kickingupastorm Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Do models take into account Virgo? I'm a newb, I’ve been a lurker of weather forums like this one for the last 15 years. I come back for extreme weather like winter storms and hurricanes. I skim posts and have picked up things over the years. I know much more than the general public, but not enough to contribute to the discussions, hence the lurking. I’m also a male and don’t know why my avatar is a girl lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Still overcast here but seeing other reports back across Lancaster and Chesco and Delco of snow. Temp 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VRNAQLR Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 sleet with flakes in KSQ now. 38/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Still overcast here but seeing other reports back across Lancaster and Chesco and Delco of snow. Temp 42. Brother is in west Chester. Started as rain & switched to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow currently but it has been off and on. Temp down to 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Looking at the HRRR, the Berks/Lehigh Valley doesn't see accumulation until 7pm. After that it's bombs away with 1-2" hour rates for a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 12 minutes ago, kickingupastorm said: Do models take into account Virgo? I'm a newb, I’ve been a lurker of weather forums like this one for the last 15 years. I come back for extreme weather like winter storms and hurricanes. I skim posts and have picked up things ver the years. I know much more than the general public, but not enough to contribute to the discussions, hence the lurking. I’m also a male and don’t know why my avatar is a girl lol Virga is a pretty localized phenomena so probably not model-able per se. It's just that the precip is there but not making it all the way to the ground. Also I think you can change your avatar by going to your profile page and selecting the "Cover photo" drop-down in the upper right hand corner (haven't done it with the newer version of the forum so not sure what the defaults are). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Newman said: Looking at the HRRR, the Berks/Lehigh Valley doesn't see accumulation until 7pm. After that it's bombs away with 1-2" hour rates for a couple hours. Probably wrong because the HRRR also has rain for a few hours for us. It just started as snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 HRRrr thinks eastern PA is rain at 4pm today clearly it's thermals are performing terribly if Kamu has reported snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Probably wrong because the HRRR also has rain for a few hours for us. It just started as snow here. I know I'm snowing here and it thinks I'm raining, but rates won't pick up until later. Even if it's snowing now, I don't see much of any accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: HRRrr thinks eastern PA is rain at 4pm today clearly it's thermals are performing terribly if Kamu has reported snow Went back to a very light steady rain here, with a few small flakes once in a while. At least the temp. is dropping, 38.8 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Starting to get some light rain here now. Dp has mostly been in the upper 20s today and has now crept up to the low/mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, kickingupastorm said: Do models take into account Virgo? I'm a newb, I’ve been a lurker of weather forums like this one for the last 15 years. I come back for extreme weather like winter storms and hurricanes. I skim posts and have picked up things over the years. I know much more than the general public, but not enough to contribute to the discussions, hence the lurking. I’m also a male and don’t know why my avatar is a girl lol Models may output sim radar, but just as with the real thing, the precip it shows is at some elevation, but not necessarily at the surface. Virga is dependent on how dry the air is near the surface and how much precip is evaporating into that dry air, so it can be much more localized than even the highest res models can pick up on. Not sure if that explains anything. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, Newman said: I know I'm snowing here and it thinks I'm raining, but rates won't pick up until later. Even if it's snowing now, I don't see much of any accumulation. Obviously it won't accumulate right away, but I doubt the accumulation holds off till 7. We'll probably have an inch or so on the ground by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 It’s rain to start in North Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I'm in a precip hole here in central GloCo. Temp and humidity are moving the right directions, at least. 41.7F / dp 34 / 73% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 43F and steady rain in Blue Bell, Montco PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 11 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Obviously it won't accumulate right away, but I doubt the accumulation holds off till 7. We'll probably have an inch or so on the ground by then. 7pm is a little late to me as well, but really it'll take until sundown and the heavier rates to get the majority of our snowfall. We'll likely verify our forecast in a small 3-5 hour period, maybe longer, where we thump hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 43F and steady rain in Blue Bell, Montco PA There's your north of Hattera's on the 18z NAM it just turned the storm into a tight coastal hugger i can only hope it's wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackhound Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Went back to a very light steady rain here, with a few small flakes once in a while. At least the temp. is dropping, 38.8 here now. Same over on this side of Glen Mills. Light drizzle with an occasional flake. Sitting at 38F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackhound Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 30 minutes ago, Animal said: Brother is in west Chester. Started as rain & switched to snow I'm about 8 miles SE of West Chester so hopefully that snow is coming this way soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdog127 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Officially underway as some rain showers in Burlington Twp, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Snow mixing in in far northern DE now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Moderate to near heavy snow and 33.9 here in East Nantmeal - no rain at all after a high of 38.9 all surfaces except blacktop are already covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 snow picking up out here, still white rain though Id expect the accums to hold off till 5 or 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Quite elevation dependent along the rain snow line. Top of my hill at 650ft is snowing moderately with no sleet or rain mixed in. Bottom of the hill at 150 ft is mostly rain with some flakes mixing in. Edit: this has happened on more than one occasion this season due to all the marginal events we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, bluehens said: Snow mixing in in far northern DE now Likewise here to your north - does it off and on but the snow seems to be getting the upper hand, although still pretty light. Temp. down to 37.8F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Moderate to near heavy snow and 33.9 here in East Nantmeal - no rain at all after a high of 38.9 all surfaces except blacktop are already covered Pic or didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWmizzer Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light to slightly heavier light snow here in Pennsburg. 35.5 degrees was 37/38 prior to the start. Maybe I will get 6-9 they are predicting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VRNAQLR Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 moderate snow in KSQ. good size flakes too. 37/32. starting to cover cars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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