Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,909
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    WichitaChiefSam
    Newest Member
    WichitaChiefSam
    Joined

March, 2019


snowman19

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I know sunday night into monday is the much bigger potential, but 18z NAM has a 2 inch snowfall for NYC friday morning which ramps up to 4 inches for southern NJ. The same system that GGEM was showing as a 4 to 6 inch snowstorm for us a couple days ago. Still have to keep an eye on it according to NAM.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

NAM does look very interesting for thursday night into friday morning. It gets 4 to 5 inches of snow up to Monmouth and Ocean Counties, and 3 almost up to NYC. Maybe GGEM was onto something when it kept showing this for a couple days. 

The RGEM at 48 looks more like the Euro and would likely be way south 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Any kind of big spring warmup is going to get delayed if the MJO weakens before getting to the warmer 5-6 phases for March. This would mean a colder start to March would transition to closer to normal. But nothing too extreme in the warmth department for this time of year. Back doors could become an issue if the models are correct about all the high pressure building in SE Canada longer range.

5678830D-FBB3-4967-9283-F89A5267F01C.gif.7341b632a29ca9cf65663e47136d6845.gif

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

50 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Any kind of big spring warmup is going to get delayed if the MJO weakens before getting to the warmer 5-6 phases for March. This would mean a colder start to March would transition to closer to normal. But nothing too extreme in the warmth department for this time of year. Back doors could become an issue if the models are correct about all the high pressure building in SE Canada longer range.

A colder March overall wouldn't shock me, that's been the theme lately. I think too many were quick to pull the torch trigger.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

A colder March overall wouldn't shock me, that's been the theme lately. I think too many were quick to pull the torch trigger.

The MJO never missed an opportunity to make a strong push into 5-6 over the winter. But now that we are headed into March, models want to weaken it around phase 4. For some reason, we saw similar MJO weakening near phase 4 over the last 2 Marches. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Any kind of big spring warmup is going to get delayed if the MJO weakens before getting to the warmer 5-6 phases for March. This would mean a colder start to March would transition to closer to normal. But nothing too extreme in the warmth department for this time of year. Back doors could become an issue if the models are correct about all the high pressure building in SE Canada longer range.

5678830D-FBB3-4967-9283-F89A5267F01C.gif.7341b632a29ca9cf65663e47136d6845.gif

 

 

I hope this is wrong.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...