cut Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 9 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It's a ridiculous fad and contrary to what constitutes good brewing practices. This is not to say they are not good brewers and they definitely make some tasty beers but the New England IPA has become a parody of itself. Brew me a clean crisp pilsner and I'll rain down praise. A lot of their beer is just too much. We have a place down here called Two Roads, and they have a few really good beers, but a lot of the stuff is over bearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Ridge is pushing east. Not good at all for a storm The PNA ridge? All damn Winter any decent ridge out there would be too far West for a good snow pattern/storm here. Now it's going to be too far East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 IDK if it has much to do with ridge being east...trough doesn't seem to really become that amplified and there isn't much southern stream interaction. All northern stream based action. Would have to hope for a major amplification/strengthening signal right off the coast. But it's almost April...should be shifting focus towards svr, heat, and dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Been reading there are signals for yet another (perhaps final) strong stratospheric warming event as we close out the month. We're certainly still not done with some pretty decent cold shots. I would think we should get a pretty solid cold shot towards the end of the month (unless the warming signal of the stratosphere wanes), but after that the pattern should relax and the general signal will be above-average temps (of course we have to watch for BDCF's). I think that’s fairly typical to get a final warming event. I don’t really see anything exciting in the strat yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think that’s fairly typical to get a final warming event. I don’t really see anything exciting in the strat yet. There is this AWESOME site someone put together (I have the link on my laptop) that has incredible tools to diagnose the stratosphere and tools for forecasting. I'm sure you know what it is...but the 3D look at the structure of it. I need to save that link at work. I haven't looked at anything at all strat wise since early January. From the readings I've done it does seem these are on the common side, but they can also be handled poorly (even moreso than usual) with the models. One thing I'm trying to learn more about is heat transport from the equator to the poles. I guess the premise is that with such a massive ridge building from the PAC tropics to the Arctic this would yield a huge heat pump (I can't think of the proper term for this) which would have a huge impact on the PV...? Pieces of s/w energy will disrupt the TPV and processes in the stratosphere would allow for the stratospheric PV to become weak or break apart? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 15, 2019 Author Share Posted March 15, 2019 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think that’s fairly typical to get a final warming event. I don’t really see anything exciting in the strat yet. Who cares about strat warming in early April....like, yea...lets reap the benefits of downward propagation on Patriots day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 Misery mist season is on its way. I can’t wait for the posts before an April or May coastal....if only we got this setup in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Who cares about strat warming in early April....like, yea...lets reap the benefits of downward propagation on Patriots day... colder air means denser air means less HR for JD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Who cares about strat warming in early April....like, yea...lets reap the benefits of downward propagation on Patriots day... Heavier drizzle? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 It gonna rain hard real soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 54 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Agreed, that's why I said it's blue-balled us all Winter. Devil is in the details. The ridging was too far West off the coast to give us the goods. An anomalous ridge migrates over the rockies in the next 5 days. Its rarely been there the whole winter. Whether or not it snows iyby is immaterial to that reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Looks like the chance for some decent cold, relative to the time of the year, on the horizon. Hopefully they moderate some. The 00z GFS was trying to drop -30C over CAR. No thanks. It's only 3/15 though. We're not going to make it through the rest of the season without a little more snow, at least up here. 2012 isn't walking through that door. Heh, seems the best this positive PNA will throw over N/A's a cold wave over NE ... I mean, it's like literally doing that - stretching the field so that it can't storm but resolidifies the Earth in New England. awesome haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 Euro says congrats on days and days of highs in the 30s/40s with 0F dewpoints. At least the inside of the car will be warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 actually... The GFS may be trying to target right under our noses. That clipper on the 00z and 06z system - as I'm sure this has been mentioned ... - is rather robust, and deepens a classic NJ model low into the 980s passing near the BM... circa 96 hours. Thing is, it's gotta do better than that. As is typical for narrow latitude critters their impact is also relatively narrow. But this system is arriving into the east on the steep PNA rise so there's some modulation potential there - Ah, never mind - I screwed up my time stamps. I've noticed if clicking around in TT that guy f-ups you up about "when" you are looking at what - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 If the north Atlantic wasn't so putrid, I'd be a little more excited for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: actually... The GFS may be trying to target right under our noses. That clipper on the 00z and 06z system - as I'm sure this has been mentioned ... - is rather robust, and deepens a classic NJ model low into the 980s passing near the BM... circa 96 hours. Thing is, it's gotta do better than that. As is typical for narrow latitude critters their impact is also relatively narrow. But this system is arriving into the east on the steep PNA rise so there's some modulation potential there - Ah, never mind - I screwed up my time stamps. I've noticed if clicking around in TT that guy f-ups you up about "when" you are looking at what - You mean like clicking the up/down arrows instead of left/right...I do that sometimes and it drives me nuts lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro says congrats on days and days of highs in the 30s/40s with 0F dewpoints. At least the inside of the car will be warm. Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 End of the month looks like a battle ground pattern nearby. Maybe we can grab something then. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 Im down in Maryland right now. This warmth feels so good. Meanwhile looking back home 36.6F and only got to 42F yesterday. Thought this was going to be our 2 days of good melting. This pack is never going to go away! Today is over 4 months of snowcover and the deer in my pasture are getting thinner and are just eating bark off of the apple trees. Wish this thaw would have opened up a few grass patches but not going to happen. Just quickly reading the posts looks like no warmth in the future? Yesterdays drive down, snow patches to just north of NYC. Green grass in Baltimore but greenup seems to be behind even down here. Sometimes forsythia has started by now but I see no signs. 550 mile trip back to snow and mud tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: Im down in Maryland right now. This warmth feels so good. Meanwhile looking back home 36.6F and only got to 42F yesterday. Thought this was going to be our 2 days of good melting. This pack is never going to go away! Today is over 4 months of snowcover and the deer in my pasture are getting thinner and are just eating bark off of the apple trees. Wish this thaw would have opened up a few grass patches but not going to happen. Just quickly reading the posts looks like no warmth in the future? Yesterdays drive down, snow patches to just north of NYC. Green grass in Baltimore but greenup seems to be behind even down here. Sometimes forsythia has started by now but I see no signs. 550 mile trip back to snow and mud tomorrow. This is the only time of year where the Mid Atlantic is appealing. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: End of the month looks like a battle ground pattern nearby. Maybe we can grab something then. The para GFS wasn't actually too far from meaningful impact earlier than that ... I mean, strong +PNA ridge out west and 174 hours out in time are correctable - but I know I know ...such lucid objective reasoning has no basis in a collective of jilted winter lovers, huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 15, 2019 Author Share Posted March 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: End of the month looks like a battle ground pattern nearby. Maybe we can grab something then. Hopefully a whiffle ball bat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: The para GFS wasn't actually too far earlier than that ... I mean, strong +PNA ridge out west and 174 hours out in time are correctable - but I know I know ...such lucid objective reasoning has no basis in a collective of jilted winter lovers, huh Yeah. I mean like you said we are just loosely talking about it, but for the time being I wouldn't say this is a warm and dry pattern right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully a whiffle ball bat. Maybe a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 15, 2019 Author Share Posted March 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The para GFS wasn't actually too far earlier than that ... I mean, strong +PNA ridge out west and 174 hours out in time are correctable - but I know I know ...such lucid objective reasoning has no basis in a collective of jilted winter lovers, huh All sarcasm aside, the highly meridonal PNA in conjunction with the changing wavelengths screams short lead time to me....ie, don't be suprised if something quite impactful pops up at 72 hours. Would I bet on that, no....oops, already have. Damn it- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 One thing that really came to light this year for me, was how easy measuring was due to the lack of coastal storms. My neighborhood is virtually impossible to get a good measurement during coastal storms. This year was a rather satisfying pleasure of measuring without second-guessing myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 15, 2019 Author Share Posted March 15, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: One thing that really came to light this year for me, was how easy measuring was due to the lack of coastal storms. My neighborhood is virtually impossible to get a good measurement during coastal storms. This year was a rather satisfying pleasure of measuring without second-guessing myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah. I mean like you said we are just loosely talking about it, but for the time being I wouldn't say this is a warm and dry pattern right now. Right - it's why I don't - personally - carry any illusions about what the last two weeks of this month are likely to sensibly/operationally be like. No lawns greening prior to April 1 I'm "partially" checked out ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was hoping for a powder blizzard where shit island would come in with 3” for KBOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 15, 2019 Share Posted March 15, 2019 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: End of the month looks like a battle ground pattern nearby. Maybe we can grab something then. Might as well...as soon as I saw the model guidance shift to all that cold in SE Canada with sneaky highs, I punted on any fantasy of 65F tulip-prancing days....so it's either we try and sneak in a snow event or deal with dogshit (cold and dry or 37F and NE winds with sneaky highs). I'll take the snow over either of them....even if it is a 4 inch slop storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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