STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Btv Wrf looks solid warning snows HFD to 128 Belt seems a solid lock there will be quite a gradient SE-NW over SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Everybody is so gun-shy...tough to blame them, but most outlets going only a 1-3 inches or 2-4 inches at most for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 RPM actually kind of makes sense to me. It’s got a ribbon up about 6 to 9 inches from I 84 to the pike on south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:13 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I don't think I will mix, CHH sure, ACK sure, but not anyone west of there. Expand One more tick in the amped direction...and you’re pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:16 AM, WinterWolf said: One more tick in the amped direction...and you’re pouring. Expand It shouldn't tick nw anymore. I would be real surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:15 AM, CoastalWx said: RPM actually kind of makes sense to me. It’s got a ribbon up about 6 to 9 inches from I 84 to the pike on south. Expand I'm thinking the max totals within the banding are probably right around 8-10''. Think it will be tough to really do better than that unless a band completely rips over someone. Tough to figure out the placement. Still seems like convection is throwing off the NAM...it's VV distribution doesn't seem to make much sense as well as a few other things on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:13 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I don't think I will mix, CHH sure, ACK sure, but not anyone west of there. Expand Chatham will, but you won’t? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:18 AM, dendrite said: Chatham will, but you won’t? Expand He needs his Benadryl drip again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Sorry James, but you're mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:20 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: He needs his Benadryl drip again Expand Isn’t he Chatham?? He’s out of control already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:22 AM, weatherwiz said: Sorry James, but you're mixing Expand Lol don’t tell him that...he’ll become suicidal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 10:44 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I pick on them but anyone paying attention to their winter forecasts knows. They choke on big events and can’t get smaller events right. It’s amazing the amount of knowledge and resources they have there... and yet, they continuously butt fumble. Expand #youknow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:23 AM, WinterWolf said: Isn’t he Chatham?? He’s out of control already. Expand Well he’s on the line. Some soundings he’s close to mixing at H9 on down. Either way it will probably be paste at the peak so I wouldn’t toss around 20” with 1.2” QPF. I just don’t understand the confidence that CQX will mix, but one town to the west won’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 This looks like another nice storm for a region that still has a huge seasonal snowfall deficit. 3"-6"/4"-8" should be fairly common in places including Boston, Hartford, Providence, and Worcester with even several inches on parts of the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:24 AM, WinterWolf said: Lol don’t tell him that...he’ll become suicidal. Expand Trying to save him from meltdown territory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:28 AM, donsutherland1 said: This looks like another nice storm for a region that still has a huge seasonal snowfall deficit. 3"-6"/4"-8" should be fairly common in places including Boston, Hartford, Providence, and Worcester with even several inches on parts of the Cape. Expand Oh no, Jimmy on the cape says 20 inches there Don. Better up it out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 I think a watch from bos to pvd se is justified. Theres enough uncertainty to not go further nw, i think. Theres a lot of spread over all the guidance. The wrf arw/nmm suite was really dry on the 00z runs. The eps being a tick nw of the op was a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 4-8 for most of CT, a little less nw and a bit more to the east. I am sure there will be a band some where that could produce 8-12. If the storm develops earlier then maybe it becomes a region wide 8-12 inch storm... If its dumping snow in the northern Mid Atlantic tonight, then we should be good for some higher totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Getting a nice little pre here this morning. Light accumulation ongoing. It just snows where it wants to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:33 AM, Hoth said: Getting a nice little pre here this morning. Light accumulation ongoing. It just snows where it wants to snow. Expand Lol, yup...more impactful to the commute this morning than yesterday's advisory we had. People around here don't seem to believe any forecasts anymore...its been a rough winter with "busts" on most of these nuisance systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 I will never be suicidal over the weather, something as out of our control as that, it is not a good thing. I have been through my darkest days, I will not let myself get that far again. I don't joke around about something as serious as suicides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:31 AM, OSUmetstud said: I think a watch from bos to pvd se is justified. Theres enough uncertainty to not go further nw, i think. Theres a lot of spread over all the guidance. The wrf arw/nmm suite was really dry on the 00z runs. The eps being a tick nw of the op was a good sign. Expand I'm really surprised there is no watch in SE MA and RI. I would think 50% confidence in 6+ there is warranted. But I guess this came on so fast that it's leaving everyone a little snakebit and that's been the background tenor of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Feeling good with a 6-10” call here and most of the MA coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 GEFS look great!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:41 AM, ORH_wxman said: I'm really surprised there is no watch in SE MA and RI. I would think 50% confidence in 6+ there is warranted. But I guess this came on so fast that it's leaving everyone a little snakebit and that's been the background tenor of the winter. Expand Pros who have a civil duty to the public should not be snakebit. Do you job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:37 AM, Spanks45 said: Lol, yup...more impactful to the commute this morning than yesterday's advisory we had. People around here don't seem to believe any forecasts anymore...its been a rough winter with "busts" on most of these nuisance systems. Expand This. Was going to say the same. The snow this morning, which is more in terms of amount and having much more impact than the previous event at least in this part of state, was pretty much unmentioned. Why should people believe forecasts for tonight/tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Could be an extra inch or two of fluff Saturday night to with that shortwave moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:37 AM, Spanks45 said: Lol, yup...more impactful to the commute this morning than yesterday's advisory we had. People around here don't seem to believe any forecasts anymore...its been a rough winter with "busts" on most of these nuisance systems. Expand Yeah, yesterday there were school delays all over down here for a dusting and wet roads. Today everyone's heading into school with moderate snow and slick conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:44 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pros who have a civil duty to the public should not be snakebit. Do you job. Expand I mean, I don't know if that's the reason. I'm just speculating so keep that in mind...I'm just not sure how there's not at least a 50% chance of 6+ in SE MA/RI at this point. I get that they didn't see the 06z suite yet which came in pretty robust (pending euro in a few minutes). But even most of the cruddy solutions were still decent in SE MA at 00z. Anyway, doesn't really change anything in terms of what the storm actually does...hopefully Euro comes back a little in a few min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 11:49 AM, Hoth said: Yeah, yesterday there were school delays all over down here for a dusting and wet roads. Today everyone's heading into school with moderate snow and slick conditions. Expand #TerribleUpton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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