40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2019 Author Share Posted March 14, 2019 @CoastalWx daily post count under 100 enages in spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 2:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: @CoastalWx daily post count under 100 enages in spring. Expand Enages in sping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 11:39 AM, dryslot said: On FB in the last week, I have seen a lot of pics in this area from people of owls, I'm curious to the reason why. Expand We had an owl (possibly a boreal owl) in our yard last week (we hear them all summer yelling at each other - barred). Also saw one at work. They are everywhere right now. Amazing uptick in their population. The chipmunk and mice and squirrel pop in my hood has taken a beating. We also had 2 bobcats in our yard in February (wife and daughter saw them by our pool). Regular fox visitor. Occasional fisher cat. Bears have been scare though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 2:52 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: We had an owl (possibly a boreal owl) in our yard last week (we hear them all summer yelling at each other - barred). Also saw one at work. They are everywhere right now. Amazing uptick in their population. The chipmunk and mice and squirrel pop in my hood has taken a beating. We also had 2 bobcats in our yard in February (wife and daughter saw them by our pool). Regular fox visitor. Occasional fisher cat. Bears have been scare though Expand Its seems to be an uptick all of a sudden, My company is in an old textile mill here, And we have a couple owls that hang out and cull the pigeon population, Maintenance has to go up on the roof twice a year to clear the pigeon carcasses, Were actually invading these animals habitats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 2:55 PM, dryslot said: My company is in an old textile mill here, And we have a couple owls that hang out and cull the pigeon population, Maintenance have to go up on the roof twice a year to clear the pigeon carcasses. Expand The barred owls get so loud during the late spring They go on and on at each other. What a racket. I also saw my first ermines ever this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 2:52 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: We had an owl (possibly a boreal owl) in our yard last week (we hear them all summer yelling at each other - barred). Also saw one at work. They are everywhere right now. Amazing uptick in their population. The chipmunk and mice and squirrel pop in my hood has taken a beating. We also had 2 bobcats in our yard in February (wife and daughter saw them by our pool). Regular fox visitor. Occasional fisher cat. Bears have been scare though Expand We've actually been having bears down here. They were out about in the fall and have made a reappearance recently. I have to keep a watch out on my runs. They're always in garbage cans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Let's have some posts about how warm April is going to be because long-range models have been so accurate this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 2:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: @CoastalWx daily post count under 100 enages in spring. Expand It’s over. One squinted weenie eye for something semi interesting, but we enaging in Sping. That usually means a certain poster starts to turn to the tarmacs of an international airport located in the CT Valley or nrn CT while folks in NNE rock back and forth, hoping to not see visible signs of a glaciated snowpack melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 3:03 PM, Minenfeld! said: We've actually been having bears down here. They were out about in the fall and have made a reappearance recently. I have to keep a watch out on my runs. They're always in garbage cans. Expand Right after I posted this I saw a news story about how a highway in the town next to mine was temporarily closed this morning so a family of bears could be moved away from the highway... I just haven't seen them in my actual neighborhood in a few years. I'm sure they are there though. We had a huge one about 10 feet from our front door one late morning in June around 2006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 2:55 PM, dryslot said: Its seems to be an uptick all of a sudden, My company is in an old textile mill here, And we have a couple owls that hang out and cull the pigeon population, Maintenance has to go up on the roof twice a year to clear the pigeon carcasses, Were actually invading these animals habitats. Expand And sometimes inadvertently creating them. Back when peregrine numbers were dangerously low, some of the best hacking sites were Manhattan skyscrapers - safety for the chicks and unending pigeons to feed them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 3:11 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Right after I posted this I saw a news story about how a highway in the town next to mine was temporarily closed this morning so a family of bears could be moved away from the highway... I just haven't seen them in my actual neighborhood in a few years. I'm sure they are there though. We had a huge one about 10 feet from our front door one late morning in June around 2006 Expand Its the bear awakening right now........