78Blizzard Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Then how is he saying its a massive hit? It depends on how you define "massive". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: ICON is way SE of other guidance. Looked similar to gfs and euro to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: ICON is a massive hit. The ICON has had many massive hit screen this winter...but so what? I know it’s a piece of guidance but blech Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: It depends on how you define "massive". 6-12. Maybe total isn’t massive but it’s no scraper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s not a 180, just a gradual step up as reliable guidance indicates. I thought 2-4” nw of 84 and 4-8” se would be a reasonable call for tonight. Then what do you do when 12z ticks back the other way? Ryan already had 3-6 basically to the CT/RI border and said stay tuned because things were trending towards a bigger hit. As it stands now, he can just drag that 3-6 purple shading 40 miles westward over New London County. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: It depends on how you define "massive". ICON is dropping >1” QPF in E MA. That’s a huge hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Looked similar to gfs and euro to me. I shouldn't have said "way" SE, but it does seem to be the furthest SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: ICON is dropping >1” QPF in E MA. That’s a huge hit. Yeah so is the Reggie, which takes credit away from the trend of the 00z NAM. Even the 21z SREFs went more QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 6-12. Maybe total isn’t massive but it’s no scraper! This winter anything over 4”is massive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Is Saturday trends back some, we had better see Monday do the same, or I'm going to melt all over the forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Then what do you do when 12z ticks back the other way? Ryan already had 3-6 basically to the CT/RI border and said stay tuned because things were trending towards a bigger hit. As it stands now, he can just drag that 3-6 purple shading 40 miles westward over New London County. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Is Saturday trends back some, we had better see Monday do the same, or I'm going to melt all over the forum I agree with Will. I think I'm pretty optimistic for something. My guess is the 18z suite won't happen...but something rather siggy on table. Of course 00z could get the weenies upset, and then 6z and 12z ticks back NW again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I agree with Will. I think I'm pretty optimistic for something. My guess is the 18z suite won't happen...but something rather siggy on table. Of course 00z could get the weenies upset, and then 6z and 12z ticks back NW again. Knowing the EURO, it will trend Monday into something lame, like 3-6", then Monday it will be even hair more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Euro, ENS, GFS, GEFS... that's some legit weight RGEM has been awful unstable this year NAM has had its scores this year, but I think it's now having issues chasing all the little pieces of vorticity And most of all, synoptically a more amped solution (vs. earlier runs) actually makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, wxsniss said: Euro, ENS, GFS, GEFS... that's some legit weight RGEM has been awful unstable this year NAM has had its scores this year, but I think it's now having issues chasing all the little pieces of vorticity And most of all, synoptically a more amped solution (vs. earlier runs) actually makes sense. Agree...18z may have been a bit zonked, but I think its generally right. NAM likes to play pin the tail on the weenie with little pieces of convection out in the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree...18z may have been a bit zonked, but I think its generally right. NAM likes to play pin the tail on the weenie with little pieces of convection out in the ocean. Truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 14 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Then what do you do when 12z ticks back the other way? Ryan already had 3-6 basically to the CT/RI border and said stay tuned because things were trending towards a bigger hit. As it stands now, he can just drag that 3-6 purple shading 40 miles westward over New London County. This x1000. Basically would be changing maps based on one 18z suite. Then what do you do when things start going the other way for the 00z suite like they look like they're doing already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 GFS looks a little more amped so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 We kind of need this system.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Huge hit GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Wow...GFS not backing down at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Jump North on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Looks like 18z euro. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 One inch of QPF most of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Yep, what they said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Globals not backing down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Def wasn't screwing around with the little meso-vorticity maxima like some of the mesos were....treats it as a normal shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 That's a bigger hit if anything. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: We kind of need this system.... 2004 Red Sox vs. Yankees ALCS...losing the series 3-0...Just need to win one. The rest will follow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Solid foot. Oh please please please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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