Ji Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 18z euro is a disaster. thats the 2nd snow threat in 2 weeks the euro has teased us with and took away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 29 minutes ago, Ji said: 18z euro is a disaster. thats the 2nd snow threat in 2 weeks the euro has teased us with and took away This map doesn’t look terrible when the greatest potential out of this was maybe 1-3” in the first place. If you think of it like that this euro map doesn’t look terrible and still leaves the door open for a general 1-3” event. It does show snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 0z Nam looks a bit snowier down into DC and points north. Still the outlier but it’s holding strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 I done been Namethed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM is close to a warning level event for north of dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 I think the nam is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 a reminder to, at the minimum, split the difference between the 10:1 and accumulated snow depth maps, but that is still a LOT of precip. (or at least a lot more than we were expecting to see....) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM is probably to juiced but the Euro does have a dry bias. I think 1 to 3 is still in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM is almost 4-6" here, it's one of those storms that will only trend wetter as we get closer. I think NAM is closer than other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM3 brings us back to reality a bit, but it does show the potential for a couple of heavier snow bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM does score a coup every now and then so I guess folks can hope for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 9 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: NAM is almost 4-6" here, it's one of those storms that will only trend wetter as we get closer. I think NAM is closer than other models. Disagree...this is the type of system that the NAM over exaggerates on the northern extent of a jet streak when a low is way to the south. It’s out to lunch. I wouldn’t expect anyone to do better than a coating of snow with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 All 3 NAM's are decent out this way. 3K is the lightest with just a couple of inches. Going to need those heavy rates though for this one to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Gfs with 1-2” from Baltimore south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Gfs is a bit better particularly for dc but still nowhere near the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 One thing is for sure, whatever falls it’ll melt by noon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM is a wet outlier, but the NAM3, CMC, and GFS are somewhat in line for 1-2" across parts of DC Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, high risk said: NAM is a wet outlier, but the NAM3, CMC, and GFS are somewhat in line for 1-2" across parts of DC Metro. Fv3 agrees. 1-2 for most of md and Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM is a wet outlier, but the NAM3, CMC, and GFS are somewhat in line for 1-2" across parts of DC Metro. FV3 was good too, especially for a certain city in Central Virginia. It’s all FRZA/ICEP to the south of there though, it’s not actually a uniform 1-3” across most of Virginia. edit: how did I not see the post about me. whatever. I’m keeping this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 6z nam holds strong for a big sleeter Full disclosure guys....I'm small game hunting I want to nickel and dime my way to 30" on the season...give me 4 more 1" storms and I'm happy...forget getting a 20" storm I'd rather watch a 1" melt in 5 minutes instead of a 20" storm that melts in 6 minutes. That's just me guys...wish me luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 22 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: 6z nam holds strong for a big sleeter Full disclosure guys....I'm small game hunting I want to nickel and dime my way to 30" on the season...give me 4 more 1" storms and I'm happy...forget getting a 20" storm I'd rather watch a 1" melt in 5 minutes instead of a 20" storm that melts in 6 minutes. That's just me guys...wish me luck. Lol you do have skills I’ll give you that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Happy Hump Day! So 6z NAM12k for Friday—lots of Barney colors for the DMV. I’m hugging hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Other than the Euro, it sure seems we are moving in the right direction for Friday. Icon, GFS, Nams, Rgem, and Ukie look good for some wintry weather Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NAM seems off its rocker. At least some of the other models haven't totally abandoned our chances Friday for a little something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 06z GFS was around an inch for some... FV3 is a solid 2" for many across the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 30 minutes ago, LP08 said: Other than the Euro, it sure seems we are moving in the right direction for Friday. Icon, GFS, Nams, Rgem, and Ukie look good for some wintry weather Friday morning. I like the 4" stripe in N VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 27 minutes ago, osfan24 said: NAM seems off its rocker. At least some of the other models haven't totally abandoned our chances Friday for a little something. The NAM is the FV3 in disguise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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