HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, toller65 said: Okay folks, hate to do this to you, but if you took your best shot at crystal-balling the p-type at Sugarloaf elev. 4,297 ft (blue circle on map below) for the Thursday-Friday event, what would it be? 1) Moderately fluffy snow (10:1) 2) Heavy, wet snow (7-8:1) 3) Mix Trying to plan the rest of my week in hopes of taking Friday off If I were skiing this weekend Sugarloaf is where I would be booking a room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, toller65 said: Okay folks, hate to do this to you, but if you took your best shot at crystal-balling the p-type at Sugarloaf elev. 4,297 ft (blue circle on map below) for the Thursday-Friday event, what would it be? 1) Moderately fluffy snow (10:1) 2) Heavy, wet snow (7-8:1) 3) Mix Trying to plan the rest of my week in hopes of taking Friday off They could have a sloppy mix or even rain on early Friday but then probably transition to pounding snow for later Friday/Friday evening. This storm still has a lot of uncertainty...esp in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: EPS is 3-4" here, I won't say I'm selling yet but I have my receipt in hand wandering towards the return/refunds window if the trend shifts at 0z. Better chance there with longtitude and closer to upslope TROWAL that develops like EPs shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 That one eps member that nails eastern ma with snow is way slower than guidance mean and is pretty far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, OSUmetstud said: That one eps member that nails eastern ma with snow is way slower than guidance mean and is pretty far east. Slower is definitely key for further south snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Better chance there with longtitude and closer to upslope TROWAL that develops like EPs shows. Had not considered that making up for some of my paltry elevation. (400') Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 48 minutes ago, powderfreak said: When we started discussing this two days ago some were going to be happy with a rainy nor'easter. There were quite a few posts about just being happy with something interesting instead of clear and cold. That attitude seems to have waned a bit. Two days ago Lucy didn't even have the football. Now she's acting like she wants to put it on the tee then yank it away. Really do not want a serious rainer. Given the chilly temps I don't think it would melt enough pack to produce serious flooding on free-flowing streams. However, it takes a lot less flow to pop the ice, and a sudden breakup this early while ice is still solid and thick multiplies the chances of jams, which illustrate the phrase "arbitrary and capricious." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 34 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: If I were skiing this weekend Sugarloaf is where I would be booking a room. For Thursday night - don't want to be driving up Friday morning in the yuck. There's been several fatalities on Rt 27 north of Farmington this year due to drivers losing control on messy roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: For Thursday night - don't want to be driving up Friday morning in the yuck. There's been several fatalities on Rt 27 north of Farmington this year due to drivers losing control on messy roads. That's an intense road at night. Even coming through Belgrade Lakes but yeah, the S curves between Kingfield and Carrabassett are no good in bad weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: the S curves between Kingfield and Carrabassett are no good in bad weather. I still shake my head wondering how I was never killed by logging trucks on the unimproved road back in the early and mid 80's when Sugarloaf was my local mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: That's an intense road at night. Even coming through Belgrade Lakes but yeah, the S curves between Kingfield and Carrabassett are no good in bad weather. Last Friday night's drive from 8-11PM was a nightmare - sublimating snows reduced the visibility in fog to less than 50 feet in some places. If I go up it will be Thursday night before any precip starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 18 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: That's an intense road at night. Even coming through Belgrade Lakes but yeah, the S curves between Kingfield and Carrabassett are no good in bad weather. The New Vineyard wiggles just south of that town's center are a challenge as well. At least there, if you go off the road it's into the woods, not the rocks of the Carrabassett. Good snowbanks at present, though that's no help if the oncoming vehicle is hurtling at you sideways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Better chance there with longtitude and closer to upslope TROWAL that develops like EPs shows. I like where I stand with this one. Even if low goes way west, say up CT River or God forbid the Hudson Valley, the Greens will still do well with the TROWAL and upslope on the backside. It could be a bona fide blizzard here for a while Friday with the TROWAL and strong W to NW upslope combined. The wildcard here will be if the front end is cold enough for snow, but this will depend on storm track and intensity. Too far west, and the deform band is out in NYS while we dryslot and get rain. Verbatim, the 12z Euro is some brief rain after snow and then we rip on the backside. I like the look of the EPS, with the mean around a foot here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: I like where I stand with this one. Even if low goes way west, say up CT River or God forbid the Hudson Valley, the Greens will still do well with the TROWAL and upslope on the backside. It could be a bona fide blizzard here for a while Friday with the TROWAL and strong W to NW upslope combined. The wildcard here will be if the front end is cold enough for snow, but this will depend on storm track and intensity. Too far west, and the deform band is out in NYS while we dryslot and get rain. Verbatim, the 12z Euro is some brief rain after snow and then we rip on the backside. I like the look of the EPS, with the mean around a foot here. I'm sure you will get crushed, but the faux intrigue is cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 10 hours ago, weathafella said: Congrats on the house Brett! 