CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: At least on the 00z ensemble runs, the weaker the weekend system the more amped the early week one. This run looks to support that. The gfs op had nothing at 12z and still have a good storm. But that’s all progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Shocked. We'll wait and see what happens Saturday. If that vortmax is stronger on Saturday then it will help out Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, Hazey said: Some saw this outcome days ago. Winter 2019 theme won't be denied. White flags raised for everyone south of the resorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: 1969's record has everyone in SNE on the edge of their seat for sure, . It's a good thing to make fun of though, I certainly wouldn't give a shit if I were you guys, ha. Today's reading is 2nd highest snowpack reading ever for the date, only a half a foot below 1969. Until I see any other model show anything remotely close to that, we toss. Fits the pattern. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, Hazey said: Some saw this outcome days ago. Winter 2019 theme won't be denied. A blind man can see darkness years in advance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 Not ready to buy something that amped yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: 1969's record has everyone in SNE on the edge of their seat for sure, . It's a good thing to make fun of though, I certainly wouldn't give a shit if I were you guys, ha. Today's reading is 2nd highest snowpack reading ever for the date, only a half a foot below 1969. Until I see any other model show anything remotely close to that, we toss. It’s uncanny how one over amped Euro op run obviously wrong just sets the melts in motion. Scooter starts it and his emotional posts set the others falling like dominoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 snowy events forth-coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh well. Congrats northerners again. Hopefully it's too amped We can't get lucky at all this winter. Pretty sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We'll wait and see what happens Saturday. If that vortmax is stronger on Saturday then it will help out Monday. They either help one another or screw one another, Would be a big front end dump here before the changeover though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We'll wait and see what happens Saturday. If that vortmax is stronger on Saturday then it will help out Monday. Just a min ago it was weaker Sat better Mon now we reverse. It’s a dogshit pattern, no matter how much and how loud we cheer...we lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 I should have figured this season. What a blood bath! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Fits the pattern. Congrats. See I think the pattern has changed. It's not a storm with mid-levels way west... I definitely get why it sucks to see but I don't see why this couldn't stay south and more progressive. The EURO is much different than the GFS/GGEM/ICON/FV3 with that. Though I will say that Euro snow map has panned out almost exactly like that a couple times so far this season, but it doesn't seem like the same pattern we were in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Hey at least I waited til Feb 27th to melt..later than most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not ready to buy something that amped yet. It's definitely an outlier but it should be noted that other guidance is trending more amped too even if it's not where the euro is. Hopefullly it's a case of the euro getting a little too croaked...kind of funny how we've had a CAD high so often this winter on lakes cutters to give us 2-3" of crusty snow/ice and now when we really need it when a more legit storm is on the table, it's nowhere to be found. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Hey at least I waited til Feb 27th to melt..later than most Winter ends in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 jesus has it been like this all winter in here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: See I think the pattern has changed. It's not a storm with mid-levels way west... I definitely get why it sucks to see but I don't see why this couldn't stay south and more progressive. The EURO is much different than the GFS/GGEM/ICON/FV3 with that. Though I will say that Euro snow map has panned out almost exactly like that a couple times so far this season, but it doesn't seem like the same pattern we were in. It’s just the pattern. No real blocking, big cold dump into Plains to help amp it. Airmass ahead of it isn’t good. Other guidance more amped. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It’s uncanny how one over amped Euro op run obviously wrong just sets the melts in motion. Scooter starts it and his emotional posts set the others falling like dominoes Yeah I get the frustration, but the EURO definitely carries weight. It's 5 days out... I think the pattern is different than it has been and a low coming out of the south could go just about anywhere. I bet the EPS are much further SE and will look pretty good for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Winter ends in 2 days. Some will say it never arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 How does the Euro look for western Mass for Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 How's the pattern look on the Euro past Monday's threat? Still zonal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 You cant lock anything in just yet, This is not done changing, Saturdays will have a lot to say on monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The gfs op had nothing at 12z and still have a good storm. But that’s all progressive. Yeah, the ensemble members that needed the stronger weekend system to stay less amplified Monday were skewed heavily Euro. I counted only a couple members each from the GEFS and CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, RDRY said: How does the Euro look for western Mass for Monday? Rainy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, DomNH said: How's the pattern look on the Euro past Monday's threat? Still zonal? No actually the opposite. If Monday didn't clear the baroclinic zone well offshore, we d have a legit threat on mar 6-7. Pretty good shortwave diving into lakes at day 6 but there's no thermal gradient to work with so prob just some flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Rainy Yikes. Hard to buy that scenario playing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: jesus has it been like this all winter in here The season of persistent coc teases with nothing to wipe. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Mid weeks going to be awful cold especially WNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Hey at least we have bitter cold again to enjoy with the brown ground. Phucking 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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