MJO812 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Remember when the models showed a big warm-up for mid March ? Another cold March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 5:05 AM, Snow88 said: Remember when the models showed a big warm-up for mid March ? Another cold March Expand There is a big warm up coming though. Starting this weekend (tomorrow) right through St. Patrick’s Day, over a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 42degs., or about 2degs AN. Just 28* here at 6am, 29* at 7am. 32* already by 8:15am. 35.7* by 10am. 37.2* by Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 3:31 AM, gravitylover said: Wait, what. Where are my reading glasses. Ah. Expand Reading glasses—where would I be without them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 13F 2 extremely cold March Mornings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 I hate March. it's colder than JanuarySent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 5:09 AM, snowman19 said: There is a big warm up coming though. Starting this weekend (tomorrow) right through St. Patrick’s Day, over a week Expand You called for a torch and said winter was done when March hit. You'll be wrong on both fronts. I see warm-up, I don't see torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 11:41 AM, SnoSki14 said: You called for a torch and said winter was done when March hit. You'll be wrong on both fronts. I see warm-up, I don't see torch. Expand Do you see any real cold or snow after the warm up. I have been reading that the last week of the month may be cold/stormy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 10F. Wind chill 3F. 6:30 AM. 4th morning in a row of 13F or less. Very impressive for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 11:41 AM, SnoSki14 said: You called for a torch and said winter was done when March hit. You'll be wrong on both fronts. I see warm-up, I don't see torch. Expand Dr. Jeckyll and Mr. Hyde. That’s not what I said stop misquoting me. I said after the 1st week of March, it was done. It’s really is meaningless what you see, all winter long you were cancelling winter then bringing it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 5:09 AM, snowman19 said: There is a big warm up coming though. Starting this weekend (tomorrow) right through St. Patrick’s Day, over a week Expand On 3/8/2019 at 10:50 AM, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 42degs., or about 2degs AN. Just 28* here at 6am, 29* at 7am. Expand Classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 12:22 PM, BxEngine said: Classic Expand Classic torch end of next week. Enjoy. Winter’s last gasps were this week. Fat lady is singing, it’s over Johnny, say goodnight and goodbye, ship is sailing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 12:30 PM, snowman19 said: Classic torch end of next week. Enjoy. Winter’s last gasps were this week. Fat lady is singing, it’s over Johnny, say goodnight and goodbye, ship is sailing Expand Bold call in mid march, good luck to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 12:30 PM, snowman19 said: Classic torch end of next week. Enjoy. Winter’s last gasps were this week. Fat lady is singing, it’s over Johnny, say goodnight and goodbye, ship is sailing Expand There isn't a torch coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Period to watch is 3/17-23. Semi-favorable TCs, while it still matters some. Anyone know what it indicates when the Control Member is off-scale[ >6sd] for a week, while the Mean is just 1sd, during same timeframe. Specifically, this is for the EURO's EPO the first week of April: -6sd versus -1sd. I thought the start of April might be AN. Wondering now if home openers for Mets/Yanks are winterlike at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 We went from one of the highest first week of February maximum temperatures to one of the lowest for March. This is a remarkable max temperature drop from 65 to only 42. Another 2010’s extreme. NYC Lowest max week 1 March 1 1960-03-07 36 0 - 1870-03-07 36 0 3 1978-03-07 37 0 4 1917-03-07 39 0 - 1905-03-07 39 0 - 1891-03-07 39 0 7 2014-03-07 40 0 - 1916-03-07 40 0 - 1893-03-07 40 0 - 1888-03-07 40 0 11 1911-03-07 41 0 - 1886-03-07 41 0 13 2019-03-07 42 0 Highest max week 1 February 1 1991-02-07 70 0 2 2008-02-07 68 0 - 1890-02-07 68 0 4 1989-02-07 67 0 5 2019-02-07 65 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 12.6 this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 I try and be positive. In just 30-40 days deep cold and snow will just be a memory I'm ready for SpringSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 12:40 PM, Snow88 said: There isn't a torch coming. Expand Look at the end of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 March 1-7 Summary for New York City: Mean Temperature: 30.1° (8.8° below normal); coldest since 2015 (29.6° mean) Snowfall: 10.4"; most since 2015 (14.1" snow) and 5th highest figure for the first week of March Records go back to 1869. