CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Reggie has a suspicious conv low that is well east of a lot of guidance, Seems worthy of a toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 This is still tracklable over interior elevations in SNE for a few inches. Still leaning on the skeptical side but can't toss the possibility. That's a pretty sick ULL that goes under us. If it can even just suck a small portion of the trowal back south or southwest then that's how it would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:08 PM, ORH_wxman said: This is still tracklable over interior elevations in SNE for a few inches. Still leaning on the skeptical side but can't toss the possibility. That's a pretty sick ULL that goes under us. If it can even just suck a small portion of the trowal back south or southwest then that's how it would happen. Expand This would be mainly overnight Friday right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:10 PM, Damage In Tolland said: This would be mainly overnight Friday right? Expand Yeah probably. There's a small chance of this ends up a little further south that some central/western areas with elevation could flip on Friday midday/afternoon but it seems more likely that evening/overnight is when the best shot is with the much lower heights and maybe some leftover moisture that reignites a little with the potent vortmax going just under us. It still needs a lot of variables to go right, but I typically don't completely toss the idea when we have a ULL that strong going just under our latitude. If it ends up further north then we most likely wouldn't get anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:02 PM, powderfreak said: Reggie gone wild. Ha. Tickling that snow further south into SNE hills again. Thats got good snow over almost half the New England landmass... Expand Too bad people only live in 20% of the NE landmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:05 PM, CoastalWx said: Reggie has a suspicious conv low that is well east of a lot of guidance, Seems worthy of a toss. Expand Rgem most pronounced with it but other meso guidance showing this as well - HRDRPS, WRF, 3k NAM. Physically, it does at least make sense to see best surface pressure falls further east along the Gulf Stream, given the lack of baroclinicity associated with the southern stream shortwave....I’m split if we’re looking at some kind of weak subtropical system off the Carolinas or a weak synoptic wave as most global models show... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:22 PM, moneypitmike said: Too bad people only live in 20% of the NE landmass. Expand Yea, that map is for the cabin folks only. Moving on, next week looking good....for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:24 PM, jbenedet said: Rgem most pronounced with it but other meso guidance showing this as well - HRDRPS, WRF, 3k NAM. Physically, it does at least make sense to see best surface pressure falls further east along the Gulf Stream, given the lack of baroclinicity associated with the southern stream shortwave....I’m split if we’re looking at some kind of weak subtropical system off the Carolinas or a weak synoptic wave as most global models show... Expand 3Km NAM is well east. Given the ULL support, I suspect the mesos are a little too happy with putting LP more with diabatic heating. I'm sure a weak low may be present, but not the Cat 2 the RGEM has. Something like the euro makes sense to me anyways. Overall this looks rather mundane for most except for the high spots and that's if we get a good wrap around fetch going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:22 PM, moneypitmike said: Too bad people only live in 20% of the NE landmass. Expand Oh how much you've changed with one move...in with the masses . Watch Old Pit get 8" of elevation cement now. Two months ago you'd wonder why BOX isn't mentioning the east slopes in their discussion ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 10:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We go from a couple inches of snow Friday night to 65 on Sunday, to an April 82 kind of storm early next week to warm and dry Napril. I think we’d all sign up for this Expand Lmao, April 82?? Dude you are such a wish-caster...April of 82 was a historic Snowstorm for SNE. So you're going with a Historic Storm for next week at this point lol??? I know I know...it's all about spooning up the pot for you. All the best with the April 82 idea James...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:44 PM, WinterWolf said: Lmao, April 82?? Dude you are such a wish-caster...April of 82 was a historic Snowstorm for SNE. So you're going with a Historic Storm for next week at this point lol??? I know I know...it's all about spooning up the pot for you. All the best with the April 82 idea...lol. Expand He went fishing and you swallowed the hook...