Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Heh ... I suggest taking the blend between the GFS and Euro on the bigger, latter deal.. Maybe 60/40 or something Euro's way, but... 60/40 also by definition (hypothetical as it may be...) means the confidence in either is smearing so if verified 60/40 GFS' way it is neither impossible, nor an outlandish expectation. Thing is, each could still be playing into their own respective biases at this time range ... what are we D5 on that? I'm not discussing any run after the 00z suite. But this is still not quite inside the Euro's wheelhouse and definitely not inside the GFS' - if it has one.. Anyway, the Euro tends to dig too much by inches, and the GFS tends to stretch flows too much by similar smaller, innocuous but important, subtle intervals. The Euro being too far NW in the polarward return flow of the trough, and the GFS thus being too far SE, fits their unique charm and distinction. So, giving the nod to the Euro ... end up with Euro biased blend by that estimate above. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 34 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: I still think the euro is too amped I do, too.. I think low end warning is still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 The NAM doesn't look all that bad for Friday night into Saturday. Could rip pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Wow NAM likes Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 That’s a warning event on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: The NAM doesn't look all that bad for Friday night into Saturday. Could rip pretty good For Central CT?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Here comes the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: For Central CT?? From a quick look it looked like we could get into some decent snow rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Here comes the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 That may help is Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: The Mirage Winter Continues for SNE. The active snowy period we thought was on the doorstep...has turned into a big nothing burger, just like this whole POS Winter. Holy heck this can’t end quick enough. Pickles for the Monster Win!! Nice job brotha!! Nothing has changed. Bring ON SPRING. I don't think anyone was expecting a blockbuster at this point. I know I just posted a blog a few days ago to the effect that we wouldn't because the pattern is still plagued by some of the main limitations that we have had all season. Some of the guidance was trying to roll the EPO enough, but that is a hail mary. However a warning event remains in the cards imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I'm at 30" as of this morning's 20:1 fluff... But, seasonal totals don't delve into moisture content as a qualifier in any way so... 30" it is. I'm buckin' for 5" on Saturday morning, than a quick 8" Monday/Mon evening... and then at 43" ... setting me up for a pattern exit bowling ball event to the tune of 15" to bring me up to an average snow fall season. Who's with me! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Nice look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I'm at 30" as of this morning's 20:1 fluff... But, seasonal totals don't delve into moisture content as a qualifier in any way so... 30" it is. I'm buckin' for 5" on Saturday morning, than a quick 8" Monday/Mon evening... and 43" ... setting me up for a pattern exit bowling ball 15" to bring me to an average snow fall season Who's with me! 34.5" here...same as 2006-07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Kind of meh for sone reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Could be some taint issues along the shore, but maybe a 3-6'' type deal away from the immediate shoreline? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Could be any relative of, and including, a NAM solution beyond about a 20 minute outlook too - might want to consider that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 52 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nightmare is almost over. Hang in there weenies. Couple more weeks, then break out the Chubbies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 12z 3k NAM looking way better than its 6z run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Kind of meh for sone reason That's "positive snow depth change"...I wouldn't use it. Also, clown maps in general still suck....they sucked 10 years and still do today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Well that was a fun NAM run for here. 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 NAM looks like it'll be pretty amped for Monday. lalaland though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Could be some taint issues along the shore, but maybe a 3-6'' type deal away from the immediate shoreline? DAMMMIT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: NAM looks like it'll be pretty amped for Monday. lalaland though Prob not as amped as the Euro though....it's dragging its heels with the southern energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: NAM looks like it'll be pretty amped for Monday. lalaland though They seem to mirror each other. The more amped Sat. Is the more amped Monday is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: NAM looks like it'll be pretty amped for Monday. lalaland though Didn't appear to look as amped as the 06z Euro though, But its out of its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, EastonSN+ said: They seem to mirror each other. The more amped Sat. Is the more amped Monday is. I think its the other way around the more amped saturday is, The flatter Monday would be and vice versa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 ASOUT for Monday Not Runaway or WW though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 NAM has the low off of the del marva at 84 hours. Much better vs euro though it’s lalanam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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