Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:41 AM, ORH_wxman said: Def wasn't screwing around with the little meso-vorticity maxima like some of the mesos were....treats it as a normal shortwave. Expand SLP is going to want to be where the best diffluent flow is. Not some rogue voticiy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 What a nuke with the vort. H7 closes off by the Cape too. Little nuke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Not like the GFS but the CMC looks a lot better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 FV3 GFS still a miss but moved way west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 This is crazy. Just keeps amping up into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Cape Cod is 100% cold rain this run. Ouch. Man I wouldn’t want to be on the fringe of this thing. The north trend has been something to behold this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Nice banding into scooters fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:45 AM, CoastalWx said: What a nuke with the vort. H7 closes off by the Cape too. Little nuke. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 please I do not want rain. No rain, we can have rain on Monday, not the Saturday system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 This GFS would cause the elbow of the cape to self-harm. It's too close to comfort for me too, would expect a flip to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 At least it's a quickie. Done by early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Tremendous banding and lift present with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:52 AM, NeonPeon said: This GFS would cause the elbow of the cape to self-harm. It's too close to comfort for me too, would expect a flip to rain. Expand I don't want rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Marine layer shouldn't be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 To close for comfort down this way. The late SE ticks can start anytime now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:54 AM, rnaude241 said: To close for comfort down this way. The late SE ticks can start anytime now. Expand I'm not sure if can go much farther. The flow isn't gonna slow down that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:54 AM, rnaude241 said: To close for comfort down this way. The late SE ticks can start anytime now. Expand AS long as the models trend towards a stronger system overall, the SE ticks can start. I like a 988mb low about 25 miles southeast of the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:53 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I don't want rain. Expand We know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:56 AM, CoastalWx said: I'm not sure if can go much farther. The flow isn't gonna slow down that much. Expand Even for a fast-moving storm center, the models are now producing over 2" of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:56 AM, BombsAway1288 said: We know Expand Good, I wasn't sure I was clear enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:56 AM, CoastalWx said: I'm not sure if can go much farther. The flow isn't gonna slow down that much. Expand Yeah it has a limit for sure. It's not phasing with some other big shortwave diving in or anything (it does have interaction with the lakes shortwave well after it hits us).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:53 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I don't want rain. Expand I don't want to be up late editing to pay for a boiler. I don't want a lot of things. The entirety of this winter would fall into that category. Look into the depths of your weenie heart, you know the depths of unjust evil that this rain represents is only too plausible. I know it is too, but you're in an even more precarious situation. I hope we both stay rain free, but its always been a risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Monday well south on the new GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:57 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Good, I wasn't sure I was clear enough. Expand Well, you only posted it like 3 times in 3 minutes. Came off as very childish and whiny to boot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:59 AM, wxeyeNH said: Monday well south on the new GFS Expand Meaning the 00z run of the regular GFS or this silly FV3 GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 4:00 AM, BombsAway1288 said: Well, you only posted it like 3 times in 3 minutes. Came off as very childish and whiny to boot Expand Really?? Wow. I am sorry it came out like that, but you would understand if your winter was close to as bad as mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 4:01 AM, BombsAway1288 said: Meaning the 00z run of the regular GFS or this silly FV3 GFS? Expand Regular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:58 AM, NeonPeon said: I don't want to be up late editing to pay for a boiler. I don't want a lot of things. The entirety of this winter would fall into that category. Look into the depths of your weenie heart, you know the depths of unjust evil that this rain represents is only too plausible. I know it is too, but you're in an even more precarious situation. I hope we both stay rain free, but its always been a risk. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 My guess is the Euro comes in heavy at 00z and then there’s a little correction back SE at 12z and we end up warning event CT/RI border ish south and advisory north. Enjoy the all nighter weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:53 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I don't want rain. Expand I want you to rain like hell, then dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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