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Is it just me or could this upcoming storm be one of the best of the winter for the Greens? QPF is ramping up every run and almost every storm has over performed up there this winter it seems. Is the synoptic portion of the storm providing some of the projected frozen or is this a pure closed low upslope event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:46 PM, weathafella said: He went fishing and you swallowed the hook...lol. Expand NO I didn't Jerry..I didn't swallow his hook, I grabbed the fishing pole and pulled him in the water with it. I love to call him out on Stupid crap like that... If you notice, I said its all about Stirring the pot for him. So I realized his ridiculous statement. Just needed to call him out on it. Like I said...All the best with that dumb idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:46 PM, weathafella said: He went fishing and you swallowed the hook...lol. Expand He doesn’t even need to attach bait anymore. Just sling the bare line out there and some just frantically swim towards it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:51 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He doesn’t even need to attach bait anymore. Just sling the bare line out there and some just frantically swim towards it. Expand No one is frantically swimming toward anything....that dumb Sh*t needs to be called out when it is thrown out there. Not happening James... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:54 PM, WinterWolf said: No one is frantically swimming toward anything....that dumb Sh*t needs to be called out when it is thrown out there. Not happening James... Expand You just can't ignore it. You take the his bait hook, line, and sinker. Every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 When would we expect the gfs to latch onto a storm idea for next week....Sunday perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:54 PM, WinterWolf said: No one is frantically swimming toward anything....that dumb Sh*t needs to be called out when it is thrown out there. Not happening James... Expand ...It's rather funny how much that sh*t bothers you. The anger is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:51 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He doesn’t even need to attach bait anymore. Just sling the bare line out there and some just frantically swim towards it. Expand For some reason he loses control of his body when it comes to my posts. Some type of higher power takes over his arms and fingers and he just starts screaming and yelling and banging out scolding and hysterical posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 12:58 PM, Cold Miser said: ...It's rather funny how much that sh*t bothers you. The anger is true. Expand It's the Wolf's Creed lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Wolfie Gone Wild. Owwwwwwooooooooooooooo!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 1:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Wolfie Gone Wild. Owwwwwwooooooooooooooo!! Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 LOL, Good reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Anyways, maybe we can get one of those bands that sneaks in to drop some heavier SHSN into central and ern MA later Friday night into Saturday. Sometimes they are localized, but the deep fetch of RH through and above H7 curving into SNE may do it. I wouldn't expect much in lower spots, but maybe a narrow area whitens up in the low lands. Maybe wrn slopes of ORH hills near Hubby does decent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Ain’t catching this wolf son. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 1:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Anyways, maybe we can get one of those bands that sneaks in to drop some heavier SHSN into central and ern MA later Friday night into Saturday. Sometimes they are localized, but the deep fetch of RH through and above H7 curving into SNE may do it. I wouldn't expect much in lower spots, but maybe a narrow area whitens up in the low lands. Maybe wrn slopes of ORH hills near Hubby does decent? Expand This drops accumulating snow into all hilly elevations of SNE. It’s not just an AEMATT event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 1:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Wolfie Gone Wild. Owwwwwwooooooooooooooo!! Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 On 3/20/2019 at 1:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Anyways, maybe we can get one of those bands that sneaks in to drop some heavier SHSN into central and ern MA later Friday night into Saturday. Sometimes they are localized, but the deep fetch of RH through and above H7 curving into SNE may do it. I wouldn't expect much in lower spots, but maybe a narrow area whitens up in the low lands. Maybe wrn slopes of ORH hills near Hubby does decent? Expand Honestly even up here I'm not sold on anything over Advisory criteria where folks live. I think this will have a very sharp gradient in the 1,000-2,000ft range. I could see hours and hours of 33-34F white rain or wet snow under 1,000ft...while it piles up at the ski areas. Theres no real CAA as it's just rotating cyclonic maritime air into the area. Something where I've got 3" of paste at home but drive up the road to work and find 10" in the parking lots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Probably safe to start a storm thread. Let PF be the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 EPS still look interesting for next week...06z only goes out to 144, but it's tickling north from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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