USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 So far today, during the early runs of the 12z NAM, 3km NAM, SREFs and RGEM models, there is a growing consensus on a potential nor'easter that could impact the region with heavy snow, coastal mix, and high winds. Perhaps if the conditions can warrant, blizzard conditions on Saturday, March 2nd. We are about 54 hours away from the onset of precipitation. There are many problems to still figure out. The strength of the low could be quite intense and close to the benchmark. With the global models ready to come out next, we will know by 2pm today if there is a growing consensus for an impactful storm, or one that is just too far out to the east to give us little if any precipitation. Right now confidence is growing in potential impacts, snow could fall 4-8" from WOR to HARTFORD, CT, and 8-12" across eastern MA and parts of Rhode Island. I will update every one on my blog after 2pm, with a preliminary snowfall map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Scooter bitching his way to a warning event Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS is a nice hit 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Woah GFS is 6+ for Saturday! Rain gets to about Stamford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Rain gets to about Stamford. In this winter, let's take that and be happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS has a nice commahead look to it...would probably even be a little better on the northwest side than the qpf maps think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS bringing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Wow, the Icon looked sweet. And now the GFS. So far 12z guidance dropping around 0.50" in SE MA as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Full fledge storm with some ccb delight, uh huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 It’s coming for at least southern and eastern areas on Saturday. Scooter jack?! He’s playing Kevin’s good old reverse psychology game. Probably will become a good storm river east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I'd sell the double low look that the gfs has. Looks like improper phasing compared to other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Full fledge storm with some ccb delight, uh huh. You buying in for Saturday??? or?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Wow, the Icon looked sweet. And now the GFS. So far 12z guidance dropping around 0.50" in SE MA as snow. Scooter crying works everytime. Would be like this forum to look past Sat and whine about Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: You buying in for Saturday??? or?? Not yet. Too many head fakes this winter. Prob stick with 2-4” until more reliable data rolls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 So thankful this has trended fully into a daytime thing on Saturday. Hoping the March sun angle can take care of the meager amount of snow we get up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Zoomed in QPF GFS for Saturday. Shows around 0.75 imby. Rgem extended gives you about .6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I think this ends up being 6-10" BOS. Locally higher amounts near 12" south shore and SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Nice job to the Mod that moved the discussion into this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 What's the start time for this potential storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, HinghamBoss said: What's the start time for this potential storm? For your area around 4AM as per the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Snowy day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Nice job to the Mod that moved the discussion into this thread. Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thx Wasn't me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Ukie looks borderline warning for SE MA on the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Uncle on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 How’s Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie looks borderline warning for SE MA on the 12z run. That looks sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: That looks sweet. That liooks a lot better for my area. 12z GFS is all snow for CHH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: That looks sweet. Def a big improvement over 00z, but not as good as the GFS solution. If the Euro can make a pretty notable jump toward this today, I think we're in business...I wouldn't expect Dr. No to come all the way in one run...but a non-microscopic jump will be telling. I'm guessing it will...the 06z run actually looked decent aloft, but it wasn't really drawing that sfc reflection in toward it as well as the other models we've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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