powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 28 minutes ago, dendrite said: I missed it. Where are you? Flew into West Palm Beach...now up near Port St Lucie and the Mets spring training. Visiting family until Friday...now looks like it may include sitting on the beach checking in on the latest ECMWF runs . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 29 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We jack liquid systems here with ease. It's unreal. 8 months of the year WNE is now the qpf jackzone. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Flew into West Palm Beach...now up near Port St Lucie and the Mets spring training. Visiting family until Friday...now looks like it may include sitting on the beach checking in on the latest ECMWF runs . So you would miss this storm (at least the synoptic portion of it)? Man, you can feel like Jerry from 12/5/03 if Stowe gets 2 feet of paste Thursday night and Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Flew into West Palm Beach...now up near Port St Lucie and the Mets spring training. Visiting family until Friday...now looks like it may include sitting on the beach checking in on the latest ECMWF runs . My girlfriends dad lives in Port St Lucie.. it's a real nice area with a ton of new construction going up.. have a blast I'll be there in May! Looks like you might miss epicness though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It's unreal. 8 months of the year WNE is now the qpf jackzone. I’m so done with rain...so done with this winter. Took me until March to melt, but here I go. Move on to dry and warm please...lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: My girlfriends dad lives in Port St Lucie.. it's a real nice area with a ton of new construction going up.. have a blast I'll be there in May! Looks like you might miss epicness though! My sister’s in laws live in Port St. Lucie. Very nice area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: So you would miss this storm (at least the synoptic portion of it)? Man, you can feel like Jerry from 12/5/03 if Stowe gets 2 feet of paste Thursday night and Friday morning. Yup...I honestly hadn't thought there was a shot at the synoptic part (I always lean East with these) but would get home for the Friday into Saturday upslope. Now I'm like sh*t, the chances of it crushing VT are likely higher with this one since I won't be around in that 18z to 18z Friday time frame pegged on the Euro. I'll pull the ol' Tamarack "get home in time to shovel two feet of cement" line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Well shit. No parking lot pics? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 Well, I hope today reminded folks of how quickly things can change. While I agree that a big snow event is unlikely, it is not impossible......all we need is a proficient phase several hours faster. That said, nothing for anyone to pound their chest over because at the end of the day, this scenario is still fraught with uncertainty. I'll probably update tomorrow night...I was going to tonight, but with everything still in so much flux, there really isn't much point...plus I'm beat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 19 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yup...I honestly hadn't thought there was a shot at the synoptic part (I always lean East with these) but would get home for the Friday into Saturday upslope. Now I'm like sh*t, the chances of it crushing VT are likely higher with this one since I won't be around in that 18z to 18z Friday time frame pegged on the Euro. I'll pull the ol' Tamarack "get home in time to shovel two feet of cement" line. When’s the last time you’ve left the state during snow season? You usually don’t even leave Stowe until after the lifts stop running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, mreaves said: When’s the last time you’ve left the state during snow season? You usually don’t even leave Stowe until after the lifts stop running. It's been a long time. Probably a western ski vacation 5-6 years ago. This was not under my own free will, family reunion type deal. But regardless, should still be home for upslope if this materializes, which is probably the highest confidence thing here...as even on the models that miss there's a good NW flow punch of snow. Hell the way today went, this could turn into a rainer or highly elevation dependent event if another round of trends come in. Or it's all a day 4 headfake and by tomorrow afternoon we are looking at some coastal plain rain followed by snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, I hope today reminded folks of how quickly things can change. While I agree that a big snow event is unlikely, it is not impossible......all we need is a proficient phase several hours faster. That said, nothing for anyone to pound their chest over because at the end of the day, this scenario is still fraught with uncertainty. I'll probably update tomorrow night...I was going to tonight, but with everything still in so much flux, there really isn't much point...plus I'm beat. You, Will and Tip were all reminding the Debbie's last week how in this pattern things can pop up in 3-4 day windows. Pity the antecedent air mass is rotting out before this comes up the coast. By tomorrow night we should have a pretty good idea if there is any chance to thread the needle for parts of SNE. Little shocked to see some of the regulars really checked out on this one so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 NAM looks like it will be a inside runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 I'm staying at Wildcat through Friday... this better be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: NAM looks like it will be a inside runner Yeah this would be raining even into Stowe on Friday morning with those 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: My sister’s in laws live in Port St. Lucie. Very nice area. Beautiful area 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Flew into West Palm Beach...now up near Port St Lucie and the Mets spring training. Visiting family until Friday...now looks like it may include sitting on the beach checking in on the latest ECMWF runs . It's a great experience. I woke up at 8 am and went to the park around 9am to get autographs and pics with the players. Got about 16 autropaghs and took pics with a lot of players and coaches. ( even Chris Christie lol ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2019 Author Share Posted March 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Beautiful area It's a great experience. I woke up at 8 am and went to the park around 9am to get autographs and pics with the players. Got about 16 autropaghs and took pics with a lot of players and coaches. ( even Chris Christie lol ) I saw...nice Facebook feed haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Beautiful area It's a great experience. I woke up at 8 am and went to the park around 9am to get autographs and pics with the players. Got about 16 autropaghs and took pics with a lot of players and coaches. ( even Chris Christie lol ) Will be going to a Yankees spring training game on Saturday myself , assuming my flight has no issues Friday morning. Always love the feeling of a spring training game, it really gets me in the mood for baseball season haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 I wasn’t impressed by 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I wasn’t impressed by 00z. Lack of posts is telling. Let’s spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lack of posts is telling. Let’s spring. Hopefully next week can offer something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully next week can offer something. Looks like that’s fading but still enough time to turn it around. Winter has been like that annoying ex who just won’t let go. Been over it for weeks but she still wants to talk on the phone to ‘figure things out’.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 We rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Gotta love this winter. A coastal track over SE MA and it’s rain up into much of NNE. This was a pretty good antecedent airmass, but there’s just too much time for it to get flooded out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 It’s looked like rains to Maine’s since it first started showing up . Next week is same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Gotta love this winter. A coastal track over SE MA and it’s rain up into much of NNE. This was a pretty good antecedent airmass, but there’s just too much time for it to get flooded out. You don't think it'll trend colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Gotta love this winter. A coastal track over SE MA and it’s rain up into much of NNE. This was a pretty good antecedent airmass, but there’s just too much time for it to get flooded out. Hoping for a good a rain event up there to ripen up the pack and get ready for epic April floods. This would’ve worked well for you even a month ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It’s looked like rains to Maine’s since it first started showing up . Next week is same thing Completely disagree. If anything next week might have suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Completely disagree. If anything next week might have suppression. Yesterday you agreed with me about rains.. now you disagree . At any rate, time to move on . All winter you mailed it in . It’s spring now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yesterday you agreed with me about rains.. now you disagree . At any rate, time to move on . All winter you mailed it in . It’s spring now. I mean next week. I don't think rain is an issue vs suppression. Pattern will change after next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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