Hoth Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'll root for it, if we can get China style flooding later in April. Subaru Outbacks everywhere bobbing up and down the Winooski River. Mud season swallowing Wranglers whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 20 minutes or so and we'll see if these slower stronger trends are legit with the Euro's depiction coming up next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 VT will go from only Man buns visible sticking up thru the snow to only Man buns visible sticking up thru the floodwaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I would def find more interest in it if I was skiing a lot this year....but I haven't been. But yeah, I'm def not sacrificing a shot at a paste job so that the snow depth can go from 110 inches to 125 inches on a mountain 3-4 hours away from me. In the end, we're prob not getting much anyway down here...you'll get at least big upslope. Hey man I wouldn't either. Even for the skiers the season is mostly done for many so it isn't like snowfall ahead of a vacation period. The E.SNE relationship with NW NE is a torn one...someone gets snow the other usually doesn't. I think that's why often you can root for snow in the ME mountains, or even Whites, because climo wise both ESNE and those areas can get big snows...but move it to VT and it's a different climate path to glory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: 20 minutes or so and we'll see if these slower stronger trends are legit with the Euro's depiction coming up next. I’d say 1. They are 2. And we still won’t see a snow bomb maybe euro has perfect track and early intensify like a 978 just S of montauk w a stall over ACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d say 1. They are 2. And we still won’t see a snow bomb maybe euro has perfect track and early intensify like a 978 just S of montauk w a stall over ACK We need the southern stream to dig and take its time for SNE to have any shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d say 1. They are 2. And we still won’t see a snow bomb maybe euro has perfect track and early intensify like a 978 just S of montauk w a stall over ACK If this thing gets going stronger and earlier like the other 12z suite showed....it's starting to get close to snow for interior sections if the track is good and the system is peaking in intensity south of SNE. But sure it's a long shot I agree....at least there's something to track. And maybe next week can deliver a frozen surprise for most of us?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Oh... we'll prolly wend our way into a 970 mb historic Nor'rainster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Well, 12z Euro is digging a little further south then 06z run so far @H5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Hey man I wouldn't either. Even for the skiers the season is mostly done for many so it isn't like snowfall ahead of a vacation period. The E.SNE relationship with NW NE is a torn one...someone gets snow the other usually doesn't. I think that's why often you can root for snow in the ME mountains, or even Whites, because climo wise both ESNE and those areas can get big snows...but move it to VT and it's a different climate path to glory. We usually need a storm with a large circulation for both areas to get a lot of snow....something like March 4-6, 2001 or Dec 5-7, 2003, Jan 3-4, 2003....or even Feb 23-27, 1969. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: We usually need a storm with a large circulation for both areas to get a lot of snow....something like March 4-6, 2001 or Dec 5-7, 2003, Jan 3-4, 2003....or even Feb 23-27, 1969. Yeah that 12z ICON run was about as close to that size circulation but just need the thermals. If cold enough that low would bring 12"+ from you to BTV to CAR and back to HFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Well, 12z Euro is digging a little further south then 06z run so far @H5 Yeah and a bit slower as a result....still won't be enough this run, but the trend was there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Looks like the NAM. We rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 What it’s MSLP at Bos latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'll root for it, if we can get China style flooding later in April. Subaru Outbacks everywhere bobbing up and down the Winooski River. Since when did you become DIW, DIT's clone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, mreaves said: Since when did you become DIW, DIT's clone? I like a good hydro event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 All eyes on the summit lodge webcam at Stowe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I like a good hydro event. Golden showers at the squire ? On way home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What it’s MSLP at Bos latitude Maybe 989-990mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Still too much work to do I think. Sorry Canadian. The lead s/w(s) keep the low into SNE before it intensifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Went from Eastport to Portland that run....wouldn't need too much more to get some accumulating snow into interior SNE....though we'd need a lot more to get the Canadian solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe 989-990mb. What’s causing One camp to take this over E NJ into SW CT or did euro resemble ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Make or breaker run for the Euro - Based on it's enduring verification scores at < 5 days ... it's decided to lay its money down on less phasing... So be it - it'll either a rare bust or common bust, but one or the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What’s causing One camp to take this over E NJ into SW CT or did euro resemble ukie The westward camp rides the southern shortwave faster up the east side of the trough...the further east solutions actually dig the southern stream further southeast before turning north...this also gives a bit more time for the lakes energy to come in and it swings the southern vort around it to the east. If we take a solution like the euro, and delaye it another 4-6 hours on the southern stuff, then it could get pretty interesting because that lake energy goes crazy almost overhead....which for us is a bit too late, but get that to happen just a little sooner and we may see some accumulating snow on the backside of this. It's obviously an uphill battle where we are both because of latitude on the setup, and our temps need to crash more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Nice upslope/windex event Friday night 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Seems like most models are in agreement on running this through CT, minus the GGEM(which has been way too east with this storm the entire time) and the ICON which didn’t even have this storm until this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 ARPEGE slams Pike-South with rain, but occludes and redevelops/slides east without getting too much QPF up here. I'll take that solution in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Odd that the northern stream looks so much weaker on the 12z euro vs yesterday’s 12z run. Hell it’s even weaker than the 12z GEFS. It’s almost as though the euro went from the extreme high end of the ensemble envelope (yesterday) to the low end of the ensemble envelope today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Nice upslope/windex event Friday night Those are always exciting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Slightly better, But not good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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