March, 2019

[Stormlover74]

76 to 48 in 24 hours 

[tdp146]

1 hour ago, JerseyWx said:

I think it was March '16 when I saw mosquitos during the 2nd week of March.

Lol.  A "peeper," which is short for spring peeper, is a type of chorus frog.  They're very tiny and mark the arrival of spring.

Honestly I never heard of them until I moved to my current place which is right across the street from a small nature preserve. 

[IrishRob17]

37 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

Honestly I never heard of them until I moved to my current place which is right across the street from a small nature preserve. 

I’m along the Wallkill River and have wetlands border the yard, there are so many here that we can hear them with the windows closed. 

[Cfa]

1 hour ago, tdp146 said:

Honestly I never heard of them until I moved to my current place which is right across the street from a small nature preserve. 

I’d never heard of them until this thread.

[bluewave]

Somerville, NJ gets the March big temperature swing award. A 70 degree rise in 8 days.

2019-03-07	34	7	20.5	-15.7	44	0	0.00
2019-03-08	39	11	25.0	-11.5	40	0	0.00
2019-03-09	49	24	36.5	-0.3	28	0	0.00
2019-03-10	41	34	37.5	0.4	27	0	0.69
2019-03-11	54	35	44.5	7.0	20	0	0.00
2019-03-12	42	25	33.5	-4.3	31	0	0.00
2019-03-13	50	20	35.0	-3.1	30	0	0.00
2019-03-14	64	33	48.5	10.0	16	0	0.00
2019-03-15	77	42	59.5	20.7	5	0	0.35

[donsutherland1]

A cold front moved across the region today with showers. After a high of 65°, the temperature tumbled to 49° during the late afternoon in New York City before rebounding slightly upon the return of sunshine. Tonight will likely see unseasonably cool readings across the region. The temperature will likely remain above freezing in New York City, but fall below freezing outside the City. However, the cold shot will likely last for only a few days rather than persist for an extended period of time.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.20°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.10°C for the week centered around March 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.93°C. Conditions consistent with El Niño should persist into April in Region 3.4.

The SOI was -8.47 today.

Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.583. The AO has now been positive for 52 consecutive days. The last time the AO was positive for at least that long was during the April 13, 2018 through June 3, 2018 period when the AO was positive for 52 consecutive days. There is strong ensemble support for the AO to go negative in early April.

Since 1950, there have been four prior cases when the AO reached +2.500 or above during the last 10 days of March and then had four or more days with negative values during the first week of April. The mean temperature for the 4/1-10 period in New York City was 51.6° (standard deviation 1.8°). That is about 2 1/2 degrees warmer than climatology for the April 1-10 period (1950-2018). Consequently, it is likely that the April 1-10 period will wind up somewhat warmer than normal even as the period starts on a colder than normal note. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, the implied probability of an above normal anomaly in New York City after the first 10 days of April is 63%.

On March 30, the MJO moved into Phase 4 at an amplitude of 0.487 (RMM). The amplitude was slightly lower than the March 29-adjusted figure of 0.569. The MJO has now shifted back two phases in 4 days. On March 26, the MJO had been in Phase 6.

April will likely be warmer than normal and possibly several degrees warmer than normal. The highest probability of a colder than normal April exists over the southern and central Plains States. That probability has diminished in recent days.

[CIK62]

March ended at -0.8[41.7].

[LibertyBell]

On 3/25/2019 at 12:44 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Good, I’m done. Bring on spring. Less then 10” at home for the winter. I bought my dad a snow blower for Christmas and it never got used. Anywhere south of the southern state on the island had an awful winter. My biggest storm was 3.5” in November. At work on the uws we had more the double the amount of snow. That in it of itself is incredible

Hey at least we got to see some snow flakes on April 5th!  I love seeing snow in April, because then you know it's the last time you'll see it for the season, so it has a special feeling associated with it.