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 3:10 PM, CoastalWx said: It’s over. One squinted weenie eye for something semi interesting, but we enaging in Sping. That usually means a certain poster starts to turn to the tarmacs of an international airport located in the CT Valley or nrn CT while folks in NNE rock back and forth, hoping to not see visible signs of a glaciated snowpack melting. Expand Ha, I'm not one of them. Melt it. I want to just take my dog for a walk in the woods without randomly post-holing to my weenie. This winter's longevity has me looking forward to grass for the first time in many winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 It's like raining all the way to James Bay right now....crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 3:24 PM, powderfreak said: Ha, I'm not one of them. Melt it. I want to just take my dog for a walk in the woods without randomly post-holing to my weenie. This winter's longevity has me looking forward to grass for the first time in many winters. Expand Yeah but c'mon.....if a 24-inch birch breaking blue bomb was coming down Route 89.....you'd take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 3:26 PM, Whineminster said: Yeah but c'mon.....if a 24-inch birch breaking blue bomb was coming down Route 89.....you'd take it. Expand There not fooling anyone, lol, You can tell who the ones that have had plenty of snow this winter and the ones that have had none, Both want to move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 3:31 PM, dryslot said: There not fooling anyone, lol, You can tell who the ones that have had plenty of snow this winter and the ones that have had none, Both want to move on. Expand I’ll all for a blue bomb. But at least this winter ended on a decent note. Managed to squeeze in a double digit event and by a large margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 4:07 PM, CoastalWx said: I’ll all for a blue bomb. But at least this winter ended on a decent note. Managed to squeeze in a double digit event and by a large margin. Expand You lucked out no doub't, Overall, Wasn't great for many, My grade is a C - here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Could actually see some damaging convective gusts across SE MA tomorrow afternoon along with small hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 4:10 PM, dryslot said: You lucked out no doub't, Overall, Wasn't great for many, My grade is a C - here. Expand The frustration through mid Feb brought it down. Got much better after I vented. And proud of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 So....when should we install? I made it all the way to July 3 last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 GFS now giving mouth to mouth to next week. Looks like we have a weak pulse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Maybe it isn’t quite dead yet after all??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 It's a nuclear ridge...can't ever really rule anything out at 7 days out with that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 The fat lady has laryngitis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 3:26 PM, Whineminster said: Yeah but c'mon.....if a 24-inch birch breaking blue bomb was coming down Route 89.....you'd take it. Expand Oh well for sure. I'd take a 4-8" event...but if it's not going to snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 4:32 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's a nuclear ridge...can't ever really rule anything out at 7 days out with that look. Expand Yup! And the GEF's have been all over it for quite some time. I don't speak to the EPS derivatives - as far as I know, there are no free sites for " EPS -based NAO, EPO...WPO, PNA" ...etc. But, the CDC and CPC agencies have been way more amplified and in modality than the operational models across the board have been willing to acquiesce to.. which is a mystery ... that much weight being ignored. It's happened before though. Sometimes when both the higher resolution operational models (GFS and ECMWF) agree on a one look, the ensemble mean will collapse in that favor regardless of the antecedent signal. So, there's no way to tell if that's going to happen this time, or, the operational runs will come around to and suddenly plumb the Equinox heights over the east. Could certainly go that way too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 4:32 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's a nuclear ridge...can't ever really rule anything out at 7 days out with that look. Expand Scoots did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 On 3/14/2019 at 4:41 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Yup! And the GEF's have been all over it for quite some time. I don't speak to the EPS derivatives - as far as I know, there are no free sites for " EPS -based NAO, EPO...WPO, PNA" ...etc. But, the CDC and CPC agencies have been way more amplified and in modality than the operational models across the board have been willing to acquiesce to.. which is a mystery ... that much weight being ignored. It's happened before though. Sometimes when both the higher resolution operational models (GFS and ECMWF) agree on a one look, the ensemble mean will collapse in that favor regardless of the antecedent signal. So, there's no way to tell if that's going to happen this time, or, the operational runs will come around to and suddenly plumb the Equinox heights over the east. Could certainly go that way too - Expand 12z Ukie looks pretty "interesting" at day 6 as well at the end of its run. I'm not trying to get everyone's hopes up saying a big one is likely, but we know the risks of a very amplified PNA ridge. The embedded shortwaves likely wouldn't be resolved until another 48-72 hours closer. That said, I'd like to see a little more northern stream phase in there, but there's obviously potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Agreed with Will.. also add - the models may be too quick to collapse the ridge/founding circulation that led to it's construction ... to liberally. Sometimes when there's a whole scale pattern change ... that kind of handling can get stochastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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