BombsAway1288 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I'll wait until the 00z EPS but if that of all things is going to make a big move to the Euro OP instead of the other way around like it normally is then I give up on this winter. The thing (EPS) finally shows a nice coastal and is considered the best guidance with this lead time and it's caving to the OP. We'll see obviously but starting to get a bad feeling for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 17 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: I'll wait until the 00z EPS but if that of all things is going to make a big move to the Euro OP instead of the other way around like it normally is then I give up on this winter. The thing (EPS) finally shows a nice coastal and is considered the best guidance with this lead time and it's caving to the OP. We'll see obviously but starting to get a bad feeling for Monday You may want to wait another 2-3 days. D5 isn’t stable for any model this season or most others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: You may want to wait another 2-3 days. D5 isn’t stable for any model this season or most others. Especially this season...what a mess this season has been for modeling, a disaster to be honest. Everything falls apart as we close in..sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Cmc with a big snow. Cooled a bit for se ma vs 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Hammertime on the GFS. #Iwanttobelieve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Hammertime on the GFS. #Iwanttobelieve Pretty decent run to run continuity for the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Nice storm Monday on the 0z GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Cmc with a big snow. Cooled a bit for se ma vs 12z. Would take that in a heartbeat. I don’t believe it yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I know but a 6-10er that falls overnight Sunday and leaves in the morning but just enough and timed well enough to muck up the morning commute but not enough or timed properly to make it a true snowday......is just not that exciting at this point. But Delay it by 6 hours and I’m all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I know but a 6-10er that falls overnight Sunday and leaves in the morning but just enough and timed well enough to muck up the morning commute but not enough or timed properly to make it a true snowday......is just not that exciting at this point. But Delay it by 6 hours and I’m all in. Stay up all night and call in. In the early 70s and most of the 80s to the early 90s and indeed much of the 50s 6-10 was a big dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I know but a 6-10er that falls overnight Sunday and leaves in the morning but just enough and timed well enough to muck up the morning commute but not enough or timed properly to make it a true snowday......is just not that exciting at this point. But Delay it by 6 hours and I’m all in. Wow, talk about looking a gift horse in the mouth. With the crap we've had this winter. I'd take this GFS run in a heart beat, and it could occur any hour god sends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I know but a 6-10er that falls overnight Sunday and leaves in the morning but just enough and timed well enough to muck up the morning commute but not enough or timed properly to make it a true snowday......is just not that exciting at this point. But Delay it by 6 hours and I’m all in. Take a breath and relax, it's all going to be okay, their is a snow day in everybody's future. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Interesting stuff with these 2 being so far apart even at this lead time but what else could we expect for Winter 2018-2019. They'll probably stay this way for the next 3 days. Would still love to see the UK come in with a GFS solution tonight though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Euro gives some snow to ORH SE now. Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Euro still pretty amped. A little tamer than 12z though. Complete crush job for VT-NH-ME. Central and northern parts of those states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro still pretty amped. A little tamer than 12z though. Complete crush job for VT-NH-ME. Central and northern parts of those states. So it's pretty much everything vs. the Euro, right? If so, a compromise of tracks would fit the season pattern of tracking over the Canal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I think there is a big, cold, snow storm coming before we get all spring giddy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 First Call for Saturday and Initial Assessment for Monday. Final Call for Saturday and First Call for Monday on Friday night: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/02/double-snowfall-jeopardy-saturdaymonday.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro still pretty amped. A little tamer than 12z though. Complete crush job for VT-NH-ME. Central and northern parts of those states. Its a warning event from near the MA/NH border points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its a warning event from near the MA/NH border points north. I'm just speaking of those who get nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I'm just speaking of those who get nailed. Yea...I think I get about 5". Sharp gradient south of me, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea...I think I get about 5". Sharp gradient south of me, though. Hopefully we can get that a little more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully we can get that a little more south. I think we will. Check my blog out...I think the Euro is erroneously hanging the baroclinic zone too close to the coast in the wake of the Saturday deal, which is likely why its ens mean is further off of the coast. EPS will likely come nw, but I think a compromise is in order. Low will likely end up near the canal on Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Good trends on Euro, improved for both Saturday and Monday events... Saturday ticked further NW, Monday ticked further SE Roughly: Sat Mar 2: advisory to canal, warning all of CC Mon Mar 4: warning NW 1/2 of MA, 10"+ north of MA border Wed Mar 6: nada Fri Mar 8: maybe cooking up another event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think we will. Check my blog out...I think the Euro is erroneously hanging the baroclinic zone too close to the coast in the wake of the Saturday deal, which is likely why its ens mean is further off of the coast. EPS will likely come nw, but I think a compromise is in order. Low will likely end up near the canal on Monday. Agree, was thinking same given proximity to Mar 2... the Ens mean track Mar 4 would be our biggest storm since Nov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 EPS is rather snowy LWM-ORH-BDL-SE on Saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 00z EPS similar to 18z EPS it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I think the Euro OP is way to amped like Ray said...GFS With the hot hand of late against the Euro...we all Want to believe it has another upset left in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Saturday turning into an all out snowstorm river east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 EPS probs for 6"+ is high for the Saturday event, from RI eastward and northeastward to North Shore and NE MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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