WVclimo Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 The folks at LWX going bullish again: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I like it when LWX is playing catch up, usually means a good one is coming. bullish LWX doesn't always work out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, mappy said: I like it when LWX is playing catch up, usually means a good one is coming. bullish LWX doesn't always work out. Feeling good about the Howard county and Baltimore county areas after looking at the last few model cycles. A solid 2-4” can’t be ruled out. RGEM would be amazing, but it’s typically too juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Hrdps gets .7" qpf to Baltimore...that's pretty freaking juicy . The HrDerpy did well with the last one. I’m on that train now. Eta: and apparently the RGEM is now the FV3 in disguise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, jayyy said: Feeling good about the Howard county and Baltimore county areas after looking at the last few model cycles. A solid 2-4” can’t be ruled out. RGEM would be amazing, but it’s typically too juicy. any snow is good snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 51 minutes ago, mappy said: I like it when LWX is playing catch up, usually means a good one is coming. bullish LWX doesn't always work out. I totally agree. They are typically playing catch up, but that tends to be mostly during coastal when we have banding set up. However, they were bullish in January and it generally worked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just looking over the GEFS and we are now seeing a somewhat notable spike in snowfall for just North and West of the cities Fri night/Sat from our coastal. Seeing 1/2"-1" increases just NW of 95 vs the 00Z run of a 1/4" or so. And just a quick mention for whatever it is worth but the GEFS did hold fairly steady with the 00Z run for our Friday system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6z Euro likes Northern MD into PA. Also has the weekend storm pretty amped and looks like it will run the snows through PA on North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 16 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: I totally agree. They are typically playing catch up, but that tends to be mostly during coastal when we have banding set up. However, they were bullish in January and it generally worked out. LWX was increasing totals for the Jan storm almost every hour leading up to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Deer Whisperer said: gfs had like 6+ for all of nova for several days out. ended up with 2" snow and 1" sleet, definitely was too aggressive 1-2 seems more likely for pwc west and east..bit more NW county close to Loudon county line regardless of the RGEM shows. I believe it will take some really solid rates for us to overcome the lack of real cold but the overnight start will help some. Don't like Sun/Mon deal much either for us unless this low can stay closer to 50/50 location like the other guys said. we'll see I suppose. beats flowers and pollen so we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 51 minutes ago, LP08 said: 6z Euro likes Northern MD into PA. Also has the weekend storm pretty amped and looks like it will run the snows through PA on North. Love how a little bit of blue bleeds right into my backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 39 minutes ago, BristowWx said: 1-2 seems more likely for pwc west and east..bit more NW county close to Loudon county line regardless of the RGEM shows. I believe it will take some really solid rates for us to overcome the lack of real cold but the overnight start will help some. Don't like Sun/Mon deal much either for us unless this low can stay closer to 50/50 location like the other guys said. we'll see I suppose. beats flowers and pollen so we take I'm going to miss this one. I'll be in North Carolina so keep the Prince William County reports coming. I'll be driving back tomorrow morning. It does look like we are about 30 miles too far south on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, Stormpc said: I'm going to miss this one. I'll be in North Carolina so keep the Prince William County reports coming. I'll be driving back tomorrow morning. It does look like we are about 30 miles too far south on this one. Roger. Me and the crew are on it. Yup 30 miles but the mesos will keep us occupied and clinging to the best one. It’s what we do you know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, Stormpc said: I'm going to miss this one. I'll be in North Carolina so keep the Prince William County reports coming. I'll be driving back tomorrow morning. It does look like we are about 30 miles too far south on this one. Looks to favor DC but we are not out of the game. Just need to get lucky and hope for the PWC deathband Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 3k NAM says enjoy your flurries and occasional sleet ball. 12k a bit better than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 12z has a better coastal Friday into Saturday. Far northern areas stay frozen but it’s a 34-36 degree rain for us lowlanders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 3k NAM says enjoy your flurries and occasional sleet ball. 12k a bit better than 6z. I'm already sick of this one 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 lol im out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm already sick of this one Yeah but it's March though. Anything in March is gravy. Our prime climo period is waning. If we get an inch or two of quickly melting slop its a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Winter Weather Advisory area wide from 10pm-10am. 1-3 in DC- nearby suburbs; 2-4 north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I think the NAM is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, leesburg 04 said: I think the NAM is right Who doesn’t!? But the HRDerps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 3k NAM says enjoy your flurries and occasional sleet ball. 12k a bit better than 6z. is it me or is 3K NAM always super dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: is it me or is 3K NAM always super dry Certainly feels like it was for the last event...(although I think the NAMs were too dry in general for that one) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ji said: is it me or is 3K NAM always super dry They don't call you ashy Ji for nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, Scraff said: Who doesn’t!? But the HRDerps... The NAM actually sucks lol better hope it doesn’t verify. The snow depth map is meager Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I think the NAM is right 12k gives my yard >0.40" of QPF. 3k gives me <0.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: They don't call you ashy Ji for nothing Only you and I will probably know what this is. Pee Gee fo' life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Only you and I will probably know what this is. Pee Gee fo' life. Pee Gee? like the plant? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Only you and I will probably know what this is. Pee Gee fo' life. We all get ashy from time to time, but some of us hide it better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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