JerseyWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 12 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 A very non early Spring temperature of 15F right now. That should temper any early growth for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Current temp is 14 here. Impressive for early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 just went out with the dog its 14 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Next 8 days averaging near 40degs., or just about Normal. 19.7* here at 5am. 19.9* here at 6am. 21.2* here at 7am. 24.9* by 9am. The only period that might produce any snow around here is now 3/17-3/23. Gotta love the EURO/GEFS going nearly snowless for their prediction periods now---when they should have looked this way to be accurate, all winter. EURO had T problems too. Like the ridiculous GFS string of 100 to 107 degree days last summer, the EURO insisted on record T's in the current cold spell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 9 at the house. Local sites on wunderground are depicting some interesting temp ranges; down the hill there are multiple reports of 2-4 degrees. Micro climate inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 14F Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 12degrees here at 6:45 AM. Still 8 inches of glacier in all open areas. Sure there is more in shady and wooded areas. Impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 16f in Wading river, north shore of Suffolk. Still near 100% snowcover here, about 1/2 mile from the Sound. Completely different story around my office in Hauppauge where it’s now mostly bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAVistaNY Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 6º here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 10 hours ago, JerseyWx said: I wonder if we can manage to maintain the streak of wintry events on or near the 20th. So far the 2010’s are 6 for 9 on measurable snow between 3-14 and 3-24. The only 3 years that missed were 2014, 2012, and 2010. But 2014 and 2010 still had the storm signal with over 1.00” of liquid around the area. NYC 3-21-18....8.4” 3-14-17....7.6” 3-21-16....0.5” 3-20-15.....4.5” 3-19-14.....0.92 3-18-13....3.0” 3-24-11....1.0” 3-22-10.....1.45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Interesting https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/weather/2019/03/06/freak-thing-mph-extreme-gust-rattles-bahamas-bound-cruise-ship-injuring-passengers/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 This morning was the coldest March morning across much of the region since March 2017 and, in a few locations, March 2015. Select minimum temperatures: Albany: 4° (coldest March temperature since March 6, 2015 0°) Allentown: 5° (coldest march temperature since March 7, 2015 0°) Atlantic City: 12° (coldest March temperature since March 7, 2015 8°) Binghamton: 3° (coldest March temperature since March 5, 2017 2°) Bridgeport: 13° (coldest March temperature since March 5, 2017 13°) Danbury: 6° (coldest March temperature since March 1, 2015 6°) Islip: 16° (coldest March temperature since March 13, 2017 13°) New Haven: 16° (coldest March temperature since March 12, 2017 13°) New York City-JFK: 18° (coldest March temperature since March 11, 2017 18°) New York City-LGA: 19° (coldest March temperature since March 6, 2019 19°) New York City-NYC: 18° (coldest March temperature since March 11, 2017 17°) Newark: 15° (coldest March temperature since March 5, 2017 14°) Philadelphia: 19° (coldest March temperature since March 5, 2017 15°) Poughkeepsie: 10° (coldest March temperature since March 23, 2017 9°) Scanton: 7° (coldest March temperature since March 6, 2015 4°) Westhampton: 10° (coldest March temperature since March 13, 2017 8°) White Plains: 13° (coldest March temperature since March 5, 2017 11°) 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Interesting https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/weather/2019/03/06/freak-thing-mph-extreme-gust-rattles-bahamas-bound-cruise-ship-injuring-passengers/ The ship sailed blindly into a rapidly intensifying storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Bottomed out at 5.4°, with a very January look and feel. Very similar look to last March so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 14 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The ship sailed blindly into a rapidly intensifying storm. Looked more like a Bow echo gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 41 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The ship sailed blindly into a rapidly intensifying storm. A little more South, maybe we could have blamed it on almost being sucked into the Bermuda Triangle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 First time since the 1940’s that NYC had 13 March days with a high of 32 or lower in only 6 years. We could add another today. 2019 2 2018 0 2017 5 2016 0 2015 2 2014 4 1944 3 1943 4 1942 0 1941 2 1940 3 1939 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Low of -0.4F here... too bad I couldn't manage that last tenth of a degree to round down. A Wunderground station down the road from me at a little less elevation hit -2. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Low of -0.4F here... too bad I couldn't manage that last tenth of a degree to round down. A Wunderground station down the road from me at a little less elevation hit -2. I tried to find it on a map. Even with squinting couldn’t see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 26 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Euro MJO forecast would be a first if it verified. No cases of the MJO going from 1 to 4 and then back to 1 again during March. So any moderation in temperatures looks to last about a week before turning colder again later in March. Looks like a lagged strong MJO 4 +PNA response for later March. Looks as if it could get quite warm late next week before the colder temps come back in. Maybe high temps near 60 thursday and friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 43 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: I tried to find it on a map. Even with squinting couldn’t see it Natural part of advanced age. I wouldn't worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Sanitation issued a snow alert for the city tomorrow lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 6 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Natural part of advanced age. I wouldn't worry. You would know--being at your advanced age Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 44 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: You would know--being at your advanced age Age is one of my best majors. I’ve just about run out of credits. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 We cannot rely on the EURO since it has become a 'space cadet model' this winter. It developed the bad habit of showing major snow events as 'one run specials'. Its T's were not on target as I have spoken about. It apparently could not handle the non-linking of the upper atmosphere with the weak Nino zones any better than the other models. Since gaining a reputation by getting Hurricane Sandy's left-hand turn to the coast right, 6 hours before other models, it needs to hire an agent to help win back its shine. Its escutcheon plate is severely scratched and its MJO prediction mentioned above can not be trusted. The big cities may have to deal with cold for the last two weeks of the month, but snow is statistically just a leftover echo of winter there. Friday night is just a TRACE, since the disorganized mish-mash passes south of the City with almost no precipitation now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 20 minutes ago, rclab said: Age is one of my best majors. I’ve just about run out of credits. As always .... I’m sure you have many credits to go! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 The temperature fell to 18° this morning in New York City. That was the City's coldest March temperature since March 11, 2017 when the temperature fell to 17°. Some of the City's distant suburbs reported single-digit readings. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.40°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.10°C for the week centered around February 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C. Similar ENSO conditions will likely persist through much of March with some possible fluctuations to just below weak El Niño levels. Some guidance suggests the potential some additional warming of ENSO Region 3.4 in coming weeks. The SOI was -7.85 today. It has been negative for 29 out of the last 30 days. Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.674. The AO has now been positive for 28 consecutive days. The last time the AO was positive for at least that long was during the August 6, 2018 through September 4, 2018 period when the AO was positive for 30 consecutive days. On March 6, the MJO moved into Phase 4 at an amplitude of 2.643 (RMM). The amplitude was little changed from the March 5-adjusted figure of 2.559. The MJO could lose amplitude in coming days. After perhaps a period of light snow or flurries late tomorrow or tomorrow night, temperatures will very likely warm up during the coming weekend. However, a storm could bring a brief period of wintry precipitation Saturday night or Sunday morning to parts of the region before any precipitation ends as rain. Afterward, readings could remain warmer than normal for at least 7-10 days, limiting opportunities for snowfall. The warmth could peak around mid-month. Beyond that, the possibility exists for a return to cooler temperatures relative to normal during the closing 7-10 days of the month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 2 hours ago, 495weatherguy said: You would know--being at your advanced age Wait, what. Where are my reading glasses. Ah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: The temperature fell to 18° this morning in New York City. That was the City's coldest March temperature since March 11, 2017 when the temperature fell to 17°. Some of the City's distant suburbs reported single-digit readings. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.40°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.10°C for the week centered around February 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C. Similar ENSO conditions will likely persist through much of March with some possible fluctuations to just below weak El Niño levels. Some guidance suggests the potential some additional warming of ENSO Region 3.4 in coming weeks. The SOI was -7.85 today. It has been negative for 29 out of the last 30 days. Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.674. The AO has now been positive for 28 consecutive days. The last time the AO was positive for at least that long was during the August 6, 2018 through September 4, 2018 period when the AO was positive for 30 consecutive days. On March 6, the MJO moved into Phase 4 at an amplitude of 2.643 (RMM). The amplitude was little changed from the March 5-adjusted figure of 2.559. The MJO could lose amplitude in coming days. After perhaps a period of light snow or flurries late tomorrow or tomorrow night, temperatures will very likely warm up during the coming weekend. However, a storm could bring a brief period of wintry precipitation Saturday night or Sunday morning to parts of the region before any precipitation ends as rain. Afterward, readings could remain warmer than normal for at least 7-10 days, limiting opportunities for snowfall. The warmth could peak around mid-month. Beyond that, the possibility exists for a return to cooler temperatures relative to normal during the closing 7-10 days of the month. Nice write up as always, Don. Do you think we have a window for a more significant snowstorm around March 20? Models are still showing the potential on some runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now