powderfreak Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Nice panel... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Hey if it got me that storm, then I promote all whining to be done. Expand Call me crazy I didn’t believe the son of the gfs on an island. That said, euro won’t get it done either. Need the perfect evolution here with a weak airmass so I’ll keep betting against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:32 PM, powderfreak said: Nice panel... Expand Where was this all winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Euro looks like it brings a line of t'storms over the Cape with some strong winds. Cue James with 80+ gusts for the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 The airmass blows but it can be overcome, that's the point. It's not far off at the moment, at 96 hours out. plenty of time to improve (or get worse). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Oye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:32 PM, powderfreak said: Nice panel... Expand How bad are the BL temps on this thing? That would of been a perfect track 3 weeks ago. Even if this played out verbatim, at least it's a strong storm. But as others have been saying, a little earlier would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 One excellent upslope event too...something for everyone. Wind for those who wanted a Noreaster even if its rain, and snow for the mountains. Good trends and a ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:38 PM, dryslot said: Oye Expand Getting awfully close to 69 you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Birch bender to start my season and one to end? Boy would that be a disaster up here. Our road is so muddy that there would be no way for the town to ever plow. With a deep snow and the mud ruts underneath no one is getting up or down my hill if that came to fruition. Hopefully this slips further SE and spares me. SNE please take this one. We don't need more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Boy that could be several inches of paste in the higher elevations of central mass Expand Be still my heart... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Like Will said, blow this up 100-150 miles further S and SNE is in the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:44 PM, powderfreak said: Snow map: Expand need another 10 ticks down this way.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:41 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Getting awfully close to 69 you. Expand If we get this to go nuts sooner south then............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 The end of next week (or second half) could be quite interesting. You have that PV lobe ((can you call it that?) hanging to the north with some southern stream s/w energy creeping up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:46 PM, Spanks45 said: need another 10 ticks down this way.... Expand Not really Spanks.....another tick or at most two and everybody is in the goods. Not impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Super moon on the 21st. I know someone (Ginx?) already mentioned but probably should again given the trend of stronger intensity and earlier development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Where is the northern stream vort currently reside? We've notoriously seen northern stream energy come in too slow in the mid-range on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:48 PM, WinterWolf said: Not really Spanks.....another tick or at most two and everybody is in the goods. Not impossible. Expand This is true, get the 978 mb low and park it off the eastern tip of Long Island, definitely possible with 4ish days to go.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 I seem to remember the gfs-fv3 sniffed out a storm a few systems back where it was the first model to see the eventual track. Others join in later. Can't recall the date as I think it was a snow to rain event. This could be it's second coup. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Even if it is all/mostly rain, I would like that depiction on the Euro. At least it is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:52 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Where is the northern stream vort currently reside? We've notoriously seen northern stream energy come in too slow in the mid-range on models. Expand It’s rotating and breaking off the pv lobe in davis straight within next 12 hours or so. Edit: Actually, it’s coming over the top the ridge in western canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:53 PM, Spanks45 said: This is true, get the 978 mb low and park it off the eastern tip of Long Island, definitely possible with 4ish days to go.... Expand Could be there on the next run...or not lol. But it's close to something sweet, if we can just get it to phase in a little quicker, and with 3.5 days to go that certainly isn't out of the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:52 PM, jbenedet said: Super moon on the 21st. I know someone (Ginx?) already mentioned but probably should again given the trend of stronger intensity and earlier development. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:52 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Where is the northern stream vort currently reside? We've notoriously seen northern stream energy come in too slow in the mid-range on models. Expand There are several pieces, some of which are hard to see on WV because cirrus and/or being at the edge of the picture hides them. Also another piece farther up in the Arctic as best I can tell. If you loop GOES 17 high level WV you can see them better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Tonight will be interesting to see what the tv Mets do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 5:27 PM, powderfreak said: Like between 4/1 and 5/1? I have a hard time thinking you'd love a rainy nor'easter in Feb/Mar? Expand I’d prefer snow bit always enjoy inclement wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Pretty clear this is a windy swept rainy Nor-easter ending as inconsequential glop in the 12z blend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 On 3/18/2019 at 6:58 PM, purduewx80 said: There are several pieces, some of which are hard to see on WV because cirrus and/or being at the edge of the picture hides them. Also another piece farther up in the Arctic as best I can tell. If you loop GOES 17 high level WV you can see them better. Expand That’s a good image. If you take that and grab a 500mb vort plot, you can see how messy it is. Guidance won’t resolve this for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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