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Perhaps a Coastal Storm on March 2nd for SNE????


USCAPEWEATHERAF
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Gotta say the models are showing a pretty huge amount of uncertainty this far out. Some is always expected especially with the consistent trending of the season, but in the past 24 hours we've had a huuge swing for this storm from a small scraper into a decent thump and the Monday storm is all over the place.

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Uncle will be back from bar in 20

He;s gonna come back smashed I think....based on the garbage (now somewhat corrupted) plymouth state maps we only get to 36 hours.....it looks zonked at 700mb.

 

 

Mar1_00zUkie700.gif

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it's still a good storm, but it's not the 18z run...the warning criteria area def is smaller this time....it's not as paltry as the NAM at all though.

For the QPF queens.....

 

Mar1_00zRGEM.png

Can someone please explain the continuous snow hole / dry slot that has been showing up on just about every model run for just about every storm this season for SW CT. I’m not exaggerating, my other Fairfield County peeps would vouch for me. I’m honestly curious, it’s obviously more than just coincidence.

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ukie 500/sfc....gonna have to wait a bit longer for the QPF queen maps. But I don't really think you need them....this is a big solution for eastern areas at minimum....and prob back into central SNE as well.

 

 

Mar1_00zUkieSfc36.gif

Mar1_00zUkieSfc42.gif

Wow, that looks great! I don;t want to speak too soon with the Euro still to come but what a difference 24 hrs makes! And this close in to boot!

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Been waiting, impatiently, all winter for this type of event.  I’m taking all the blame for all the heartache everyone in SNE has had to endure.  Didn’t realize until now, that all I had to do was book a non-refundable trip in the opposite direction (heading to the Fl Panhandle) to entice the atmosphere to spur up a big event!  My bad!!:axe:

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