RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: FV3 GFS is meh! That’s a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Carson says it's gonna snowSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 it's delicate, like a flower. a baby flower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 47 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Just wait til the Isles light the Leafs and Tavares up 6-2 tonight Should be a warm welcome back for him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Snows to Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Took a quick look... 18z GFS is not unrealistic. 12z and earlier runs of GFS emphasized a piece of vorticity way OTS so we get a dual low system in the Sat 12z-18z timeframe... 18z emphasizes vorticity closer to coast, so we get a more consolidated single system near benchmark 0z to 12z Euro hints at same struggle in another way: 0z has a consolidated low further out, 12z briefly has a dual low structure that would be much more impactful if everything consolidates around the benchmark low sooner. So I wouldn't toss 18z GFS reflexively... and I would not be surprised to see Euro ramp up due to a synoptically more consolidated and tighter low. Sort of like the 18z RGEM Too bad flow doesn't buckle until later in week, this (and the system after it too, and pretty much any strong shortwave coming through) would have had big dog potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like the 18z RGEM never ran....so we lose that piece of guidance for this cycle. Looks like a Met in NYC got it and it seems like good news 24 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: 18Z RGEM also more amped; 994 over the Benchmark at 18Z Saturday. 3mb deeper than the 12Z run, closed 700 low is also deeper. Hard to see for sure on the b&w maps but it looks wetter from NYC up to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Funny thing (I'm just quickly scrolling through this thread and catching up)... 18z RGEM supports Jimmy's map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 lol what a crush job for you southern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 18z RGEM did run... it's a monster hit for Mar 2. It's basically Jimmy's forecast map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: 18z RGEM did run... it's a monster hit for Mar 2. It's basically Jimmy's forecast map. Wouldn't that be something! I'll wait until verification to believe it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, BombsAway1288 said: Looks like a Met in NYC got it and it seems like good news Double digits for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 18z RGEM did run... it's a monster hit for Mar 2. It's basically Jimmy's forecast map. Coastalwx melts and then gets biggest event of season... get Bryce in that snowsuit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Coastalwx melts and then gets biggest event of season... get Bryce in that snowsuit! Ha that was Monday. In any case I’ll take it. Sometimes it’s good to let it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: Double digits for SE MA. Y’all better recognize purduewx. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS says I triple my seasonal snow total in the next 100 hours...I just don’t see that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Ha that was Monday. In any case I’ll take it. Sometimes it’s good to let it out. Hope you get a foot dude. Build a fort with the kid and watch it snow like it's 2015. You may legit have a shot at like 18" between the two systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 It is amusing that the FV3 is pretty much a total whiff. I figured we might have NAM GW at 18z but it was the GFS and RGEM. Either way looks pretty good for solid snow down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Man we go 6-12 all of SNE Saturday now. General public gonna be WTF all over the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Hope you get a foot dude. Build a fort with the kid and watch it snow like it's 2015. You may legit have a shot at like 18" between the two systems. Ha, he’s been enjoying a final stretch winter. Thanks man. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 31 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Funny thing (I'm just quickly scrolling through this thread and catching up)... 18z RGEM supports Jimmy's map. I’d take Reggie, but the herp is quite a bit south of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I hope SNE gets buried. Not only do they deserve it after what they've endured this season, but this is the time of the year where people quickly stop thinking about skiing if they don't see snow. And the more they think about skiing the more they come up and the better we do in the tourism industry. And I like making money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Here comes the 21z rpm now. It's gonna be massive for at least SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 18z GEFS are juiced. Looks like warning snows for 75% of SNE. SE MA, RI, and extreme SE CT 1” - 1.25” LE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Here comes the 21z rpm now. It's gonna be massive for at least SE MA Tried to slide E at the last second but still very good for SE areas. 6"+ from GHG to UUU with 10-12" around the canal. Gets 3" prob back to ORH and TOL. But that was reallly close to being a lot bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 The best systems ramp up inside 48hrs practically across the board. Someone in EMA, where the snow belongs, scores an easy foot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 25 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’d take Reggie, but the herp is quite a bit south of it. Funny 18z suite... 3k NAM > 12k NAM RGEM >> HRPDS GFS!!! ICON!!! There's clearly something that made multiple models jump at 18z... I think it at least has something to do with the handling of vorticity I mentioned earlier, and whether we get a diffuse / dual low structure vs. a tighter consolidated closer low. One reason to tap the brakes is EPS / Euro is pretty consistent. But wouldn't be surprised to see that jump by 0z tonight too, or at least the Euro's version of smaller shuffles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Finally! Get off work after a tough week, check the forum. 6 pages of bliss. The snow, the weekend, it’s FN party time! Also, the Graupler is the most masterful troll I’ve ever seen. Funny stuff dude or dudette. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Through 30h, 18z euro has higher heights out ahead of the shortwave than 12z. This is probably gonna be a higher impact than the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 holy carp @ the 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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