LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Didn't see it posted but the 6z Euro was an improvement over 0z. Narrow stripe but 1-2" just south of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 my forecast: most schools will go with a 2hr delay and the morning commute will suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 FWIW, the NAM certainly doesn't look like it will be backing down at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just checking the 6z ICON. Damn..temps are good at the sfc during the height. 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Yeah NAM isn’t backing down particularly for northern Md. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 12z NAM looks good. There must be a warm layer over DC...showing mix, although 850s are fine. In fact, 850 is well south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 nice event for the northern tier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 It appears at least early on that the 3K isn’t as juicy or as far north with precip...isn’t the 3K considered superior to the 12k? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: It appears at least early on that the 3K isn’t as juicy or as far north with precip...isn’t the 3K considered superior to the 12k? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 16 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Seems legit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: shhhh...keeping it real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It wasn’t. Compare hr 36 on 3K and 12K...now clearly it’s developed a nice burst at 41 so far but it was not as expansive in the Ohio valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 11 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: It appears at least early on that the 3K isn’t as juicy or as far north with precip...isn’t the 3K considered superior to the 12k? By hour 41 it looks like this might have been a premature call. eta: Ah, were you comparing the 3k the the 12k. Thought you were referring to its previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Despite the differences early on, the 3K still looks good particularly DC-North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3k looks better for DC than 12k...snow wise I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, showmethesnow said: By hour 41 it looks like this might have been a premature call. It wasn’t premature at all...what I said was 100% accurate. Just turns out it doesn’t matter as it’s still able to amplify enough to get us a good band of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Weatherbell 3KNAM shows snow moving in between 11-midnight. Over between 4-5am. 850s south of DC during the entire event but heaviest band of snow through NVA and North Central MD. 3-5 inches verbatim. I would take it in a minute if it verifies. It has been really consistent---right or wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3k has a really intense band that pushes through C and N MD overnight Friday (14mm/hr on the TT scale). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3K NAM has a very impressive burst of snow for central and northern MD at 3-4am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 The key for the metro areas is that it's starting at night, and thank God. I'm still not sure on the event, but there are encouraging signs 6/12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 So basically the NAM is consistently showing a 2-5 inch event for Central Maryland while pretty much every other model is less than 2 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: It wasn’t premature at all...what I said was 100% accurate. Just turns out it doesn’t matter as it’s still able to amplify enough to get us a good band of precip See my eta:. Didn't realize you were comparing the 3k to the 12K and not to its previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 12K really rakes part of the area. Even tries to get 6+ into Frederick/Moco/Carroll. Most end up 2-4. It's only going to snow for 4-5 hours, so it had better be real hot and heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: See my eta:. Didn't realize you were comparing the 3k to the 12K and not to its previous run. Yeah I guess I should have been more clear about that. Anyway, clearly the NAMs are nice little storms. Are they right? I guess we’ll see. I’m highly skeptical but hey, I guess it could happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 12k develops another area of light snow for the area (northern tier) Friday night as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, osfan24 said: 12K really rakes part of the area. Even tries to get 6+ into Frederick/Moco/Carroll. Most end up 2-4. It's only going to snow for 4-5 hours, so it had better be real hot and heavy. is it possible the map is showing sleet? i didn't know there was even enough qpf to produce 6+ amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Both NAMs , I like !! The winter of dissapointment still likes to deliver to the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, mappy said: is it possible the map is showing sleet? i didn't know there was even enough qpf to produce 6+ amounts It doesn't look like it. 3K has 5 inches right through Central MD and shows a wicked band coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, osfan24 said: It doesn't look like it. 3K has 5 inches right through Central MD and shows a wicked band coming through. hmm wonder if Euro/GFS will show similar today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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