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March Disco


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Nice front ender again on NAM. RPM actually has it too...but take these with a grain of salt right now. 

Theres enough cold initially, the question is qpf/dynamics as it runs into that cold Sunday morning. Euro has been pretty weak with that so it's like an inch of snow and then some 34F drizzle after brief ZR. But stronger dynamics could produce a 2-4" burst. 

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Would like to see the Euro start ramping this up instead of the opposite like it has been for several runs now, GGEM seems to be the most bullish with close to a warning event in CNE/NNE, GFS is more inline with the Euro with more of a 2-4" event.

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8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nice front ender again on NAM. RPM actually has it too...but take these with a grain of salt right now. 

Theres enough cold initially, the question is qpf/dynamics as it runs into that cold Sunday morning. Euro has been pretty weak with that so it's like an inch of snow and then some 34F drizzle after brief ZR. But stronger dynamics could produce a 2-4" burst. 

6 z Euro has only .2/.3 qpf pretty meh 

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3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z GFS looks colder for sunday but still quite weak with the qpf.

Haven't seen 12z, but 06z Op shows the AUG-WVL-RUM triangle with 0.47-0.55", good for high end advisory if all snow.  (Even better if good ratios, but those have yet to appear this season.)

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6 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Haven't seen 12z, but 06z Op shows the AUG-WVL-RUM triangle with 0.47-0.55", good for high end advisory if all snow.  (Even better if good ratios, but those have yet to appear this season.)

Maybe 3-5" if it stays cold enough, 12z GFS was better but still warmed here at the end but it may be to warm anyways, We will see if we continue the colder trend from here on out, I'm thinking its will be an advisory event if we have enough qpf, Looked like between .25-.50"+ over the region.

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Grab 2-3", then nape tanner for a couple days at the end of next week, then lets rip out a KU post-St Pattys Day and call it a winter. 

This 


...and a half inch here or there at the beginning of April during those useless days of cold would at least give me accumulating snow for 6 months in a row. (barely in Dec. with .5")

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14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Grab 2-3", then nape tanner for a couple days at the end of next week, then lets rip out a KU post-St Pattys Day and call it a winter. 

U might get that over 50" call for ORH post Jan 1 yet.

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26 minutes ago, scoob40 said:

U might get that over 50" call for ORH post Jan 1 yet.

They need 12.4" to hit 50" after January 1st. 2-3" on Sunday would leave them just needing a couple advisory events. 

Could go either way. 

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27 minutes ago, Hazey said:

60's to maybe 70ish next Friday? Hope the euro has a clue.

In Newfoundland? You guys don’t get that warm much of the summer. That’s one brutal climate. That warm sector never will make it into SNE next week. We’ ll have a day or two of 50ish with sun and low dews to satisfy Tips sexually derived Nape fetish though. 

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