10 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congs.. Taunton? We closed last October.. 9 hours ago, moneypitmike said: Meh. It's done. Congratulations! Where are the new digs? Thanks guys. As Bob said, still in Taunton, but barely. Not sure if anyone is familiar with 138 are... but If you Head towards Stoughton off exit 10 on 495, take a left almost immediately after getting off the highway and it’s down those back roads. taunton taxes... raynham mailing address sewer and everything else. Literally on the town lines. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Thanks guys. As Bob said, still in Taunton, but barely. Not sure if anyone is familiar with 138 are... but If you Head towards Stoughton off exit 10 on 495, take a left almost immediately after getting off the highway and it’s down those back roads. taunton taxes... raynham mailing address sewer and everything else. Literally on the town lines. Know 138 well. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 33 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: I like where I stand with this one. Even if low goes way west, say up CT River or God forbid the Hudson Valley, the Greens will still do well with the TROWAL and upslope on the backside. It could be a bona fide blizzard here for a while Friday with the TROWAL and strong W to NW upslope combined. The wildcard here will be if the front end is cold enough for snow, but this will depend on storm track and intensity. Too far west, and the deform band is out in NYS while we dryslot and get rain. Verbatim, the 12z Euro is some brief rain after snow and then we rip on the backside. I like the look of the EPS, with the mean around a foot here. Yeah, I’m going to head up to my 1400’ refuge and watch this one play out. Elevation will be key in this one! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 Man, I should move south...seems like I'm never far enough north to benefit, but far enough south to get porked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, I should move south...seems like I'm never far enough north to benefit, but far enough south to get porked. Mitch has a sick spot even at a Latitude Not more than 10 miles north than you. Just about 2k higher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, I should move south...seems like I'm never far enough north to benefit, but far enough south to get porked. As soon as you do, March 2001 will happen...lol. Methuen got like 30+ in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Mitch has a sick spot even at a Latitude Not more than 10 miles north than you. Just about 2k higher I know. Aside from 07-08, latitude never helps around here until you hit like Manchester, NH... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 5 hours ago, dryslot said: Head to Sunday River or Surgarloaf, You won't be disappointed playing either course there except June can be sketchy at times depending on how they fared over the winter if your looking for a mountain course. I've played Sugarloaf in June and the greens are just coming in after the long winter . Wait a bit . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: As soon as you do, March 2001 will happen...lol. Methuen got like 30+ in that. Yea, 2000-2001 and 2007-2008..1970-1971, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, 2000-2001 and 2007-2008..1971-1972, too There is a reason why you average what you do. You’ll come around as I cry for mama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: There is a reason why you average what you do. You’ll come around as I cry for mama. Eh...I average the same as Wilmington...just better retention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 5 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Killington as well for a mountain golf course. Skied and played golf on the same day many times. Killington is kind of beat these days . If you are playing Vermont, Green Mountain national is a must . Okemo is pretty nice too . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Eh...I average the same as Wilmington...just better retention Well I mean clearly you don’t get porked lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well I mean clearly you don’t get porked lol. Just sucks the first season I move up here, I get teabagged by mama nature....big, fat, sweaty and unwashed or shaven... Plop- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well I mean clearly you don’t get porked lol. I’ve never known someone who has that many 30” plus storms but thinks he gets porked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I know. Aside from 07-08, latitude never helps around here until you hit like Manchester, NH... It is interesting...but I've always thought that as even HubbDave doesn't seem to get the big events as those E/SE of ORH if you are looking for full jackpot storms. You add it up over the season to a higher snowfall but it's not like a distinct line of "these events rock us and screw people nearby." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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