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March Disco


40/70 Benchmark
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2/27 0z Euro in broad strokes:
Feb 28: 2-4” just about all SNE
Mar 2-3: grazes southeast SNE with 1-3”
Mar 4: low tracks ~ over BOS, advisory with mix SNE, 6-10” CNE/NNE
Mar 6-7: nada

Kind of illustrates what I was worried about with the overcrowded potential.

Yeah Will, sorry for the delayed reply... Mar 4 system is what I was alluding to. Mar 6-7 energy has no space to amplify and/or baroclinic zone is pushed further out. The bomb runs a few days ago had pretty much nothing in the preceding Mar 2-5 window.

Add to that, H5 also looks more compressed relative to the bomb runs a few days ago, and we don’t have that whole PV lobe in play to carve out a sharper trough.

In any case, lots of potential and clearly we aren’t settled on a solution yet... fun week ahead.

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58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, what a shocking solution this year.

EPS shows the real deal though.  

There's a huge difference between this EPS snow map and any other this season...namely there's a northern drop off.  Every other EPS run all season increased snowfall well into Canada as you go north as so much energy has been lifting well NW of us.

This one is a more coastal look than anything we've seen this season, as there's no southern Canada snow from some Great Lakes primary:

IMG_2369.thumb.PNG.6d5d2ee3f1636718994814df2d84c725.PNG

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