40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ve never known someone who has that many 30” plus storms but thinks he gets porked. I didn't say I get porked...I said I don't benefit from the move in terms of snowfall. Fact, not opinion. This season, I got porked. I've had two 30"+ events in my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It is interesting...but I've always thought that as even HubbDave doesn't seem to get the big events as those E/SE of ORH if you are looking for full jackpot storms. You add it up over the season to a higher snowfall but it's not like a distinct line of "these events rock us and screw people nearby." Once you pass west of the spine of the ORH hills, it's definitely less favorable for the true monsters and then it picks up again along the east slope of Berks. The really big east flow monsters do bring terrain into effect. I'm talking storms like Dec '92, Apr '97, etc. You typically get the coastline friction convergence in E MA and then further west a bit of upslope enhancement. Though someone like Hubbdave would've done well in those too since he isn't that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It is interesting...but I've always thought that as even HubbDave doesn't seem to get the big events as those E/SE of ORH if you are looking for full jackpot storms. You add it up over the season to a higher snowfall but it's not like a distinct line of "these events rock us and screw people nearby." I hardly ever jack in the big ones...its usually south of me. That is why 3-13-18 was so special for me. Perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hardly ever jack in the big ones...its usually south of me. That is why 3-13-18 was so special for me. Perfect. I feel like there was a run in the 2000s when I remember Essex County jacking on a lot of storms. Topsfield, Boxford, Ipswich, Danvers, etc. Every Noreaster they seemed like 18"+ for a time...I figured you'd be close to that in Methuen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Seen some social media posts saying wind is a threat with this system...I'm not so sure about that. Doesn't seem like a whole heck of a lot of wind with this. Not with a SLP like overhead. Winds on the CAA side however... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 49 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just sucks the first season I move up here, I get teabagged by mama nature....big, fat, sweaty and unwashed or shaven... Plop- Luck. You’ve been part of so many biggies before though. Shoot I had half of what you had on 3/13 last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Once you pass west of the spine of the ORH hills, it's definitely less favorable for the true monsters and then it picks up again along the east slope of Berks. The really big east flow monsters do bring terrain into effect. I'm talking storms like Dec '92, Apr '97, etc. You typically get the coastline friction convergence in E MA and then further west a bit of upslope enhancement. Though someone like Hubbdave would've done well in those too since he isn't that far west. Probably a recency bias but it does seem like it's either ORH east or like NY state lately for jackpots. Been a little while for the MPM to Dendrite rotting deform bands. The eastern Catskills or terrain west of ALB are a sneaky huge event area...when they get crushed they go big. Been a little while for a true CNE max zone in a huge event. This or that, see the two maps: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 16 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Probably a recency bias but it does seem like it's either ORH east or like NY state lately for jackpots. Been a little while for the MPM to Dendrite rotting deform bands. The eastern Catskills or terrain west of ALB are a sneaky huge event area...when they get crushed they go big. Been a little while for a true CNE max zone in a huge event. This or that, see the two maps: First post here! Also, I live in Sullivan County NY. Pi day was by far the most fascinating storm I've ever witnessed. 27" in roughly 15 hours. Piled so high so fast everywhere like you wouldn't believe. Likely had 4-6" hourly rates for a time. Shame that I could go a whole lifetime before I ever see another storm like that. Likely won't happen for me this time, I'm low enough in elevation for mostly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 40 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Once you pass west of the spine of the ORH hills, it's definitely less favorable for the true monsters and then it picks up again along the east slope of Berks. The really big east flow monsters do bring terrain into effect. I'm talking storms like Dec '92, Apr '97, etc. You typically get the coastline friction convergence in E MA and then further west a bit of upslope enhancement. Though someone like Hubbdave would've done well in those too since he isn't that far west. Those two events probably averaged over 36” where I live now. I was in Gardner about 5 miles away in 1997 and got 36”. Princeton 5 miles away got 42”? I think in 1992 but it has been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 29 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Probably a recency bias but it does seem like it's