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 4:13 AM, mattinpa said: Nice write up as always, Don. Do you think we have a window for a more significant snowstorm around March 20? Models are still showing the potential on some runs. Expand The potential for snowfall will likely be above climatology for the March 20-28 period (and maybe again during the first week of April). It's too soon to be sure about potential significant storms. Before then, the long-modeled warmup will get underway and likely peak around mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 12:36 PM, BxEngine said: Bold call in mid march, good luck to you. Expand Not really that bold. Look at the week after St. Patrick’s Day. Still a very positive NAO. If there was a -NAO block showing up like last year, and the last few March’s, then you have an argument. Once you get to 3/15, climatology alone at our latitude says it’s over minus a freak event and even then, how many major snowstorms have hit the NYC metro area after that date, in history? It gets even worse by 3/20, Equinox. You have a late August/early September sun angle overhead at that point, long days. And late March “cold” is totally different than winter (Dec, Jan, Feb) cold. Our average temps are skyrocketing at that point. “Cold” compared to average isn’t all that cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 2:10 PM, snowman19 said: Not really that bold. Look at the week after St. Patrick’s Day. Still a very positive NAO. If there was a -NAO block showing up like last year, and the last few March’s, then you have an argument. Once you get to 3/15, climatology alone at our latitude says it’s over minus a freak event and even then, how many major snowstorms have hit the NYC metro area after that date, in history? It gets even worse by 3/20, Equinox. You have a late August/early September sun angle overhead at that point, long days. And late March “cold” is totally different than winter (Dec, Jan, Feb) cold. Our average temps are skyrocketing at that point. “Cold” compared to average isn’t all that cold Expand Fact is that it can snow here into April so it isn’t a definite that winter is over just yet. A robust enough pna into the arctic can easily do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowheavyattimes Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 1:36 PM, snowman19 said: Look at the end of next week Expand Highs in the 50’s in mid-March is not a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 2:10 PM, snowman19 said: Not really that bold. Look at the week after St. Patrick’s Day. Still a very positive NAO. If there was a -NAO block showing up like last year, and the last few March’s, then you have an argument. Once you get to 3/15, climatology alone at our latitude says it’s over minus a freak event and even then, how many major snowstorms have hit the NYC metro area after that date, in history? It gets even worse by 3/20, Equinox. You have a late August/early September sun angle overhead at that point, long days. And late March “cold” is totally different than winter (Dec, Jan, Feb) cold. Our average temps are skyrocketing at that point. “Cold” compared to average isn’t all that cold Expand He meant calling for torch in MAR is like calling for heat wave in JUL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 12:40 PM, Snow88 said: There isn't a torch coming. Expand Given the last couple days, I will not be surprised to see a significant wet snow type event later in March. I know your area didn't do so well Sunday, but both Sat and Sun were decent out in the surrounding suburbs. And the pack has held on for a few days. Can't call the whole winter a fail after this. Missed all of Dec and Jan and most of Feb though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 2:19 PM, dmillz25 said: Fact is that it can snow here into April so it isn’t a definite that winter is over just yet. A robust enough pna into the arctic can easily do it Expand April snows are kinda rare, but then so are November snows...it snowed in April here last year. Decent event too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 2:41 PM, snowheavyattimes said: Highs in the 50’s in mid-March is not a torch. Expand After having lows near the single digits this past week 50s will sure feel like a torch. Next Friday could push 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 On 3/8/2019 at 2:19 PM, dmillz25 said: Fact is that it can snow here into April so it isn’t a definite that winter is over just yet. A robust enough pna into the arctic can easily do it Expand I think in fact we get the PNA, but how robust like you alluded to is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Epic warm Arctic/cold continents pattern during early March. Areas of the Alaskan Arctic went +26.3 for the first week of March with -34.1 in Montana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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