Yanksfan Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: What a GEM ! Weather porn at its finest. The pic alone is avatar worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: are there negative odds I can place on this outcome? Sure, S19 is probably coordinating the betting. As always .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 32 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: LOL at the GGEM....take a peek at hours 186-216....funniest snow map of all time. Would this put us above average for the year? Whatever the GGEM is smoking, I want it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: Whatever the GGEM is smoking, I want it. thats a ccombo of LSD, Molly and weed while at MSG for a NYE Phish show 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Hi all, I haven't been following posts closely but making sure we are aware of the vast differences between the 00z/1 GFS and 00z/1 EC. This i think will be an EC win vs the GFS for the mid week chill. My take: Near record cold Thursday morning the 7th CP. Temps in Sussex County of nw NJ will probably be at or below freezing from late Monday afternoon through early Saturday. Morning lows over the rural areas will drop to zero or below on a couple of mornings, especially Thursday when wind chill may be 10 to 20 below. How it all works out is not 100% but the coming snowpack should help us toward the EC solution. Fingers crossed the snow "depth" forecast of the NAM through 18z Monday is spot-on minimum. Walt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 So, yeah. GFS profiles look pretty damn impressive to me in the DGZ, especially north of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 I think the mid level warm nose is going to limit snowfall tonight/tomorrow morning. There is going to be a lot of sleet. I think the 1-2” forecast from the NWS is very reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Next weekend's threat is the big snowmaker on the CMC. It and the GFS have been showing a storm in the OHV with a transfer, although the GFS has been showing precip issues for the coast. There's a lot of ensemble support as well. As for Sunday night, I'm a little concerned that this appears to be a thread the needle situation for the area; heavy precip might not extend very far west of the mix line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 March is the new February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Euro is 2"-4"/4"-6" for tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 14 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I think the mid level warm nose is going to limit snowfall tonight/tomorrow morning. There is going to be a lot of sleet. I think the 1-2” forecast from the NWS is very reasonable That's fine. Focus is on Sunday night and Monday morning now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: That's fine. Focus is on Sunday night and Monday morning now He doesn't need to. Said it's a rainer for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 tonight into tomorrow is looking like a solid 2-4/3-5” snowfall surprised nws is kinda quiet on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: tonight into tomorrow is looking like a solid 2-4/3-5” snowfall surprised nws is kinda quiet on this. Their last discussion I read this morning they were waiting for some additional data this afternoon and will probably issue advisories later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 30 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: He doesn't need to. Said it's a rainer for the city Actually now he is saying suppression 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Wetbulbs88 said: March is the new February This has been a pattern for years now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Wetbulbs88 said: March is the new February 21 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: This has been a pattern for years now This is the 5th year in a row for NYC with more snow in March than December. https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status/1101465406412414979?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet 7AM snow totals] Central Park- 1.4" 18-19...Dec...T.....Mar....1.4 so far 17-18...Dec...7.7..Mar.....11.6 16-17...Dec...3.2..Mar.....9.7 15-16...Dec.....T...Mar.....0.9 14-15...Dec...1.0..Mar....18.6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saberonyx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 A half inch ended up in OzonePark NY after starting at 6 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: I think the mid level warm nose is going to limit snowfall tonight/tomorrow morning. There is going to be a lot of sleet. I think the 1-2” forecast from the NWS is very reasonable Its extremely close. 850 and 925's are 0-1 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 hours ago, weatherlogix said: LOL at the GGEM....take a peek at hours 186-216....funniest snow map of all time. Would this put us above average for the year? That's assuming 10 to 1. Let's be safe and say 12 to 1. That would take my 44 to 52.8. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 47 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Actually now he is saying suppression Yeah I saw that. He'll try to find anyway for the worst outcome to get under peoples skin in here. The true definition of someone who just trolls people on this board. He's already 5-posted but just continues his crap. There should be something for him next time he talks in such absolutes. Back to the storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 20 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Its extremely close. 850 and 925's are 0-1 degrees Right, very close. The mid-level warming and surface temps are going to lower ratios and cause sleet intrusion, dropping totals IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Right, very close. The mid-level warming and surface temps are going to lower ratios and cause sleet intrusion, dropping totals IMO I can also see places with better precip rates getting dynamic cooling of the column to support sleet/snow even on long island. The precip seems to be trending southeast on this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 317 PM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 NJZ006-105>108-NYZ072>075-176-178-020615- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0010.190302T0000Z-190302T1700Z/ Hudson-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Southern Queens- 317 PM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow and some sleet expected. Total accumulations of 2 to 4 inches expected, with the higher amounts expected farther away from the Atlantic coast. * WHERE...New York City and adjacent portions of northeast New Jersey south of Interstate 80. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to noon EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow and sleet will cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 It’s pretty rare to see so much of the US with a -18 or lower weekly departure first week of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 march is the new february 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, forkyfork said: march is the new february Hey I just said that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 7 hours ago, weatherlogix said: LOL at the GGEM....take a peek at hours 186-216....funniest snow map of all time. Would this put us above average for the year? These are really Rorschach Cards. When psych asked what do you see? The paranoid/schizoid/mongoloid met said: I see you staying home 3/8,9.10, plowing snow. Unless the courts {GFS/GEFS} step in, his lobotomy is set for tonight. Now really a 32" snowstorm that would rival the Blizzard of'88, which was closer to 36" than to 21"----Brooklyn Eagle Paper, Bensonhurst ,no drift, open field, measurement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Sticking with my numbers from before. Upton issued WWA's, that's the right call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 I'm finally ready to be somewhat bullish at least for northern areas of NYC and LI. The Nam and to lesser extent the Euro going just a hair colder as the precip gets intense later tonight, at least enough to tip it maybe just cold enough for snow, is encouraging. It'll be interesting to see how far SE the cold air can make it with the heavier precip rates-whether it makes it down to the south shore. Could be a system where there's a notable difference between north of the Northern State and south of Sunrise Highway. Could easily be a few inches if the cold gets in soon enough with the heavy precip. Hopefully this can finally be a storm where it matters that I moved here from LB. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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