either ORH east or like NY state lately for jackpots. Been a little while for the MPM to Dendrite rotting deform bands. The eastern Catskills or terrain west of ALB are a sneaky huge event area...when they get crushed they go big. Been a little while for a true CNE max zone in a huge event. This or that, see the two maps: Plenty of NE CT and NW RI jacks. People always forget our area because of the population bias . And if not a jack.. always do very well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Plenty of NE CT and NW RI jacks. People always forget our area because of the population bias . And if not a jack.. always do very well True I lump you in with the Eastern crowd. Your climo storms run in that same zone as EMass...the zone SE of the Litchfield/Berks to Dendrite to Tamarack axis. Then one step further NW from them is like BGM/ALB/BTV zone. At least that's sort of how I lable it in my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 been to Catskills once (hunter/tannersville ) when I chased that storm last March . the elevation gain from 5 miles east of Tannersville (Palenville) back into tannersville/hunter is a sick sick gradient . had 24” easy at hunter/tannersville at 1800-1900’ and 5 miles east at like 350-400’ had NOTHING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 3 hours ago, dryslot said: Yeah i should have referenced the 0 muddafukkas in their. heh...well that was 0 for snow. Q24 is a 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Plenty of NE CT and NW RI jacks. People always forget our area because of the population bias . And if not a jack.. always do very well We are the red headed step kids of SNE since the populations are in ENE and west of the river . BOX pays little attn. But if ENE does well, we almost always do too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 The 18z Canadian had a 972 low just on Montauk point w almost a slight double barrel look NE at 12z friday and 971 near Truro at 18z had 1.5 qpf in 6 hr period from 1 A.M. to 7 A.M. for many in Sne the good news for scooter was it was all rain outside Stowe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 12z GEM gives Boston nothing on the clown map....folks talked like it was a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 18z euro kept trending a little more. That's prob some decent snows from deformation CCB back into berks/E NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Thats a better look on the 18z Euro, Couple tics east with the SLP, Slows down in the GOM to a crawl with the SLP slowly moving NE into DE Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Thats a better look on the 18z Euro, Couple tics east with the SLP, Slows down in the GOM to crawl with the SLP slowly crawling into DE Maine That is what I mean....until that trend ceases, it can't be written off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 12z Clown 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is what I mean....until that trend ceases, it can't be written off. No, You cant until it halts or reverses, Then you can mail it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z euro kept trending a little more. That's prob some decent snows from deformation CCB back into berks/E NY. Did the southern wave dig more and trend slower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: No, You cant until it halts or reverses, Then you can mail it in. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Meh...it has a long way to go to be giving you decent snow Ray. Part of what helps the Berks is enhanced CAA with any westerly component. At this time frame I say write it off unless you're looking for some sloppy second slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Epic upslope run, still ongoing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z Clown 18z 18 Z has me missing the good snows by only 5 miles instead of 20. In terms of jackpots, Woodford VT is always the answer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Manbuns and Pony’s rejoice. Everyone else rains to Maine’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is what I mean....until that trend ceases, it can't be written off. Seems like we need an epiphany to bring snows SE near 495 much of the accumulation in WNE is upslope Seems difficult to cut temps 5c at 925 in order to bring ccb snows but maybe we are closer then I’m guessing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Seems like we need an epiphany to bring snows SE near 495 much of the accumulation in WNE is upslope Seems difficult to cut temps 5c at 925 in order to bring ccb snows but maybe we are closer then I’m guessing I dunno. There was quite a bit of ensemble support for advisory type snow around ORH at 12z. Wouldn't be that hard to get it to 495...if we're searching for 12+, then we're gonna need to convert 4th and 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I dunno. There was quite a bit of ensemble support for advisory type snow around ORH at 12z. Wouldn't be that hard to get it to 495...if we're searching for 12+, then we're gonna need to convert 4th and 24. When did that hypothetical ORH snow fall ....end of storm ...Ccb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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