Sn0waddict Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We lean with him. We meh. FV3 isn’t even the bomb it was earlier anymore. Maybe it will deepen in time for NNE but not seeing it down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Pretty good change from 12z. Again boundary layer is torched but that’s what I wanted to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Ginxy gets his WINDEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Big jump on the GFS. Im surprised it doesn't throw back more precip to the west given that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Big jump on the GFS. Im surprised it doesn't throw back more precip to the west given that track. Might even be the furthest west now with the low, assuming we throw away the clown hour NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 It’s because the circulation is not established. The low starts out as elongated. Another reason you want this to blow up quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: We meh. FV3 isn’t even the bomb it was earlier anymore. Maybe it will deepen in time for NNE but not seeing it down here. Not happening for us. We look towards event 2 while rooting on our friends and colleagues for event 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 3 hours ago, jbenedet said: Super moon on the 21st. I know someone (Ginx?) already mentioned but probably should again given the trend of stronger intensity and earlier development. Yessir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t see how the moon can bring up storms. Call me crazy. Pretty sure no one was talking about that. He pointed out I mentioned if we had a big storm around the 21st we need to watch tides because the current is extremely strong and tides are high. Call me stupid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Ryan says rain for all with a small chance at some mangled flakes in NECT Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 That’s some pretty chilly air coming in before storm #2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty sure no one was talking about that. He pointed out I mentioned if we had a big storm around the 21st we need to watch tides because the current is extremely strong and tides are high. Call me stupid 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty sure no one was talking about that. He pointed out I mentioned if we had a big storm around the 21st we need to watch tides because the current is extremely strong and tides are high. Call me stupid You are the Major of Moon induced storms, so I only can surmise that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Next week's storm looks Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: You are the Major of Moon induced storms, so I only can surmise that. All of the worst storms in SNE history on the coast are associated with higher and stronger than normal tides so I watch those periods closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 18z Fv3 still has it, Just develops to late, Its a good track if you can get this to bomb about 100-150 miles further south, Its game on, This would be a great time for a decent high over QUE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: All of the worst storms in SNE history on the coast are associated with higher and stronger than normal tides so I watch those periods closely. If the Pope meant tides, then all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 2 hours ago, Hoth said: Lol just saw the CMC. A 958 low and a 1032 high. That'd be windier than Rusty after a can of Beeferino. I’m so keeno... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Most important 18z euro run of our lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Most important 18z euro run of our lives. May not dissapoint? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Most important 18z euro run of our lives. Could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 18z euro going to be further west then the 12z run, Going to be ugly, 988 mb right over scooters dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Good to see the GFS getting amped up. More amped, the better the upslope should be on the backside regardless of what happens with the actual storm precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Most important 18z euro run of our lives. NNE lives matter. We rooting for youz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Into our fannies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Euro doesn't really inject much lakes energy until the system is well north. It runs the southern vort ahead more and it kind of stem winds up the cosast but before we get a real lakes injection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Into our fannies. Nice runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro doesn't really inject much lakes energy until the system is well north. It runs the southern vort ahead more and it kind of stem winds up the cosast but before we get a real lakes injection. Yeah you can see that earlier on. Just another option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 It does seem like it’s a tall task to get this phased properly. I’m just not sure if the GL shortwave can scoot in to help. Wish we had a better antecedent airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Looked like it phased a piece in the northern stream earlier on with the southern s/w which gets this further north and west before the next one dives in later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you can see that earlier on. Just another option. We want that southern vort to dig for oil so that it bides its time and lets the lakes energy dive in at a better time during the development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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