bluewave Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Epic warm Arctic/cold continents pattern during early March. Areas of the Alaskan Arctic went +26.3 for the first week of March with -34.1 in Montana. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Gfs looks good for late March. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 2 hours ago, Sn0waddict said: After having lows near the single digits this past week 50s will sure feel like a torch. Next Friday could push 60. It will feel like a torch, yes. But "torch" is a term that is relative to averages, and by mid-march, 50's ain't cutting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 50 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs looks good for late March. 12z GFS actually shows a warm pattern starting in late March near the end of its run, around the 23rd. But before then it shows a cold pattern from around the 17th to 22nd. We'll see if we can get any snow out of the cold pattern in the latter part of mid March and early part of late March. I do hope it warms up in very late March in time for the start of the growing season like 12z GFS hints at. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 3 hours ago, weatherpruf said: April snows are kinda rare, but then so are November snows...it snowed in April here last year. Decent event too. I had 5-6 inches last year I think it was April 3rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 19 minutes ago, justinj said: I had 5-6 inches last year I think it was April 3rd Day after Easter I believe, had around 4 or so here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 A weak system is bringing light snow to portions of Maryland and Virginia. Dulles International Airport has picked up 0.6" snow. Some portions of Virginia have received 1"-2" snow. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.40°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.10°C for the week centered around February 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C. Similar ENSO conditions will likely persist through much of March with some possible fluctuations to just below weak El Niño levels. Some guidance suggests the potential some additional warming of ENSO Region 3.4 in coming weeks. The SOI was -0.77 today. It has been negative for 30 out of the last 31 days. Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.202. The AO has now been positive for 29 consecutive days. The last time the AO was positive for at least that long was during the August 6, 2018 through September 4, 2018 period when the AO was positive for 30 consecutive days. On March 7, the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 2.643 (RMM). The amplitude was little changed from the March 6-adjusted figure of 2.648. The MJO could lose amplitude in coming days. A storm moving through the Great Lakes region could bring a brief period of wintry precipitation Saturday night or Sunday morning to parts of the region before any precipitation ends as rain. Parts of central and upstate New York into northern New England could pick up moderate accumulations of snow. Afterward, readings could remain warmer than normal for at least 7-10 days, limiting opportunities for snowfall. The warmth could peak around mid-month with the potential for readings in the 60s extending as far north as southern New England. Beyond that, the possibility exists for a return to cooler temperatures relative to normal during the closing 7-10 days of the month. Currently, the GEFS is more impressed with the potential return of colder weather than the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 18 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: A weak system is bringing light snow to portions of Maryland and Virginia. Dulles International Airport has picked up 0.6" snow. Some portions of Virginia have received 1"-2" snow. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.40°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.10°C for the week centered around February 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C. Similar ENSO conditions will likely persist through much of March with some possible fluctuations to just below weak El Niño levels. Some guidance suggests the potential some additional warming of ENSO Region 3.4 in coming weeks. The SOI was -0.77 today. It has been negative for 30 out of the last 31 days. Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.202. The AO has now been positive for 29 consecutive days. The last time the AO was positive for at least that long was during the August 6, 2018 through September 4, 2018 period when the AO was positive for 30 consecutive days. On March 7, the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 2.643 (RMM). The amplitude was little changed from the March 6-adjusted figure of 2.648. The MJO could lose amplitude in coming days. A storm moving through the Great Lakes region could bring a brief period of wintry precipitation Saturday night or Sunday morning to parts of the region before any precipitation ends as rain. Parts of central and upstate New York into northern New England could pick up moderate accumulations of snow. Afterward, readings could remain warmer than normal for at least 7-10 days, limiting opportunities for snowfall. The warmth could peak around mid-month with the potential for readings in the 60s extending as far north as southern New England. Beyond that, the possibility exists for a return to cooler temperatures relative to normal during the closing 7-10 days of the month. Currently, the GEFS is more impressed with the potential return of colder weather than the EPS. I think we'll do okay up in northeastern Pa. In regards to late March luckily the GEFS has done much better than the eps! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 9 hours ago, bluewave said: Next Friday looks like it could be our first real spring-like temperatures for March. Both Euro and GFS have close to 70 degrees for the warmer parts of New Jersey. It’d be nice if Long Island cooperates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 10 hours ago, bluewave said: Next Friday looks like it could be our first real spring-like temperatures for March. Both Euro and GFS have close to 70 degrees for the warmer parts of New Jersey. Torch time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 45degs., or 4degs. AN. GFS 57*, EURO 71* on the 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 WWA for NW New Jersey midnight to 11am Sunday. About 1" snow/sleet and a little freezing rain expected here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 5 hours ago, snowman19 said: Torch time I will be basking in the 80s in Florida 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 7 hours ago, snowman19 said: Torch time It's a one, maybe two day torch followed by a massive PNA and east coast trough. Huge storm potential March 18-25 period. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Anthony Masiello "The sequence of events next week across the Pacific is reminiscent of the 1980s and 1990s. There's an extratropical/tropical interaction for exciting the low-frequency signal's forcing, producing a phase 8-like response in the PNA sector" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Anthony Masiello "The sequence of events next week across the Pacific is reminiscent of the 1980s and 1990s. There's an extratropical/tropical interaction for exciting the low-frequency signal's forcing, producing a phase 8-like response in the PNA sector" Already posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Anthony Masiello "The sequence of events next week across the Pacific is reminiscent of the 1980s and 1990s. There's an extratropical/tropical interaction for exciting the low-frequency signal's forcing, producing a phase 8-like response in the PNA sector" Yep and the 1980’s and 1990’s worked out so well for us, worst 2 decades in history lmaooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yep and the 1980’s and 1990’s worked out so well for us, worst 2 decades in history lmaooo The biggest April storm anyone can remember was 1982; the 90's had great storms in March. But overall they were kinda lean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Dont know if anyone has the stats, but I think the total central park snowfall was higher in the 80s than the 90s. If the 90s was higher it would only be due to the epic 95 96 winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Finally a bit warm. Not doing much to melt this glacier outside though. Still 70% snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: It's a one, maybe two day torch followed by a massive PNA and east coast trough. Huge storm potential March 18-25 period. End of March, March “cold”, strongly positive NAO, best of luck getting an east coast snowstorm. That’s going to be a really good trick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Huge PNA ridge on the gfs near the 20th with a ton of energy around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Just now, snowman19 said: You’ve been calling for major snowstorms and severe cold non stop since 11/15. This is month number 5 in a row. The stats speak for themselves You have to admit you kept saying we wouldn't get any snowstorms out of the week long cold pattern in early March. We ended up getting 2 snowstorms. I got about 11 inches between the 2 storms. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Hey snowman, if that PNA spike get into the arctic like it’s showing it’ll definitely be cold enough for snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Probably have one more shot if the PNA spike is real and we get a well timed storm-stating the obvious, but N and W would be favored given the time of year.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 51 here. No wind. Sun feels pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Up to 47 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 44 and sunny. Expecting 1-3 late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 3 hours ago, snowman19 said: End of March, March “cold”, strongly positive NAO, best of luck getting an east coast snowstorm. That’s going to be a really good trick Where were you for last weekend's stormS? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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