CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 RPM as well, although that is quite out of its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 That's a colder more robust 18z GFS, That's high end advisory snows for some areas to low end warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: RPM as well, although that is quite out of its range. Clown range rgem is starting to ramp it up a bit. If we can rip in good omega Sunday morning, wouldn't surprise me to see 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 7 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: bummer. I just went from 6" to 1". Where are you heading this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 11 hours ago, weathafella said: NAVGEM used to be NOGAPS. The model is part of the US Navys Fleet Meteorology and Oceanography Centery. If I choose to look at it I get it here: https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_DOD_area.cgi?area=fnmoc_namer&set=All I remember the days of the Navy NOGAPS. Always the last to come on board during winter storms because of a progressive bias IIRC and always the last to be looked at and weighted lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 The SUNY MM5 used to be a favorite short-term model of mine. It really wasn't that good outside of 6 hrs but it used to nail the banding on coastals under 6 hrs. A crappier HRRR I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 I know most don't like it but multiple days of sun with temperatures below freezing in March, with full snow cover, is pretty cool in my book. Especially with what has been a marginal winter in south central New England. (yes I think Greenfield is more part of central New England as far as winter climates ago) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 51 minutes ago, snowman19 said: That is what I’m talking about. That’s a horrible map, it’s including sleet as snow, grossly overdone and not even close. Those 10:1 ratio maps are junk. Here’s the real snow map: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=neus&pkg=asnowd&runtime=2019030718&fh=84 Instantweather is the best for snow maps in my opinion.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Clown range rgem is starting to ramp it up a bit. If we can rip in good omega Sunday morning, wouldn't surprise me to see 2-4" Some of the guidance is going good until about 395-ORH longitude and then craps out eastward. There is a good mid level WF sig, so hopefully that can help sustain the lift further east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 We are starting to look like a nice 3-5” inch slugger of snow Sunday to ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Where are you heading this weekend?Andover Saturday. You still riding local?Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Andover Saturday. You still riding local? Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Leaving here heading to the dixfield area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are starting to look like a nice 3-5” inch slugger of snow Sunday to ice Could be a few inches in some spots but would likely go to a cold drizzle in aftn. It will certainly get above 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 The #fightforfifty gets a little boost on Sunday perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Best thing about March front-enders is that they melt before the day is over. That 2'' of slop will be gone by Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: Best thing about March front-enders is that they melt before the day is over. That 2'' of slop will be gone by Monday. Yup. Stat purposes only from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 13 minutes ago, DomNH said: Best thing about March front-enders is that they melt before the day is over. That 2'' of slop will be gone by Monday. Unlikely without sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well under cover of darkness at 4:30 am it’s cold in Morch or Nov.. but that doesn’t have anything to do with snow. Morch snows just are different and have a different feel than winter snows. The high sun, the long days, the melting in sun even on cold days. It’s all different. Everyone here agrees Day 2 same look, same feel, could feel the ice cold snow radiating cold while sitting on the steps. The look of the cake is unreal, perhaps because you had fluffy stuff it’s different. That 15 minute mix with torrential rain the other night just locked the cake in. So gorgeous out here. The sun reflecting off the ice has made for stunning winter scenes, impressive any time of year. Best cement outcome in years. The other March cement storms didn’t lock in, this one with its -15 to -20 departures is pure winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Not saying anything but take a look at what the NAM had for snow depth increase for the 8 to 16 storm here. Another fraud snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: That map is no more correct then the the other TT map............lol I think it’s closer to the truth in these setups with a good amount of sleet. But that is straight from the model and not an algorithm. It’s just taking the modeled positive change in depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Clown range rgem is starting to ramp it up a bit. If we can rip in good omega Sunday morning, wouldn't surprise me to see 2-4" If my pattern continues it will be 3.3 here, 4 th 3 inch snowfall in a month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I think it’s closer to the truth in these setups with a good amount of sleet. But that is straight from the model and not an algorithm. It’s just taking the modeled positive change in depth. Kuchera is usually pretty close in sleet events but not so good with all snow. Bufkit is best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Pretty glaring signal persist approaching the Equinox. If that continues... don't ignore extended range eastern cyclogen - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 Looks like 1-3" before some R- across the interior, at least right now. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/some-light-snow-to-rain-likely-sunday.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 7 hours ago, dryslot said: That map is no more correct then the the other TT map............lol Agreed. Here are NAM maps from 0z March 2nd, showing both. There was no sleet projected in most of that area from at least Weymouth on north, yet the net positive map cut down the accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Well sure. I wouldn’t have used it there where people were getting all snow with great growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 11 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Some of the guidance is going good until about 395-ORH longitude and then craps out eastward. There is a good mid level WF sig, so hopefully that can help sustain the lift further east. 3 posts about the 00z runs in the discussion thread. Boy, we're a beat-down group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 42 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: 3 posts about the 00z runs in the discussion thread. Boy, we're a beat-down group. Well nothing changed . Snow starts after midnight and flips to ice ends as drizzle . 2-4” for most of interior SNE , 1-3” towards coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Well nothing changed . Snow starts after midnight and flips to ice ends as drizzle . 2-4” for most of interior SNE , 1-3” towards coast Good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Good luck with that. That’s what the local outlets have . 1-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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