seem to have verified rather nicely as Weatherwiz and I mentioned... This was slated to be a narrow corridor impactor, hauling ass!  You may even be lording over your device or PC in a gray ambiance between noon and 2 pm when suddenly ... forced illumination glows the room. 

This is an interesting time of year... In the heart of this thing, it's deep winter by appeal.  When/if the sun comes out two hours later and the wind stays light, the faux nape warmth that Kevin gets watery-eyed for, along with heated interior of his car ... really does provide two disparate perceptions that he often waxes nostalgic for.  We'll see on the latter... The sun angle is climbed enough that a shallow saturation absent lift can evaporate below a weak inversion more effectively than it would in one of those the wood-smoke afternoons of early January.

Anyway, we also said that sat and rad can be deceiving.  It's interesting that both seemed to work out... The results this morning appear to be a blend about mid way between the high res ... plug pulling toaster party late last night, together with radar looking too neggie and ending up perhaps a little bit farther N... As was evidence(d) by the content dumped into this social media between circa 8pm and midnight ... this thing was a worse performer than what is taking place, while also still being somewhat more compacted S. Interesting

 

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