SouthCoastMA Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 9 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Don’t worry guys the true king the JMA has come to the rescue with a benchmark track. We are saved. Hey it nailed Feb 06? Maybe it was a different storm it nailed before the other models...but perhaps its due for its decadal miracle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just 2 hours ago the board was full of optimism, looking forward to winter's fury. Then the Euro spoke, and the weenies croak... tossing the king far and wide. Ah...what a winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Just 2 hours ago the board was full of optimism, looking forward to winter's fury. Then the Euro spoke, and the weenies croak... tossing the king far and wide. Ah...what a winter! It’s been a while since we have had any opportunities for the EURO to be Dr.No again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Just 2 hours ago the board was full of optimism, looking forward to winter's fury. Then the Euro spoke, and the weenies croak... tossing the king far and wide. Ah...what a winter! it's because the cinema of the storm was interrupted ... weather and weather phenomenon might have something to do with it in there somewhere, but primarily... it's whenever the "rush" they get from the models gets interrupted the "high" is ruined... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Hopefully no one jumped off the tobin from that 12z Euro op run because the 12z EPS looked pretty good for Monday, Saturday was not bad either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Poor Scooter. Now his emotional posts will have to swing back the other way . Tough day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 NCEP sensitivity is all tied to the PV lobe dropping down into the Great Lakes. More ridging ahead of it, more amped the solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Euro op probably has right idea with SE ridging and this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: NCEP sensitivity is all tied to the PV lobe dropping down into the Great Lakes. More ridging ahead of it, more amped the solution. That s/w swinging into CA and the timing of that should be a factor too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro op probably has right idea with SE ridging and this pattern. It seems to me 8 out of 10 from 90-120 since the upgrade the Euro Op verifies too amped on any sort of significant storm system in the eastern US. I think this will be a rain to snow transition but it’s not tracking as far west as that Op run showed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: That s/w swinging into CA and the timing of that should be a factor too. Oddly, that's where all the 00z Euro sensitivity was. So the two models have uncertainty, but coming from different regions. I guess the GFS really does love the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 The problem is Friday/Saturday have some impact on Monday. I’m not sure how much but they do. Right now the Op Euro at least moved towards the NAM/GGEM idea for the MA/NJ region Friday. It had been as flat as a pancake on that little system til today. At the same time though it was flatter for Saturday night on the possible SNE event. May not have much resolution for 48-60 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 EPS may have actually tickled SE from 06z for the Mar 4th system. 06z first and then 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 EPS says what me worry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Wonder what Scooters emotional response will be to EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Even for 120 that’s a big difference from the Op. The Op is basically over MHT. That’s probably a 150 mile difference on the ensemble mean to the Op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 At 5 days, we ride the ensembles... phuck the OP... 3 days out it's different. If the OP showed a '78 redux I would hopefully be logical enough to say the same, but I probably wouldn't be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: I bet the EPS are much further SE and will look pretty good for SNE. Who would've seen that coming? EPS continue to look great for the bridge jumpers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Snowgoose soothes the weenies while Scooter pours salt in the wounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wonder what Scooters emotional response will be to EPS Ride the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wonder what Scooters emotional response will be to EPS He's just a mess right now, losing it on a D5 op run. As Will noted, that bears good fortune for everybody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Snowgoose soothes the weenies while Scooter pours salt in the wounds. One with a feather, The other with a dagger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: He's just a mess right now, losing it on a D5 op run. As Will noted, that bears good fortune for everybody I usually will go fill another gas can. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ride the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Didn’t even notice til now Boston got out of the least snowiest winter. That 1.6 they reported the other night seems fishy to me. Was that an overmeasurement vs their continuous undermeasuring? I don’t recall their vis ever going below 2-3SM and it only snowed for 4-5 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Didn’t even notice til now Boston got out of the least snowiest winter. That 1.6 they reported the other night seems fishy to me. Was that an overmeasurement vs their continuous undermeasuring? I don’t recall their vis ever going below 2-3SM and it only snowed for 4-5 hours No it was real. Most of us had around 2" in that front ender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Didn’t even notice til now Boston got out of the least snowiest winter. That 1.6 they reported the other night seems fishy to me. Was that an overmeasurement vs their continuous undermeasuring? I don’t recall their vis ever going below 2-3SM and it only snowed for 4-5 hours When the he'll did Belichek and the Patriots take over Boston snow measurements ('cough' cheat 'cough') Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: No it was real. Most of us had around 2" in that front ender. Yeah vis was never that impressive here at GYX, but we had those big aggregates that pile up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 It's just that everybody is so Snakebitten in SNE.....this would normally not bother us as much being 5 days out, but the tenor is just so bad...you know this has to be right lol. I'm a product of the 80's...and this is it to a T!! Whatever can go wrong WILL. And this season is the epitome of THAT. It will find every way possible not to snow here this winter. Somebody just said this morning about missing out on all the chances...well the Euro OP just showed us how that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: It’s been right before this winter given the look. I’m just having fun/venting, but given this is usually my fav time of year due to loving the synoptic forecaatinf challenges...this winter has been awful. God forbid we get a decent stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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